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Who Should I Draft?

Patrick Corbin or Pablo Lopez (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
33 of 51 experts
35%
Recommended by
18 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 44# 47
Best Rank# 17# 33
Worst Rank# 88# 63
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 125# 138
Best Rank# 95# 128
Worst Rank# 137# 156
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts192144
Wins1210
Saves00
ERA3.993.99
WHIP1.271.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 45
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 37# 44
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 17# 34
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 23# 45
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 35# 41
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 27# 57
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 42# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 39# 48
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 47# 48
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 30# 51
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 43# 53
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 49
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 47
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 49# 57
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 44# 52
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 31# 45
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 35# 53
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 32# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 39# 43
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 28# 54
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 38# 49
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 52
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 46# 50
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 46# 52
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 51
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 45# 49
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 55# 60
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 36# 54
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 40# 63
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 26# 55
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 45# 48
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 44# 45
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 34# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 43# 41
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 44# 38
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 48# 36
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 40
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 41
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 51# 47
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 51# 41
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 54# 50
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 55# 41
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 55# 51
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 61# 44
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 62# 33
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 63# 48
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 65# 50
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 81# 49
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 83# 47
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 88# 57
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 88# 48
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched66.357.0
   
Wins26
   
Losses74
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed8550
   
Earned Runs3423
   
Home Runs Allowed104
   
Strikeouts6059
   
Walks1818
   
ERA4.663.61
   
WHIP1.571.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3129
   
Games Started3128
   
Innings Pitched183.5153.0
   
Wins1210
   
Losses1010
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed179144
   
Earned Runs8168
   
Home Runs Allowed2519
   
Strikeouts192144
   
Walks5443
   
ERA3.993.99
   
WHIP1.271.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Pablo Lopez
SP - MIA
Pablo Lopez
News 
 Patrick Corbin tossed a quality start against the Reds. Corbin allowed four hits, zero earned runs, and four walks with seven strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Thu, Sep 23rd
Marlins' starting pitcher Pablo Lopez should resume bullpen sessions this week.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Sep 7th
 Patrick Corbin struggled once again versus the Rockies. Corbin gave up nine hits, six runs (five earned), and three walks with five strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Sat, Sep 18th
Marlins starting pitcher Pablo Lopez has returned to Miami after just one rehab appearance at Triple-A. As Christina De Nicola of MLB.com notes, "he is not being shut down, there will just be a delay in his progression."
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
 Patrick Corbin went seven innings with a quality start. Corbin gave up four hits, two earned runs, and two walks with four strikeouts. He also earned the win to go 8-14 on the year.
Corbin Young
Sun, Sep 12th
Marlins RHP Pablo Lopez (shoulder) will begin a minor league rehab assignment with Triple-A Jacksonville on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Aug 20th
 Patrick Corbin threw a quality start yet allowed 11 hits against Mets on Monday. Corbin gave up three earned runs, one walk, and one home run with four strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Mon, Sep 6th
After a bullpen session on Monday, Pablo Lopez threw another one on Thursday, this time in Cincinnati with the rest of the ball club.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Aug 19th
 Patrick Corbin struggled and gave up six earned runs on Tuesday. Corbin allowed nine hits, four walks, and two home runs with four strikeouts in five innings pitched.
Corbin Young
Tue, Aug 31st
Marlins pitcher Pablo Lopez was spotted throwing a live bullpen session in Miami Monday afternoon. The news comes a week after he began throwing pitch numbered bullpen sessions with no hitters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Aug 16th
Notes 
 Corbin had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. His strikeout rate plummeted, and his velocity dropped significantly, with his fastball seeing a dip of almost two miles per hour. Corbin leans heavily into his slider, and he needs it to be pristine to be an effective pitcher. And although it wasn't a terrible pitch in 2020, the swinging strike rate on it dropped from 28.1% to 21.2%, and the whiff rate from 52% to just 38.2%. If the loss in velocity and effectiveness of his slider were entirely due to the oddities of the shortened season, then Corbin is going to be a major value in drafts this year. But if not, then his days as a "set it and forget it" starter are likely over. Monitor Corbin's performance this spring, particularly with his velocity. If it's back up to prior levels, then push him up your board significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Despite his 5.09 ERA and mediocre strikeout rate in 2019, there was some buzz about Lopez heading into last season because of his outstanding changeup and his ability to keep his WHIP in check. He justified the expectations, cutting his ERA to 3.61 and striking out about a batter and a half more per nine innings than he had previously. He's still volatile, as he has seemingly random games where he lacks command with his changeup and gets hit hard. And he needs another pitch to complement his fastball and changeup. But if he can continue to develop either his curveball or cutter, he could be a true breakout candidate. Draft him as an SP4 with upside for more if his other pitches continue to improve.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros