Who Should I Draft?

Paul Goldschmidt or Javier Baez (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
35 of 56 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 18
Best Rank# 10# 6
Worst Rank# 31# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 18
Best Rank# 14# 16
Worst Rank# 23# 23
   
Projections 
   
Runs9787
Home Runs3030
RBI9496
Stolen Bases1117
Batting Average.284.276
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 14# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 10# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 19
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 18# 19
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 15# 18
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 13# 20
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 15# 24
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 13# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 29
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 18
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 15# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 19# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 23
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 14# 33
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 18# 19
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 15# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 13# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 15# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 17# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 21
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 20
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 16# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 18# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 17# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 18
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 12# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 15
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 12# 11
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 13# 7
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 13
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 15# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 15
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 16# 14
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 16# 9
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 17# 9
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 17# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 14
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 22# 15
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 23# 15
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 23# 22
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 23# 17
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 24# 13
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 31# 10
   
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats593606
   
Runs95101
   
Hits172176
   
Singles9993
   
Doubles3540
   
Triples59
   
Home Runs3334
   
RBI83111
   
Stolen Bases721
   
Caught Stealing49
   
Walks9029
   
Strikeouts173167
   
Batting Average.290.290
   
On Base Pct.389.326
   
Slugging Pct.533.555
   
On-base Plus Slugging.922.881
   
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats563582
   
Runs9787
   
Hits160161
   
Singles9693
   
Doubles3133
   
Triples35
   
Home Runs3030
   
RBI9496
   
Stolen Bases1117
   
Caught Stealing46
   
Walks9033
   
Strikeouts153159
   
Batting Average.284.276
   
On Base Pct.383.315
   
Slugging Pct.509.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.892.822
   
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
News 
 Paul Goldschmidt is absent from Wednesday's lineup versus the Marlins.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in the Cubs'10-1 win over the Rockies' on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 13th
 Paul Goldschmidt went 1-for-2 with a two-run home run, two walks, and two runs scored in the Cardinals' 4-3 win over the Mets on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
Javier Baez went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
 Paul Goldschmidt went 0-for-5 with a strikeout in the Cardinals' 5-4 win over the Mets on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 15th
Javier Baez went 3-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 6-3 win over the Rockies on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 4th
 Paul Goldschmidt went 1-for-3 with a single, a walk, and a run scored in the Cardinals' 9-4 loss to the Cubs on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 9th
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, a double, and three RBI in the Cubs' 8-1 win over the Angels on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 3rd
 Paul Goldschmidt went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in the Cardinals' 7-4 win over the Cubs on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Javier Baez (heel) has returned to the Cubs' lineup on Sunday versus the Cardinals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Notes 
 Goldschmidt was incredible over his last 100 games, posting a .334/.424/.608 line. You may think his stats will take a big hit moving out of Chase Field, but with the humidor in place, it was actually among the worst park for hitters last season. In St. Louis, he should continue his run of 30+ homers, 95+ runs and a .290+ batting average
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Goldschmidt recovered from a dreadful first two months to finish as the second-best first baseman in fantasy in 2018, providing his typical production aside from a drop in stolen bases. The steals may not fully return, and Goldy's gradually increasing strikeout rate suggests he may not continue to hit above .290, either, particularly as he moves to a more pitcher-friendly home ballpark in St. Louis. Still, he is a strong bet to approach 30-100-100 and should go in the first two or three rounds of most fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Whatever happened in May, Goldschmidt remedied it. After batting .144/.252/.278 in the worst month of the career, he then hit .330/.420/.602 with 26 of his 33 homers. He still batted .290-his lowest average since 2012-with 33 homers and a .390 wOBA. Now stationed behind bat walks machine Matt Carpenter in St. Louis, the durable veteran makes a sturdy second-round selection who could return first-round value by reviving gaudy stolen-base tallies of years' past.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros