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Who Should I Draft?

Patrick Corbin or Julio Urias (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 44# 45
Best Rank# 17# 21
Worst Rank# 88# 81
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 125# 118
Best Rank# 95# 111
Worst Rank# 137# 131
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts192129
Wins129
Saves00
ERA3.993.76
WHIP1.271.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 44
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 17# 55
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 23# 33
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 35# 60
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 27# 70
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 42# 50
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 39# 50
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 47# 49
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 30# 81
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 43# 64
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 50
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 44# 49
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 31# 40
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 61# 72
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 35# 52
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 32# 33
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 39# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 28# 67
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 38# 57
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 43
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 46# 48
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 46
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 45# 50
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 36# 47
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 63# 70
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 26# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 45# 49
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 44# 47
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 34# 44
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 37# 29
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 40# 39
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 43# 42
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 44# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 46# 44
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 33
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 48# 32
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 49# 27
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 37
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 45
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 51# 49
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 51# 42
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 54# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 55# 31
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 55# 48
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 55# 45
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 62# 36
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 65# 21
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 81# 36
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 83# 53
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 88# 40
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 88# 63
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1110
   
Innings Pitched66.355.1
   
Wins23
   
Losses70
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed8545
   
Earned Runs3420
   
Home Runs Allowed105
   
Strikeouts6045
   
Walks1818
   
ERA4.663.27
   
WHIP1.571.15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3133
   
Games Started3123
   
Innings Pitched183.5128.2
   
Wins129
   
Losses105
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed179111
   
Earned Runs8154
   
Home Runs Allowed2517
   
Strikeouts192129
   
Walks5442
   
ERA3.993.76
   
WHIP1.271.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Julio Urias
SP,RP - LAD
Julio Urias
News 
 Patrick Corbin tossed a quality start against the Reds. Corbin allowed four hits, zero earned runs, and four walks with seven strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Thu, Sep 23rd
LHP Julio Urias allowed four runs on seven hits with five strikeouts across six innings in the Dodgers' 5-4 win over the Rockies on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Patrick Corbin struggled once again versus the Rockies. Corbin gave up nine hits, six runs (five earned), and three walks with five strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Sat, Sep 18th
LHP Julio Urias earned the win on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on three hits with two walks and five strikeouts over five innings in the Dodgers' 5-3 win over the Diamondbacks.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 16th
 Patrick Corbin went seven innings with a quality start. Corbin gave up four hits, two earned runs, and two walks with four strikeouts. He also earned the win to go 8-14 on the year.
Corbin Young
Sun, Sep 12th
Julio Urias threw seven shutout innings in this one, allowing just three hits and a walk while striking out seven batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
 Patrick Corbin threw a quality start yet allowed 11 hits against Mets on Monday. Corbin gave up three earned runs, one walk, and one home run with four strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Mon, Sep 6th
LHP Julio Urias earned the win on Saturday when he allowed one run on eight hits with eight strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings as the Dodgers beat the Giants 6-1.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Sep 5th
 Patrick Corbin struggled and gave up six earned runs on Tuesday. Corbin allowed nine hits, four walks, and two home runs with four strikeouts in five innings pitched.
Corbin Young
Tue, Aug 31st
LHP Julio Urias earned the win on Monday when he allowed two runs on four hits with seven strikeouts over six innings as the Dodgers took down the Braves 5-3.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Aug 31st
Notes 
 Corbin had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. His strikeout rate plummeted, and his velocity dropped significantly, with his fastball seeing a dip of almost two miles per hour. Corbin leans heavily into his slider, and he needs it to be pristine to be an effective pitcher. And although it wasn't a terrible pitch in 2020, the swinging strike rate on it dropped from 28.1% to 21.2%, and the whiff rate from 52% to just 38.2%. If the loss in velocity and effectiveness of his slider were entirely due to the oddities of the shortened season, then Corbin is going to be a major value in drafts this year. But if not, then his days as a "set it and forget it" starter are likely over. Monitor Corbin's performance this spring, particularly with his velocity. If it's back up to prior levels, then push him up your board significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Urias had an interesting season (other than his postseason, which was dominant). His numbers overall were very solid, with a 3.27 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. But his strikeout rate dipped dramatically as a full-time starter, and his SIERA (4.88) and xFIP (5.06) suggest he got lucky. But the bottom line is that Urias is excellent at limiting hard contact, and he's allowed just a .257 BABIP over the last two seasons, which should keep his ERA in check. The Dodgers' rotation is overflowing, so it's possible they continue to limit Urias's innings. But for now, he should be considered an SP3, and as his playoffs showed, there's plenty of room for growth with his strikeout numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros