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Who Should I Draft?

Rafael Devers or Alex Bregman (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
31 of 51 experts
39%
Recommended by
20 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 19# 25
Best Rank# 13# 13
Worst Rank# 58# 46
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 40# 34
Best Rank# 35# 27
Worst Rank# 45# 45
   
Projections 
   
Runs9596
Home Runs3129
RBI10195
Stolen Bases55
Batting Average.282.281
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 17# 46
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 29
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 30
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 36
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 22
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 30
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 19# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 24
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 32
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 30
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 30
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 17# 25
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 24# 30
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 17# 26
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 37
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 19
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 27
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 28
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 21# 26
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 39
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 33# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 24
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 24# 25
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 22# 26
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 27# 44
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 17# 24
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 15# 16
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 19# 45
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 20
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 22# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 20
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 23# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 19
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 23# 14
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 24# 21
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 24# 13
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 24# 18
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 24# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 25# 18
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 20
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 27# 25
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 22
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 29# 18
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 29# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 30# 26
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 20
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 58# 37
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats232153
   
Runs3219
   
Hits6137
   
Singles3318
   
Doubles1612
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs116
   
RBI4322
   
Stolen Bases00
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks1324
   
Strikeouts6726
   
Batting Average.263.242
   
On Base Pct.311.350
   
Slugging Pct.483.451
   
On-base Plus Slugging.793.801
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats589538
   
Runs9596
   
Hits165149
   
Singles9180
   
Doubles4036
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs3129
   
RBI10195
   
Stolen Bases55
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks4591
   
Strikeouts13886
   
Batting Average.282.281
   
On Base Pct.334.386
   
Slugging Pct.518.517
   
On-base Plus Slugging.852.903
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Alex Bregman
3B,SS - HOU
Alex Bregman
News 
 Rafael Devers went 1-for-4 with a home run, and three RBIs. He was responsible for all three of the Red Sox runs in this contest against the Yankees on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Sat, Sep 25th
Astros third baseman Alex Bregman went 1-for-4 with a single against the Angels on Thursday evening. Houston ultimately fell to Los Angeles by a score of 3-2.
Andersen Pickard
Fri, Sep 24th
 Rafael Devers went 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI, and three runs scored in Saturday's 9-3 win over Baltimore.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 19th
Astros third baseman Alex Bregman went 1-for-3 with a single against the Diamondbacks on Saturday. He also drew a pair of walks in the effort. Houston ultimately fell to Arizona by a score of 6-4 in 10 innings.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Sep 19th
 Rafael Devers went just 1-for-4 on the day, striking out twice. But he salvaged his fantasy day with a solo homer in the eighth inning.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
Astros third baseman Alex Bregman went 2-for-3 with a single and two-run homer against the Rangers on Monday evening. He also walked and struck out in the effort. Houston ultimately defeated Texas by a score of 15-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
 Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with an RBI, a run scored, and two walks on Monday.
Liam Gibney
Tue, Sep 7th
Astros third baseman Alex Bregman hit a pinch-hit solo homer against the Mariners on Wednesday afternoon. Houston ultimately fell to Seattle by a score of 8-5.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Sep 8th
 Rafael Devers went 1-for-3 with a home run and three RBIs on Saturday.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 5th
Astros third baseman Alex Bregman went 3-for-5 with a single, double and two-run homer against the Mariners on Tuesday. He finished the day with three RBI as Houston ultimately defeated Seattle by a score of 5-4 in 10 innings.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Sep 8th
Notes 
 Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
2020 was just a bad season for Bregman, plain and simple. He missed time with a hamstring injury, and generally regressed in every major statistical category. Considering that Bregman will be just 27 years old on Opening Day and had batted .291 with 72 home runs combined over the previous two seasons, fantasy managers can probably just throw out most of what they saw from him in 2020. He'll continue to be an upper echelon option at third base and considering his strong walk and strikeout rates, an even better one in points leagues. He's been battling a hamstring issue for most of camp, but as of now, he doesn't look like he'll miss much, if any, time, so draft him accordingly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Just like in 2019, Devers got off to a slow start last season. He posted a weak .543 OPS over his first 14 games before coming to life with an .868 mark over his final 43 contests. Devers' O-swing has increased every year that he has been in the league, up to 42.3% in 2020. His breakout 2019 saw him make contact on an unsustainable number of pitchers outside the zone. The young third baseman is able to do damage on anything he makes contact with, but he needs to decrease the amount of strikeout to become a consistently elite hitter.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
60 game season and people forget how good Bregman is. Such an easy pick at ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Devers would be more appealing if he stole bases more often, but batting in the middle of the mediocre Red Sox lineup does not scream huge season. He is a fine pick, but not someone primed to break out.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy