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Who Should I Draft?

Pablo Lopez or Julio Urias (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
Expert
Recommendation
52%
Recommended by
26 of 50 experts
48%
Recommended by
24 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 45# 48
Best Rank# 21# 33
Worst Rank# 81# 63
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 118# 138
Best Rank# 111# 128
Worst Rank# 131# 156
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts129144
Wins910
Saves00
ERA3.763.99
WHIP1.191.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 45
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 29# 44
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 32# 36
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 40
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 33# 45
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 33# 49
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 27# 57
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 45# 51
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 49# 52
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 36# 49
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 45
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 52# 53
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 33# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 31# 41
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 52
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 48# 50
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 44# 52
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 46# 51
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 48# 50
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 48# 60
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 47# 54
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 39# 63
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 21# 50
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 44# 47
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 40# 57
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 36# 33
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 55# 34
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 42# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 60# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 41
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 42# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 72# 44
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 50# 44
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 47# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 47
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 50# 47
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 49# 47
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 50# 48
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 63# 48
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 49# 48
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 70# 48
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 49# 48
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 50# 49
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 81# 51
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 64# 53
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 67# 54
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 56# 55
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 70# 57
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1011
   
Innings Pitched55.157.0
   
Wins36
   
Losses04
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4550
   
Earned Runs2023
   
Home Runs Allowed54
   
Strikeouts4559
   
Walks1818
   
ERA3.273.61
   
WHIP1.151.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3329
   
Games Started2328
   
Innings Pitched128.2153.0
   
Wins910
   
Losses510
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed111144
   
Earned Runs5468
   
Home Runs Allowed1719
   
Strikeouts129144
   
Walks4243
   
ERA3.763.99
   
WHIP1.191.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
News 
 LHP Julio Urias picked up his second win of the season when he allowed three runs on nine hits with three strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings in a 9-5 win over the Nationals on Saturday.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 11th
Marlins starter Pablo Lopez allowed two earned runs on three this and two walks while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings in Wednesday's loss to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Apr 8th
 Julio Urias picked up the win vs. the Rockies on Sunday when he surrendered just one run on three hits with six strikeouts and one walk over seven innings in the Dodgers 4-2 win.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Apr 5th
Marlins starter Pablo Lopez allowed no runs, two hits, and two walks while striking out four over five innings in a no-decision against the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Apr 3rd
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says LHP Julio Urias will start the team's fourth game of the season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 27th
 
 Julio Urias didn't allow a hit and struck out one over three scoreless innings on Monday vs. the White Sox in Cactus League play.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Mar 8th
 
 Julio Urias agreed to a one-year, $3.6 million deal with the Dodgers to avoid arbitration.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
 Urias had an interesting season (other than his postseason, which was dominant). His numbers overall were very solid, with a 3.27 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. But his strikeout rate dipped dramatically as a full-time starter, and his SIERA (4.88) and xFIP (5.06) suggest he got lucky. But the bottom line is that Urias is excellent at limiting hard contact, and he's allowed just a .257 BABIP over the last two seasons, which should keep his ERA in check. The Dodgers' rotation is overflowing, so it's possible they continue to limit Urias's innings. But for now, he should be considered an SP3, and as his playoffs showed, there's plenty of room for growth with his strikeout numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Despite his 5.09 ERA and mediocre strikeout rate in 2019, there was some buzz about Lopez heading into last season because of his outstanding changeup and his ability to keep his WHIP in check. He justified the expectations, cutting his ERA to 3.61 and striking out about a batter and a half more per nine innings than he had previously. He's still volatile, as he has seemingly random games where he lacks command with his changeup and gets hit hard. And he needs another pitch to complement his fastball and changeup. But if he can continue to develop either his curveball or cutter, he could be a true breakout candidate. Draft him as an SP4 with upside for more if his other pitches continue to improve.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros