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Who Should I Draft?

Patrick Corbin or Joe Musgrove (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
31 of 50 experts
38%
Recommended by
19 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 38# 44
Best Rank# 16# 17
Worst Rank# 77# 88
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 130# 125
Best Rank# 115# 95
Worst Rank# 140# 137
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts158192
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.923.99
WHIP1.191.27
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 37
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 49
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 51
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 83
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 28# 35
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 16# 27
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 42
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 42# 47
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 38# 43
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 39# 48
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 41
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 38# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 33# 55
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 29# 62
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 44# 81
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 33# 61
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 39# 51
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 40# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 40# 46
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 45# 46
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 44
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 26# 88
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 44# 45
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 43# 55
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 34# 63
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 38# 45
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 30# 65
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 38# 44
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 29# 88
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 43# 23
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 43# 26
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 40# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 33# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 61# 31
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 37# 32
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 43# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 40# 35
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 52# 36
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 37
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 42# 39
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 77# 39
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 66# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 55# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 43
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 51# 44
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 56# 48
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 55# 54
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played811
   
Games Started811
   
Innings Pitched40.166.3
   
Wins12
   
Losses57
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3385
   
Earned Runs1734
   
Home Runs Allowed510
   
Strikeouts5560
   
Walks1618
   
ERA3.864.66
   
WHIP1.241.57
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2931
   
Games Started2931
   
Innings Pitched154.4183.5
   
Wins1112
   
Losses810
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed145179
   
Earned Runs6781
   
Home Runs Allowed2125
   
Strikeouts158192
   
Walks3954
   
ERA3.923.99
   
WHIP1.191.27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
News 
 Joe Musgrove gave up 2 earned runs in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Brewers on Monday. Musgrove struck out 13 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Tue, Apr 20th
In Tuesday's 3-2 win against the Cardinals, Patrick Corbin bounced back with six scoreless innings. Corbin allowed four hits and zero walks with five strikeouts. Before this start, Corbin allowed 16 total earned runs in two starts with seven walks and six strikeouts combined.
Corbin Young
Tue, Apr 20th
 Joe Musgrove gave up 1 earned run in 4 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Pirates on Wednesday. Musgrove struck out 6 and walked 2 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Thu, Apr 15th
In Thursday's 11-6 loss to the Diamondbacks, Patrick Corbin got rocked for nine earned runs across two innings. He allowed six hits, nine earned runs, four walks, and three home runs with only one strikeout.
Corbin Young
Thu, Apr 15th
 Joe Musgrove will not get an extra day of rest after his no-hitter and will start on Wednesday against the Pirates.
Dan Harris
Tue, Apr 13th
Patrick Corbin struggled in his start against the Dodgers. He allowed six hits, six earned runs, and three walks with five strikeouts in 4.1 innings pitched.
Corbin Young
Sun, Apr 11th
 Joe Musgrove threw a no-hitter against the Rangers on Friday, and struck out 10 in the process. It was the first no-hitter in Padres' franchise history.
Matt Flipi
Fri, Apr 9th
Patrick Corbin (COVID-19) has been cleared to return from the COVID-19 injured list, and traveled with the team to Los Angeles. There is a possibility he starts on Saturday.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Apr 9th
 Joe Musgrove pitched 6 shutout innings in his Padres debut on Saturday. Musgrove also struck out 8 in the outing and got the win.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 4th
The Nationals opening day roster includes Trea Turner but does not include Josh Bell, Kyle Schwarber, Josh Harrison, Yan Gomes, Alex Avila, Patrick Corbin, Jon Lester, or Brad Hand, according to MASN's Mark Zuckerman. The Nationals are currently dealing with a COVID outbreak, and these absences are all likely related to positive tests and close contact tracing.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Apr 6th
Notes 
 Musgrove has been a popular sleeper the last two seasons and now that he's been traded to the Padres, his ADP is surely going to rise. In 2019, Musgrove continued to improve as a pitcher, upping his strikeout rate and adding velocity. But his 2020 season looked like a step back, until he returned from the IL strong, including finishing his season with back-to-back scoreless outings while getting back some of the lost zip on his fastball. Overall, Musgrove's 2020 numbers suggest a breakout waiting to happen, as he built significantly on his gains in 2019, increasing his strikeout rate to 33.1%. His chances for wins should improve dramatically in San Diego, and he's a fine fourth starter with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Corbin had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. His strikeout rate plummeted, and his velocity dropped significantly, with his fastball seeing a dip of almost two miles per hour. Corbin leans heavily into his slider, and he needs it to be pristine to be an effective pitcher. And although it wasn't a terrible pitch in 2020, the swinging strike rate on it dropped from 28.1% to 21.2%, and the whiff rate from 52% to just 38.2%. If the loss in velocity and effectiveness of his slider were entirely due to the oddities of the shortened season, then Corbin is going to be a major value in drafts this year. But if not, then his days as a "set it and forget it" starter are likely over. Monitor Corbin's performance this spring, particularly with his velocity. If it's back up to prior levels, then push him up your board significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Over his final four starts of the 2020 season Musgrove posted an exceptional 34:5 K:BB ratio in just 22 innings. In 34 starts from the beginning of 2019 through August 2020 his swinging strike rate sat at 11.9%. In September 2020 that figure jumped to 16.3%. So here we are again. Musgrove is an annual breakout candidate among fantasy analysts, and last year's hot finish combined with the move to San Diego won't temper expectations at all. Musgrove is an upside starting pitcher option come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros