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Who Should I Draft?

Paul Goldschmidt or Josh Bell (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Josh Bell
1B - PIT
Josh Bell
Expert
Recommendation
84%
Recommended by
38 of 45 experts
16%
Recommended by
7 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 38# 56
Best Rank# 21# 32
Worst Rank# 71# 113
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 67# 84
Best Rank# 49# 51
Worst Rank# 80# 94
   
Projections 
   
Runs3431
Home Runs1211
RBI3436
Stolen Bases20
Batting Average.280.277
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 86
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 53
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 36# 39
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 73
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 33# 63
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 31# 85
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 48# 56
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 34# 54
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 38# 47
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 42
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 39# 57
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 39# 50
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 63
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 48
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 53# 69
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 55# 57
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 30# 37
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 113
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 38# 58
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 39# 49
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 41# 55
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 38# 48
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 50
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 34# 68
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 47# 58
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 55
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 40# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 58
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 53
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 35# 43
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 46# 61
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 54
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 34# 50
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 43# 63
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 35# 49
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 46# 57
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 44# 65
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 41# 59
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 45# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 40
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 49# 40
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 56# 49
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 48
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 61# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 71# 60
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Josh Bell
1B - PIT
Josh Bell
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats597527
   
Runs9794
   
Hits155146
   
Singles9569
   
Doubles2537
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs3437
   
RBI97116
   
Stolen Bases30
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks7874
   
Strikeouts166118
   
Batting Average.260.277
   
On Base Pct.346.367
   
Slugging Pct.476.569
   
On-base Plus Slugging.821.936
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Josh Bell
1B - PIT
Josh Bell
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats203194
   
Runs3431
   
Hits5754
   
Singles3430
   
Doubles1012
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs1211
   
RBI3436
   
Stolen Bases20
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks3028
   
Strikeouts5844
   
Batting Average.280.277
   
On Base Pct.372.369
   
Slugging Pct.502.509
   
On-base Plus Slugging.874.878
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Paul Goldschmidt
1B - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Josh Bell
1B - PIT
Josh Bell
News 
 Paul Goldschmidt told reporters that his elbow is 100 percent healthy now.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 4th
 
 Paul Goldschmidt (elbow) continues to go to the Cardinals' spring training complex to receive treatment.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 17th
 
 Paul Goldschmidt is dealing with right elbow soreness and will be out of the Grapefruit League lineup for at least "a couple of days," said St.Louis Cardinals manager Mike Shildt.
Brad Camara
Wed, Mar 11th
 
 Paul Goldschmidt went 2-for-3 with a solo home run Tuesday's 6-3 Grapefruit League win over the Astros.
Brad Camara
Tue, Mar 3rd
 
 Paul Goldschmidt has been dealing with a sore right elbow since just before spring workouts began. This has limited his ability to throw, but he says he's been feeling better lately.
Blaine Blontz
Fri, Feb 21st
 
Notes 
 What set Paul Goldschmidt apart from the other first basemen for years were his steals. Over the past four years, his stolen base totals have dropped from 32 to 18, to 7, to 3 last year. He had 34 home runs, which were nice, but he also had his lowest triple-slash line since his rookie year in 2011. He'll still give you production at a shallow position, but this isn't going to be a gradual decline with Goldschmidt.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Prior to 2019, Josh Bell's career mimicked that of James Loney, as he was a big first baseman who hit the ball on the ground ... a lot. That's why his 2019 season caught some by surprise because he continued to hit the ball hard, but hew as elevating it now to the tune of 37 home runs. Is it a pop-up year? Well, his numbers declined in the second half of the season, but you could make the argument that they really just leveled off, as is the case when most players put up huge numbers that they typically don't in the first half of the season (a la the home run derby "curse"). Bell has the pedigree - and now the peripherals - to back up the breakout season. At a shallow position, buy-in.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Goldschmidt's batting average may have dipped thanks to a slow start but he finished with 30+ homers for the third consecutive season and very nearly went for 100 runs and 100 RBIs. More than likely, that batting average will end up north of .280 again too which would make him a steal at the end of the fifth round.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Bell had a true breakout season in 2019, improving drastically in pretty much every measurable category. His increases in exit velocity (2.3 mph), launch angle (3.8 degrees), and barrels per plate appearance (3.8%) showed that his gains were not fluky, and he even recovered from what looked to be a second-half collapse with a .927 OPS in August. The issue for Bell is that even with the improvements, a first baseman who bats .277 and slugs 37 home runs is not blowing the fantasy world away. Buy many of the gains, but don't go crazy on draft day.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 His production has been on a steady decline over the past three years as he has gotten older, and that is not something I plan on buying into in the 5th round.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Bell slowed down a ton after the break but was so terrific to start the season that he still finished with 37 homers, 116 RBIs and a .277 batting average. There is potential for more, but considering how he ended the year, perhaps a little risk as well for the price tag.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 better in points
Frank Stampfl - RotoExperts