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Who Should I Draft?

Pablo Lopez or Joe Musgrove (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
Expert
Recommendation
82%
Recommended by
41 of 50 experts
18%
Recommended by
9 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 38# 48
Best Rank# 16# 33
Worst Rank# 77# 63
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 130# 138
Best Rank# 115# 128
Worst Rank# 140# 156
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts158144
Wins1110
Saves00
ERA3.923.99
WHIP1.191.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 45
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 41
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 44
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 43# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 47
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 28# 41
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 16# 57
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 42# 48
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 42# 48
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 33# 51
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 38# 53
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 39# 49
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 47
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 38# 57
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 33# 51
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 51# 52
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 29# 33
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 44# 49
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 33# 44
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 40# 53
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 37# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 39# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 40# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 40# 54
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 40# 50
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 45# 52
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 38
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 26# 48
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 44# 49
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 43# 60
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 52# 54
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 34# 48
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 43# 55
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 38# 48
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 30# 50
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 38# 45
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 43# 47
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 29# 57
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 34
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 56# 36
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 40
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 41
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 61# 45
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 55# 50
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 55# 51
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 77# 52
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 66# 63
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played811
   
Games Started811
   
Innings Pitched40.157.0
   
Wins16
   
Losses54
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3350
   
Earned Runs1723
   
Home Runs Allowed54
   
Strikeouts5559
   
Walks1618
   
ERA3.863.61
   
WHIP1.241.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2929
   
Games Started2928
   
Innings Pitched154.4153.0
   
Wins1110
   
Losses810
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed145144
   
Earned Runs6768
   
Home Runs Allowed2119
   
Strikeouts158144
   
Walks3943
   
ERA3.923.99
   
WHIP1.191.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
News 
 Joe Musgrove gave up 1 earned run in 4 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Pirates on Wednesday. Musgrove struck out 6 and walked 2 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Thu, Apr 15th
Marlins starter Pablo Lopez allowed six earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out six over four innings in Tuesday's no-decision against the Atlanta Braves.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 14th
 Joe Musgrove will not get an extra day of rest after his no-hitter and will start on Wednesday against the Pirates.
Dan Harris
Tue, Apr 13th
Marlins starter Pablo Lopez allowed two earned runs on three this and two walks while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings in Wednesday's loss to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Apr 8th
 Joe Musgrove threw a no-hitter against the Rangers on Friday, and struck out 10 in the process. It was the first no-hitter in Padres' franchise history.
Matt Flipi
Fri, Apr 9th
Marlins starter Pablo Lopez allowed no runs, two hits, and two walks while striking out four over five innings in a no-decision against the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Apr 3rd
 Joe Musgrove pitched 6 shutout innings in his Padres debut on Saturday. Musgrove also struck out 8 in the outing and got the win.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 4th
 
 Jeff Passan of ESPN reports the San Diego Padres are in agreement on a deal to acquire RHP Joe Musgrove from the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jan 18th
 
Notes 
 Musgrove has been a popular sleeper the last two seasons and now that he's been traded to the Padres, his ADP is surely going to rise. In 2019, Musgrove continued to improve as a pitcher, upping his strikeout rate and adding velocity. But his 2020 season looked like a step back, until he returned from the IL strong, including finishing his season with back-to-back scoreless outings while getting back some of the lost zip on his fastball. Overall, Musgrove's 2020 numbers suggest a breakout waiting to happen, as he built significantly on his gains in 2019, increasing his strikeout rate to 33.1%. His chances for wins should improve dramatically in San Diego, and he's a fine fourth starter with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Despite his 5.09 ERA and mediocre strikeout rate in 2019, there was some buzz about Lopez heading into last season because of his outstanding changeup and his ability to keep his WHIP in check. He justified the expectations, cutting his ERA to 3.61 and striking out about a batter and a half more per nine innings than he had previously. He's still volatile, as he has seemingly random games where he lacks command with his changeup and gets hit hard. And he needs another pitch to complement his fastball and changeup. But if he can continue to develop either his curveball or cutter, he could be a true breakout candidate. Draft him as an SP4 with upside for more if his other pitches continue to improve.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Over his final four starts of the 2020 season Musgrove posted an exceptional 34:5 K:BB ratio in just 22 innings. In 34 starts from the beginning of 2019 through August 2020 his swinging strike rate sat at 11.9%. In September 2020 that figure jumped to 16.3%. So here we are again. Musgrove is an annual breakout candidate among fantasy analysts, and last year's hot finish combined with the move to San Diego won't temper expectations at all. Musgrove is an upside starting pitcher option come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros