Who Should I Draft?

Patrick Corbin or Stephen Strasburg (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 15
Best Rank# 9# 11
Worst Rank# 42# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 59
Best Rank# 43# 51
Worst Rank# 74# 62
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts201187
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.503.40
WHIP1.221.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 14# 20
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 13
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 18# 28
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 11# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 13# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 19
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 16# 25
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 12# 17
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 16# 17
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 13# 17
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 17# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 14# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 16
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 13# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 18
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 13# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 15# 19
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 17# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 16
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 15# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 17
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 28# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 13# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 12# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 13# 19
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 16# 17
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 13# 18
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 14# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 14# 13
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 16# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 17# 13
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 17# 16
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 17# 16
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 17
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 17
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 18# 12
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 18# 13
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 19# 14
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 19# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 20# 14
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 21# 15
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 21# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 13
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 18
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 22# 15
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 22# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 23# 11
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 23# 21
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 15
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 26# 16
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 28# 11
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 31# 28
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 42# 15
   
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3322
   
Games Started3322
   
Innings Pitched200.2130.1
   
Wins1110
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed162118
   
Earned Runs7054
   
Home Runs Allowed1518
   
Strikeouts246156
   
Walks4838
   
ERA3.153.74
   
WHIP1.051.20
   
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3228
   
Games Started3228
   
Innings Pitched188.0163.6
   
Wins1312
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed174142
   
Earned Runs7362
   
Home Runs Allowed2119
   
Strikeouts201187
   
Walks5547
   
ERA3.503.40
   
WHIP1.221.16
   
  Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
News 
 Nationals starter Patrick Corbin allowed seven earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over five innings in a loss to the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday. The loss drops him to 5-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 12th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed six earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five over five innings in a loss to the Diamondbacks on Saturday. The loss drops him to 7-4 on the year.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
 Corbin was tagged with the loss against the Padres on Thursday night, giving up five runs (three earned) on five hits across five innings, striking out six and walking five as the Nationals fell 5-4.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out six over seven innings in a win over the San Diego Padres Sunday. The win brings him to 7-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
 Nationals starter Patrick Corbin allowed six earned runs on 11 hits and no walks while striking out two over just 2 2/3 innings in Friday’s loss to the Cincinnati Reds. The loss drops him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 1st
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed five earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over five innings in a win over the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday. The win was the 100th of his career and brings him to 6-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 5th
 Nationals starter Patrick Corbin tossed a four-hit shutout in Saturday's win over the Miami Marlins, allowing one walk while striking out five.
Mike Maher
Sun, May 26th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out 11 over seven innings in Tuesday’s win over the Atlanta Braves. The win brings him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
 Nationals starter Patrick Corbin allowed four earned runs on six hits and three walks while striking out seven over five innings in a loss to the New York Mets on Monday. The loss drops him to 4-2 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, May 20th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out five across seven innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets on Thursday.
Mike Maher
Thu, May 23rd
Notes 
 Corbin was an absolute monster last season, striking out 246 batters with a 1.05 WHIP and 3.15 ERA. Granted, those ratios are likely to jump, perhaps even half a run in ERA, but he should also add considerably to his 11 wins from 2018 now that he is in Washington
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Corbin had a breakout season in 2018, and his peripherals suggest his 3.15 ERA should have been even better. He was not a mixed league asset in either of the previous two seasons, so there is a bit of risk in relying on him as your top starter, but he should be able to replicate his success as long as he can continue to miss bats with his slider like he did last season.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Corbin's breakout came as a result of leaning more on a devastating slider that yielded a .195 wOBA and 29.3% swinging-strike rate. It steered him to MLB's third-lowest FIP (2.47), seventh-highest strikeout % (30.8), and second-lowest contact rate (66.8%) among all qualified starters. The peripherals back the 29-year-old southpaw's breakout, but skeptics will point to an alarming 41.7% hard-hit rate and lack of a second plus pitch. Luckily the market is bearish enough on an encore to price Corbin as a high-end No. 2 starter rather than staff anchor.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros