Who Should I Draft?
Paul Goldschmidt or Austin Riley (2023)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Paul Goldschmidt 1B,DH - STL  | Austin Riley 3B - ATL  | |
Expert |
56% Recommended by 32 of 57 experts |
44% Recommended by 25 of 57 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 20 | # 21 |
| Best Rank | # 10 | # 11 |
| Worst Rank | # 34 | # 36 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 21 | # 22 |
| Best Rank | # 20 | # 19 |
| Worst Rank | # 24 | # 41 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 93 | 89 |
| Home Runs | 29 | 33 |
| RBI | 95 | 99 |
| Stolen Bases | 7 | 1 |
| Batting Average | .284 | .278 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 20 | # 29 |
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | # 17 | # 19 |
| Jody Smith FullTime Fantasy | # 19 | # 21 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 18 | # 23 |
| Greg Smith Superflex.Guide | # 20 | # 22 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 19 | # 20 |
| Jeff Zimmerman FanGraphs | # 19 | # 21 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 20 | # 25 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 19 | # 20 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 18 | # 19 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 17 | # 19 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 19 | # 21 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 18 | # 20 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 21 | # 22 |
| Paul Sporer FanGraphs | # 10 | # 30 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 18 | # 20 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 20 | # 21 |
| Pierre Camus Fantasy Endgame | # 18 | # 27 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 17 | # 22 |
| Matthew Williams The Athletic | # 19 | # 21 |
| Keith Lott Fantasy Six Pack | # 17 | # 20 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 12 | # 21 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 14 | # 21 |
| Jacob W. Dunne Triple Play Fantasy | # 20 | # 36 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 15 | # 21 |
| Scott Youngson Pitcher List | # 15 | # 18 |
| Ethan Biddle FantasyPros | # 18 | # 21 |
| Scott Bogman FantasyPros | # 19 | # 20 |
| Jason Kamlowsky FantasyPros | # 16 | # 21 |
| Travis Argo Fantasy Six Pack | # 17 | # 18 |
| Fred Zinkie Yahoo! Sports | # 14 | # 27 |
| Blake Meyer Sports Gambling Podcast Network | # 14 | # 17 |
| Julian Tarevski FantasyPros | # 15 | # 14 |
| Josh Shepardson FantasyPros | # 16 | # 15 |
| Kev Mahserejian RotoBaller | # 18 | # 16 |
| Joe Orrico SportsEthos | # 19 | # 14 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 19 | # 17 |
| Brad Camara RotoBaller | # 20 | # 17 |
| Kelly Kirby FantasyPros | # 20 | # 19 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 20 | # 19 |
| Bart Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football | # 20 | # 16 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 20 | # 17 |
| Jesse Garcia FantasyPros | # 21 | # 20 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 21 | # 19 |
| Christopher Welsh FantasyPros | # 21 | # 16 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 21 | # 17 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 21 | # 20 |
| Tristan Davis SEMO Fantasy Sports Podcast | # 21 | # 17 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 21 | # 18 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 22 | # 21 |
| Justin Mason FanGraphs | # 22 | # 19 |
| Brandon 'B_Don' Myers Razzball | # 22 | # 11 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 23 | # 15 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 27 | # 21 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 29 | # 20 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 30 | # 16 |
| Taylor Tarter Fastball Fantasy Baseball | # 34 | # 20 |
| Paul Goldschmidt 1B,DH - STL | Austin Riley 3B - ATL | |
| 2022 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 561 | 615 |
| Runs | 106 | 90 |
| Hits | 178 | 167 |
| Singles | 102 | 88 |
| Doubles | 41 | 39 |
| Triples | 0 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 35 | 38 |
| RBI | 115 | 93 |
| Stolen Bases | 7 | 2 |
| Caught Stealing | 0 | 0 |
| Walks | 79 | 57 |
| Strikeouts | 141 | 168 |
| Batting Average | .317 | .272 |
| On Base Pct | .404 | .348 |
| Slugging Pct | .578 | .527 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .981 | .875 |
| Paul Goldschmidt 1B,DH - STL | Austin Riley 3B - ATL | |
| 2023 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 555 | 580 |
| Runs | 93 | 89 |
| Hits | 158 | 161 |
| Singles | 95 | 93 |
| Doubles | 32 | 33 |
| Triples | 1 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 29 | 33 |
| RBI | 95 | 99 |
| Stolen Bases | 7 | 1 |
| Caught Stealing | 1 | 0 |
| Walks | 73 | 53 |
| Strikeouts | 138 | 157 |
| Batting Average | .284 | .278 |
| On Base Pct | .367 | .339 |
| Slugging Pct | .492 | .510 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .859 | .849 |
| Paul Goldschmidt 1B,DH - STL | Austin Riley 3B - ATL | |
| News | ||
| There are no recent news for these players | ||
| Notes | ||
| Paul Goldschmidt won the NL MVP in 2022, putting together a strong campaign that saw him hit 35 HR with 115 RBI and 105 runs while slashing .317/.404/.578 in his age-34 season. Strangely, all of his underlying metrics were actually worse in 2022 than in 2021 with the exception of his BB% bouncing from 9.9 to 12.1. One striking reason for this was a .368 BABIP, while another was facing a lot of atrocious pitching in the NL Central. His Statcast page reads like a warning when comparing his expected numbers with his actual ones. All of this adds up to that Goldy is due for some regression in 2023, which could be dramatic. The positives are his solid floor, and a good surrounding lineup will keep the numbers afloat. Just make sure you're not paying for his MVP iteration on draft day. Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros | Austin Riley showed up on a lot of "Busts" lists heading into 2022, which caused his draft stock to fall, so the fantasy managers who took the chance were handsomely rewarded with 38 HR, 93 RBI, and 90 runs. Riley sits in the 95th percentile or higher in HardHit%, xSLG, Barrel%, avgEV, MaxEV, and xwOBA, which puts him in a tiny group of batters who can provide power numbers without destroying your ratios. He will strike out and doesn't take as many walks as he should, but the lineup around him provides plenty of protection and a fantastic ceiling for counting stats. The 25-year-old is not making it out of the second round in NFBC drafts, so chances are good his draft stock isn't going anywhere this season. Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros | |
