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Who Should I Draft?

Patrick Corbin or Lance McCullers Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
31 of 50 experts
38%
Recommended by
19 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 37# 44
Best Rank# 22# 17
Worst Rank# 67# 88
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 124# 125
Best Rank# 109# 95
Worst Rank# 132# 137
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts152192
Wins1012
Saves00
ERA3.723.99
WHIP1.211.27
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 50
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 44# 48
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 45# 49
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 51
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 83
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 41# 47
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 30
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 40# 48
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 41
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 32# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 35# 55
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 43# 44
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 22# 62
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 81
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 41# 61
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 25# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 51
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 48# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 38# 46
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 39# 46
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 36# 44
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 28# 88
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 32# 54
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 40# 45
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 32# 36
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 47# 63
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 40# 45
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 44# 65
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 32# 44
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 30# 88
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 31# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 32# 23
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 44# 26
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 43# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 48# 28
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 31
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 37# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 37# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 36# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 37
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 40# 37
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 39
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 49# 39
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 49# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 43# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 51# 42
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 44# 43
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 52# 43
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 67# 55
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched55.166.3
   
Wins32
   
Losses37
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4485
   
Earned Runs2434
   
Home Runs Allowed510
   
Strikeouts5660
   
Walks2018
   
ERA3.934.66
   
WHIP1.161.57
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2631
   
Games Started2631
   
Innings Pitched144.2183.5
   
Wins1012
   
Losses710
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed126179
   
Earned Runs6081
   
Home Runs Allowed1625
   
Strikeouts152192
   
Walks4854
   
ERA3.723.99
   
WHIP1.211.27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
News 
 Astros starter Lance McCullers had a shaky outing on Wednesday, allowing six runs over the course of 3.2 innings. He also surrendered four hits and three walks while striking out three.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Apr 15th
Patrick Corbin struggled in his start against the Dodgers. He allowed six hits, six earned runs, and three walks with five strikeouts in 4.1 innings pitched.
Corbin Young
Sun, Apr 11th
 Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. proved to be quite effective on Friday night, allowing just one run on two hits over five innings. He also walked three and struck out six. It was all for naught, though, as the bullpen surrendered five runs and Houston lost to the Athletics, 6-2.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Apr 10th
Patrick Corbin (COVID-19) has been cleared to return from the COVID-19 injured list, and traveled with the team to Los Angeles. There is a possibility he starts on Saturday.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Apr 9th
 In his first start of the season, Astros pitcher Lance McCullers Jr. held the Athletics to just one run, two hits, and three walks over five innings of work. He also struck out seven batters while amassing a respectable 54-41 strikes-to-balls ratio.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Apr 3rd
The Nationals opening day roster includes Trea Turner but does not include Josh Bell, Kyle Schwarber, Josh Harrison, Yan Gomes, Alex Avila, Patrick Corbin, Jon Lester, or Brad Hand, according to MASN's Mark Zuckerman. The Nationals are currently dealing with a COVID outbreak, and these absences are all likely related to positive tests and close contact tracing.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Apr 6th
 Lance McCullers Jr. and the Astros have agreed to a five-year, $85 million contract extension.
Dan Harris
Wed, Mar 24th
 
 The Houston Astros have reportedly offered pitcher Lance McCullers Jr. a contract extension.
Ari Koslow
Tue, Mar 23rd
 
Notes 
 McCullers made a successful return from Tommy John surgery after missing the 2019 season and looked almost exactly like the 2018 version of himself. His ERA (3.93) and WHIP (1.16) were within seven-tenths of a point of his 2018 numbers, and his walk and strikeout rates fell just slightly. McCullers relied a bit more on his sinker and less on his curveball than in past years, but the two work well together and he continued to throw them in combination about 80% of the time. In short, what you thought of McCullers heading into 2018 is pretty much what you should think of him now. Unfortunately, that includes concerns about his innings, because after a missed year and 55 innings last year, the chances of him topping 150 innings this season are remote. Buy him at his production, but understand that there's likely a hard cap on his innings total.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Corbin had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. His strikeout rate plummeted, and his velocity dropped significantly, with his fastball seeing a dip of almost two miles per hour. Corbin leans heavily into his slider, and he needs it to be pristine to be an effective pitcher. And although it wasn't a terrible pitch in 2020, the swinging strike rate on it dropped from 28.1% to 21.2%, and the whiff rate from 52% to just 38.2%. If the loss in velocity and effectiveness of his slider were entirely due to the oddities of the shortened season, then Corbin is going to be a major value in drafts this year. But if not, then his days as a "set it and forget it" starter are likely over. Monitor Corbin's performance this spring, particularly with his velocity. If it's back up to prior levels, then push him up your board significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros