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Who Should I Draft?

Pete Alonso or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Pete Alonso
1B - NYM
Pete Alonso
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Expert
Recommendation
67%
Recommended by
30 of 45 experts
33%
Recommended by
15 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 30
Best Rank# 13# 19
Worst Rank# 41# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 27# 40
Best Rank# 24# 34
Worst Rank# 29# 44
   
Projections 
   
Runs3533
Home Runs169
RBI4030
Stolen Bases03
Batting Average.258.298
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 26# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 34
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 41
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 38# 75
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 26# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 26# 28
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 30
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 24# 29
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 23# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 65
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 24# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 23# 38
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 28
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 21# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 38
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 32# 45
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 37
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 30# 36
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 54
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 21# 33
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 27# 28
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 21# 79
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 19
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 25# 20
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 25# 23
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 26# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 29# 26
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 24
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 31# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 31# 30
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 31# 29
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 32# 28
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 30
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 33# 29
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 35# 33
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 41# 32
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Pete Alonso
1B - NYM
Pete Alonso
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats597569
   
Runs10397
   
Hits155187
   
Singles70110
   
Doubles3036
   
Triples29
   
Home Runs5332
   
RBI12092
   
Stolen Bases110
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks7253
   
Strikeouts18386
   
Batting Average.260.329
   
On Base Pct.358.389
   
Slugging Pct.583.592
   
On-base Plus Slugging.941.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Pete Alonso
1B - NYM
Pete Alonso
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats203210
   
Runs3533
   
Hits5362
   
Singles2538
   
Doubles1012
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs169
   
RBI4030
   
Stolen Bases03
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks2520
   
Strikeouts6233
   
Batting Average.258.298
   
On Base Pct.340.360
   
Slugging Pct.542.509
   
On-base Plus Slugging.882.869
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Pete Alonso
1B - NYM
Pete Alonso
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
News 
 Pete Alonso was 2-for-3, with a single and a double, Sunday against the Astros.
Jarod Rupp
Mon, Mar 9th
 
Notes 
 Fifty-three home runs. Pete Alonso surpassed the lofty expectations that he had entering his rookie year, and while you can attribute some of that to the ball, Alonso's power is still among the most elite in the game. Is he going to give you a lot of home runs and RBIs but not much elsewhere? Yeah, probably, but here's the thing with the argument that he's going to give you stats that are easy to find elsewhere - you need even more to win those categories now. If everyone is hitting bombs, get the guy who can out-homer them - especially at a top-heavy position like first base.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 It feels odd that a rookie can hit 53 homers with 120 RBIs then end up draft towards the end of the third round but that's exactly what we have here. 60 homrs is a real possibility but then again, so are 35 homers with a .235 batting average, similar to the disappointment fantasy owners had with Hoskins last season.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
  In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy