Who Should I Draft?

Paul Goldschmidt or Cody Bellinger (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
55 of 56 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 30
Best Rank# 10# 16
Worst Rank# 31# 49
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 39
Best Rank# 14# 38
Worst Rank# 23# 50
   
Projections 
   
Runs9788
Home Runs3032
RBI9495
Stolen Bases1112
Batting Average.284.262
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 17# 28
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 28
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 48
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 14# 25
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 31# 45
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 16# 37
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 33
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 26
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 10# 49
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 26
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 30
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 15# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 32
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 18# 32
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 16# 34
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 15# 33
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 13# 40
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 15# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 32
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 17# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 26
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 32
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 13# 31
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 24# 45
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 30
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 33
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 27
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 15# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 19# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 13# 33
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 33
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 14# 31
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 18# 31
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 15# 32
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 13# 32
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 15# 32
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 28
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 23# 29
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 17# 33
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 27
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 22# 27
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 31
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 23# 32
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 39
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 12# 27
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 16# 29
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 18# 30
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 28
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 17# 31
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 24
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 12# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 23# 19
   
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats593557
   
Runs9584
   
Hits172145
   
Singles9985
   
Doubles3528
   
Triples57
   
Home Runs3325
   
RBI8376
   
Stolen Bases714
   
Caught Stealing41
   
Walks9069
   
Strikeouts173151
   
Batting Average.290.260
   
On Base Pct.389.343
   
Slugging Pct.533.470
   
On-base Plus Slugging.922.814
   
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats563548
   
Runs9788
   
Hits160143
   
Singles9679
   
Doubles3128
   
Triples35
   
Home Runs3032
   
RBI9495
   
Stolen Bases1112
   
Caught Stealing43
   
Walks9069
   
Strikeouts153149
   
Batting Average.284.262
   
On Base Pct.383.345
   
Slugging Pct.509.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.892.851
   
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
News 
 Paul Goldschmidt is absent from Wednesday's lineup versus the Marlins.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
Cody Bellinger went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and a walk as the Dodgers beat the Cubs 3-2 on Sunday Night Baseball.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
 Paul Goldschmidt went 1-for-2 with a two-run home run, two walks, and two runs scored in the Cardinals' 4-3 win over the Mets on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
Cody Bellinger went 0-for-3 with a walk and a stolen base as the Dodgers fell to the Cubs 2-1 on Saturday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Paul Goldschmidt went 0-for-5 with a strikeout in the Cardinals' 5-4 win over the Mets on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 15th
Cody Bellinger went 3-for-4 with two homers, two RBI, and two runs scored in Thursday's 7-3 win over the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Paul Goldschmidt went 1-for-3 with a single, a walk, and a run scored in the Cardinals' 9-4 loss to the Cubs on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 9th
Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with a single in Monday's 5-3 loss to the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
 Paul Goldschmidt went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in the Cardinals' 7-4 win over the Cubs on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Cody Bellinger extended his hit streak to 12 games as the Dodgers fell to Arizona in extra innings on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Notes 
 Goldschmidt was incredible over his last 100 games, posting a .334/.424/.608 line. You may think his stats will take a big hit moving out of Chase Field, but with the humidor in place, it was actually among the worst park for hitters last season. In St. Louis, he should continue his run of 30+ homers, 95+ runs and a .290+ batting average
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Last year was a major disappointment for Bellinger owners after he hit 39 homers in just 132 rookie games in 2017. He still managed to hit 25 bombs with 14 steals, however, so the floor is plenty high. At just 23 years old, we clearly haven't seen the best of Bellinger so don't be surprised if he breaks out for 50 bombs this year or next
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Goldschmidt recovered from a dreadful first two months to finish as the second-best first baseman in fantasy in 2018, providing his typical production aside from a drop in stolen bases. The steals may not fully return, and Goldy's gradually increasing strikeout rate suggests he may not continue to hit above .290, either, particularly as he moves to a more pitcher-friendly home ballpark in St. Louis. Still, he is a strong bet to approach 30-100-100 and should go in the first two or three rounds of most fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bellinger was always due for some negative regression after he belted 39 home runs in just 480 at-bats during his rookie 2017 season, but he should now be due for a bit of positive regression after managing just 25 home runs last year. His hard hit rate tailed off a bit, but his exit velocity and launch angle remained unchanged, so he's a good bet to return to the 30-35 HR range this year. Bellinger promisingly trimmed his strikeout rate, indicating that he should be able to keep his batting average in the .260 range even if his BABIP drops a little, and the 10-15 steals he provides give him a leg up on most other 1B-eligible players. The fact he's unlikely to hit .280-.300 keeps him a notch below Freeman, Goldschmidt, and Rizzo, but he's already the next best thing and is still just 23 years old.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Whatever happened in May, Goldschmidt remedied it. After batting .144/.252/.278 in the worst month of the career, he then hit .330/.420/.602 with 26 of his 33 homers. He still batted .290-his lowest average since 2012-with 33 homers and a .390 wOBA. Now stationed behind bat walks machine Matt Carpenter in St. Louis, the durable veteran makes a sturdy second-round selection who could return first-round value by reviving gaudy stolen-base tallies of years' past.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
In 162 games and 84 more plate appearances than in his spectacular arrival, Bellinger hit 14 fewer home runs (25) while his ISO dropped from .315 to .210. On the bright side, he avoided significant batting-average regression by hitting .260 with a diminished strikeout rate (23.9%). The 23-year-old maintains more than enough raw power to jump back to 30 long balls, but don't overlook his 14 steals in 15 tries. This isn't a mere case of catching opponents off guard, as the 6'4" stud recorded a higher Statcast speed score (28.9) than Jose Peraza, Tim Anderson, and Ozzie Albies. He's a 30-15 candidate with upside for more, so don't let him fall too far beyond the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros