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Who Should I Draft?

Pablo Lopez or James Karinchak (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
27 of 51 experts
47%
Recommended by
24 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 47# 49
Best Rank# 33# 28
Worst Rank# 63# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 138# 102
Best Rank# 128# 94
Worst Rank# 156# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts14499
Wins103
Saves022
ERA3.993.23
WHIP1.221.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 58
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 68
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 44# 55
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 51
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 36# 40
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 40# 60
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 45# 47
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 47# 56
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 41# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 44# 49
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 48# 55
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 53# 61
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 57# 58
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 33# 100
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 45# 82
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 43# 117
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 43# 53
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 41# 47
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 54# 92
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 41# 62
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 52# 56
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 52# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 38# 45
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 48# 61
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 45# 60
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 47# 98
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 57# 65
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 47# 44
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 48# 33
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 48# 37
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 48# 47
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 49# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 49# 32
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 49# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 49# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 50# 43
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 50# 28
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 50# 37
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 51# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 51# 35
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 51# 49
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 36
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 53# 43
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 54# 31
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 55# 34
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 57# 45
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 60# 40
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 63# 48
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1127
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched57.027.0
   
Wins61
   
Losses42
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds08
   
Hits Allowed5014
   
Earned Runs238
   
Home Runs Allowed41
   
Strikeouts5953
   
Walks1816
   
ERA3.612.67
   
WHIP1.191.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2961
   
Games Started280
   
Innings Pitched153.061.3
   
Wins103
   
Losses103
   
Saves022
   
Blown Saves09
   
Holds06
   
Hits Allowed14440
   
Earned Runs6822
   
Home Runs Allowed197
   
Strikeouts14499
   
Walks4332
   
ERA3.993.23
   
WHIP1.221.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
News 
 Marlins' starting pitcher Pablo Lopez should resume bullpen sessions this week.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Sep 7th
The Cleveland Indians have optioned reliever James Karinchak to Triple-A Columbus. His roster spot will go to first baseman Bobby Bradley, who was activated from the IL.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
 Marlins starting pitcher Pablo Lopez has returned to Miami after just one rehab appearance at Triple-A. As Christina De Nicola of MLB.com notes, "he is not being shut down, there will just be a delay in his progression."
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak threw 1 1/3 scoreless innings in a 7-2 win over the Rangers on Wednesday. He struck out two and allowed just one hit.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 26th
 Marlins RHP Pablo Lopez (shoulder) will begin a minor league rehab assignment with Triple-A Jacksonville on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Aug 20th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak allowed a run in his lone inning of work in a 4-3 loss to Oakland on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Aug 11th
 After a bullpen session on Monday, Pablo Lopez threw another one on Thursday, this time in Cincinnati with the rest of the ball club.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Aug 19th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak allowed three runs in 1/3 of an inning in a 12-11 win over the White Sox on Saturday. He walked one and gave up two hits, including a two-run homer.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Aug 1st
 Marlins pitcher Pablo Lopez was spotted throwing a live bullpen session in Miami Monday afternoon. The news comes a week after he began throwing pitch numbered bullpen sessions with no hitters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Aug 16th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak threw a scoreless eighth inning in a 3-2 win over the Rays on Sunday. He worked around one walk in the frame.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jul 25th
Notes 
 Despite his 5.09 ERA and mediocre strikeout rate in 2019, there was some buzz about Lopez heading into last season because of his outstanding changeup and his ability to keep his WHIP in check. He justified the expectations, cutting his ERA to 3.61 and striking out about a batter and a half more per nine innings than he had previously. He's still volatile, as he has seemingly random games where he lacks command with his changeup and gets hit hard. And he needs another pitch to complement his fastball and changeup. But if he can continue to develop either his curveball or cutter, he could be a true breakout candidate. Draft him as an SP4 with upside for more if his other pitches continue to improve.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  "Special K" used the third-highest rate of elevated four seamers to produce a dominant season out of the bullpen. 53 strikeouts in 27 innings led to the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball (behind only Devin Williams). Karinchak was blocked for saves by Brad Hand during the 2020 season, but his departure this offseason opens the door for Karinchak to handle ninth inning duties. Assuming Cleveland doesn't sign a "traditional" veteran closer, then I'd aggressively draft Karinchak as a top-three reliever for fantasy baseball purposes.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros