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Who Should I Draft?

Rafael Devers or Jack Flaherty (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
29 of 55 experts
47%
Recommended by
26 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 28
Best Rank# 22# 16
Worst Rank# 69# 84
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 32# 40
Best Rank# 27# 35
Worst Rank# 34# 45
   
Projections 
   
Runs95
Home Runs2331
RBI101
Stolen Bases5
Batting Avg.282
Strikeouts205138
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.48
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 32
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 33
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 29
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 84
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 32# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 33
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 32
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 22# 35
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 35
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 29# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 33
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 22# 34
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 23# 42
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 35# 42
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 39
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 28
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 34
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 33# 34
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 29
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 45
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 33
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 28# 36
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 41# 43
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 31# 40
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 23# 40
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 30# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 30# 42
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 22# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 41# 16
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 39# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 31# 19
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 69# 20
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 29# 20
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 26# 22
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 29# 23
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 24
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 32# 26
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 26
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 50# 26
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 51# 28
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 41# 28
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 33# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 32# 30
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 36# 30
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 31
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 47# 31
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 34# 31
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 33# 32
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 52# 35
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 58# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 55# 43
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs32
   
Home Runs611
   
RBI43
   
Stolen Bases0
   
Batting Avg.263
   
Strikeouts4967
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA4.91
   
WHIP1.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs95
   
Home Runs2331
   
RBI101
   
Stolen Bases5
   
Batting Avg.282
   
Strikeouts205138
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.48
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
News 
 Jack Flaherty pitched six shutout innings against the Brewers on Thursday afternoon, yielding only four hits and two walks while striking out six. Flaherty won his seventh consecutive decision and now leads the majors in wins with a 7-0 record.
Lucas Spence
Thu, May 13th
Rafael Devers hit a three-run homer in Sunday's loss to the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 17th
 Jack Flaherty was sensational on Friday night, pitching seven scoreless innings against Colorado while scattering three hits and a walk and striking out six batters while picking up his league-leading sixth win of the season. Flaherty also went 1-for-2 with a solo home run at the plate.
Lucas Spence
Fri, May 7th
Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with a home run, and a two run double on Sunday.
Liam Gibney
Mon, May 10th
 Jack Flaherty remained unbeaten on Saturday, picking up his fifth win by pitching six innings and giving up six hits, three earned runs, and two walks while striking out a season-high nine batters in a 12-5 win over the Pirates.
Lucas Spence
Sat, May 1st
Rafael Devers came up big for the Red Sox in their 12-9 victory over Detroit. He went 2-for-5 with three RBIs and scored once.
Liam Gibney
Fri, May 7th
 Jack Flaherty was in mid-season form on Sunday, pitching seven strong innings and limiting the Reds to just three hits and one run in a 5-2 victory. Flaherty recorded six strikeouts and improved his record to 4-0 on the season.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Apr 25th
Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers (shoulder) is absent from Tuesday's lineup against the Tigers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 4th
 Jack Flaherty pitched six innings in a victory over the Nationals on Monday, giving up six hits, five runs (two earned), two walks and notching five strikeouts to improve to 3-0 on the season.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Apr 19th
Rafael Devers went 1-for-3 with a home run and a walk on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Sat, May 1st
Notes 
 Flaherty ended up with a 4.91 ERA, but that hardly represents his actual performance, given that he allowed nine runs in a three-inning start in September. If you take out that outing, Flaherty had just a 3.13 ERA, and he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of his eight other starts. Given that Flaherty's season was shorter than most due to the Cardinals' COVID-19 issues, it's fair to essentially throw out at that one abysmal outing, considering his other numbers were relatively consistent from 2019. Indeed, his swinging strike rate improved, as did his K/9 rate and ground ball percentage. With his devastating slider, Flaherty should still be considered one of the top pitchers in the real and fantasy game, and is capable of fronting a fantasy staff.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The word that keeps coming up for Flaherty's fantasy analysis is rhythm. In the second half of 2019, which is when Flaherty put together one of the most impressive second halves in baseball history, he had rhythm. Meanwhile, the Cardinals' 2020 season lacked anything resembling a routine. Flaherty and his teammates dealt with a COVID-19 outbreak as well as a plethora of doubleheaders late in the year to make up for lost time. And yet, if it wasn't for one disastrous start, Flaherty still would've been a borderline ace last summer. When you take out his worst start of the year, Flaherty's ERA drops from 4.91 to 3.13. I'm betting that 2021 goes more smoothly for St. Louis.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Just like in 2019, Devers got off to a slow start last season. He posted a weak .543 OPS over his first 14 games before coming to life with an .868 mark over his final 43 contests. Devers' O-swing has increased every year that he has been in the league, up to 42.3% in 2020. His breakout 2019 saw him make contact on an unsustainable number of pitchers outside the zone. The young third baseman is able to do damage on anything he makes contact with, but he needs to decrease the amount of strikeout to become a consistently elite hitter.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Devers would be more appealing if he stole bases more often, but batting in the middle of the mediocre Red Sox lineup does not scream huge season. He is a fine pick, but not someone primed to break out.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy