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Who Should I Draft?

Rafael Devers or Jose Abreu (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Jose Abreu
1B - CWS
Jose Abreu
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
31 of 50 experts
38%
Recommended by
19 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 19# 21
Best Rank# 13# 13
Worst Rank# 58# 38
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 40# 38
Best Rank# 35# 29
Worst Rank# 45# 39
   
Projections 
   
Runs9586
Home Runs3133
RBI101111
Stolen Bases52
Batting Average.282.281
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 21
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 17# 20
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 38
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 18
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 28
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 26
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 19# 20
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 33
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 24
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 25
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 20
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 17# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 25# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 24
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 24# 29
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 17# 25
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 31
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 28
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 21# 25
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 26
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 22# 26
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 23
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 22# 23
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 17# 31
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 15# 19
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 14
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 19# 17
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 19
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 23# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 23# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 24# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 24# 22
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 24# 13
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 24# 22
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 24# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 16
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 24
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 27# 19
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 27# 23
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 29# 16
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 30# 21
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 33# 24
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 58# 20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Jose Abreu
1B - CWS
Jose Abreu
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats232240
   
Runs3243
   
Hits6176
   
Singles3342
   
Doubles1615
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs1119
   
RBI4360
   
Stolen Bases00
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks1318
   
Strikeouts6759
   
Batting Average.263.317
   
On Base Pct.311.370
   
Slugging Pct.483.617
   
On-base Plus Slugging.793.987
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Jose Abreu
1B - CWS
Jose Abreu
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats589588
   
Runs9586
   
Hits165164
   
Singles9194
   
Doubles4034
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs3133
   
RBI101111
   
Stolen Bases52
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks4541
   
Strikeouts138141
   
Batting Average.282.281
   
On Base Pct.334.328
   
Slugging Pct.518.511
   
On-base Plus Slugging.852.838
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Jose Abreu
1B - CWS
Jose Abreu
News 
 Rafael Devers hit a three-run homer in Sunday's loss to the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 17th
White Sox 1B Jose Abreu is expected to miss this week's series against the Minnesota Twins.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 17th
 Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with a home run, and a two run double on Sunday.
Liam Gibney
Mon, May 10th
Jose Abreu went 2-for-4, was hit by a pitch and scored the game-winning run in Sunday's 4-3 win over the Royals.
Brad Camara
Mon, May 17th
 Rafael Devers came up big for the Red Sox in their 12-9 victory over Detroit. He went 2-for-5 with three RBIs and scored once.
Liam Gibney
Fri, May 7th
Jose Abreu was removed from Friday's game after colliding with Royals' Hunter Dozier.
Connor Rooney
Fri, May 14th
 Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers (shoulder) is absent from Tuesday's lineup against the Tigers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 4th
Jose Abreu went 2-for-3 with a two-run home run and three runs scored during Tuesday’s 9-3 win against the Twins.
Brad Camara
Wed, May 12th
 Rafael Devers went 1-for-3 with a home run and a walk on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Sat, May 1st
Jose Abreu went 2-for-4 with a double, three RBI and a run scored in Sunday's 9-3 with over the Royals.
Brad Camara
Mon, May 10th
Notes 
 Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
For most players, fantasy managers need to consider whether to discount a highly out-of-character dip in their numbers given the shortened season. For Abreu, it's the opposite - whether fantasy managers should give credence to an outstanding MVP season, during which Abreu vastly outperformed his numbers from every other season of his career. Everything was good for Abreu in 2020, everything. He hit the ball harder than ever and consistently. He got on base more. He had career-high paces in every category. Abreu will be entering his age-34 season, so there's no way you should expect a repeat performance, but it's worth noting that he has increased his average exit velocity and hard-hit percentage in each of the last five seasons. Abreu's cost doesn't match his numbers last year, of course, but you'll still have to pay a hefty price in drafts. Given his safety and and his newly-discovered upside, however, it's worth it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Just like in 2019, Devers got off to a slow start last season. He posted a weak .543 OPS over his first 14 games before coming to life with an .868 mark over his final 43 contests. Devers' O-swing has increased every year that he has been in the league, up to 42.3% in 2020. His breakout 2019 saw him make contact on an unsustainable number of pitchers outside the zone. The young third baseman is able to do damage on anything he makes contact with, but he needs to decrease the amount of strikeout to become a consistently elite hitter.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 
 Devers would be more appealing if he stole bases more often, but batting in the middle of the mediocre Red Sox lineup does not scream huge season. He is a fine pick, but not someone primed to break out.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy