Who Should I Draft?
Randy Arozarena or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B,3B,DH - TOR  | Randy Arozarena LF - TB  | |
Expert |
65% Recommended by 13 of 20 experts |
35% Recommended by 7 of 20 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 38 | # 39 |
| Best Rank | # 29 | # 29 |
| Worst Rank | # 60 | # 55 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 54 | # 60 |
| Best Rank | # 44 | # 55 |
| Worst Rank | # 61 | # 67 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 85 | 82 |
| Home Runs | 27 | 26 |
| RBI | 96 | 73 |
| Stolen Bases | 3 | 19 |
| Batting Average | .289 | .267 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 38 | # 41 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 37 | # 42 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 36 | # 42 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 29 | # 45 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 34 | # 38 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 45 | # 49 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 35 | # 52 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 46 | # 47 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 33 | # 36 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 38 | # 40 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 33 | # 55 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 32 | # 48 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 37 | # 50 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 60 | # 29 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 38 | # 29 |
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 45 | # 31 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 54 | # 33 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 55 | # 38 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 42 | # 39 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 50 | # 43 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B,3B,DH - TOR | Randy Arozarena LF - TB | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 221 | 64 |
| Runs | 34 | 15 |
| Hits | 58 | 18 |
| Singles | 34 | 9 |
| Doubles | 13 | 2 |
| Triples | 2 | 0 |
| Home Runs | 9 | 7 |
| RBI | 33 | 11 |
| Stolen Bases | 2 | 4 |
| Caught Stealing | 0 | 0 |
| Walks | 20 | 6 |
| Strikeouts | 38 | 22 |
| Batting Average | .262 | .281 |
| On Base Pct | .329 | .382 |
| Slugging Pct | .462 | .641 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .791 | 1.022 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B,3B,DH - TOR | Randy Arozarena LF - TB | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 558 | 504 |
| Runs | 85 | 82 |
| Hits | 160 | 133 |
| Singles | 96 | 78 |
| Doubles | 32 | 25 |
| Triples | 3 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 27 | 26 |
| RBI | 96 | 73 |
| Stolen Bases | 3 | 19 |
| Caught Stealing | 1 | 6 |
| Walks | 56 | 46 |
| Strikeouts | 100 | 136 |
| Batting Average | .289 | .267 |
| On Base Pct | .352 | .324 |
| Slugging Pct | .501 | .486 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .853 | .811 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B,3B,DH - TOR | Randy Arozarena LF - TB | |
| News | ||
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. told reporters Wednesday that he lost 42 pounds this offseason. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Feb 24th | Rays OF Randy Arozarena noted Wednesday that his offseason legal issue has been settled. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Feb 24th | |
| Blue Jays GM Ross Atkins confirmed that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be given a chance to fight for third base come spring training. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Jan 27th | ||
| Notes | ||
| Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Fantasy managers will likely remember Arozarena's remarkable postseason, when he slashed .377/.442/.831. But his regular season (.281/.382/.641) would make him a strong fantasy asset if he could repeat hit. Arozarena wasn't looked at as a high impact prospect, but he put on significant muscle before last year and it manifested itself in his power production. There's a 25-homer bat in his skill set, and the fact that he'll likely throw in 15-20 steals should give him a high floor regardless. Don't pay for the postseason, of course, but Arozarena should be a rock solid fantasy outfielder in 2021. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
