Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Randy Arozarena or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Randy Arozarena
LF - TB
Randy Arozarena
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
13 of 20 experts
35%
Recommended by
7 of 20 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 38# 39
Best Rank# 29# 29
Worst Rank# 60# 55
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 54# 60
Best Rank# 44# 55
Worst Rank# 61# 67
   
Projections 
   
Runs8582
Home Runs2726
RBI9673
Stolen Bases319
Batting Average.289.267
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 41
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 37# 42
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 36# 42
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 29# 45
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 45# 49
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 35# 52
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 46# 47
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 33# 36
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 38# 40
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 33# 55
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 32# 48
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 37# 50
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 60# 29
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 29
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 31
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 54# 33
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 55# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 42# 39
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 50# 43
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Randy Arozarena
LF - TB
Randy Arozarena
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats22164
   
Runs3415
   
Hits5818
   
Singles349
   
Doubles132
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs97
   
RBI3311
   
Stolen Bases24
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks206
   
Strikeouts3822
   
Batting Average.262.281
   
On Base Pct.329.382
   
Slugging Pct.462.641
   
On-base Plus Slugging.7911.022
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Randy Arozarena
LF - TB
Randy Arozarena
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats558504
   
Runs8582
   
Hits160133
   
Singles9678
   
Doubles3225
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs2726
   
RBI9673
   
Stolen Bases319
   
Caught Stealing16
   
Walks5646
   
Strikeouts100136
   
Batting Average.289.267
   
On Base Pct.352.324
   
Slugging Pct.501.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.853.811
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Randy Arozarena
LF - TB
Randy Arozarena
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. told reporters Wednesday that he lost 42 pounds this offseason.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 24th
Rays OF Randy Arozarena noted Wednesday that his offseason legal issue has been settled.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 24th
 Blue Jays GM Ross Atkins confirmed that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be given a chance to fight for third base come spring training.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jan 27th
 
Notes 
 Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Fantasy managers will likely remember Arozarena's remarkable postseason, when he slashed .377/.442/.831. But his regular season (.281/.382/.641) would make him a strong fantasy asset if he could repeat hit. Arozarena wasn't looked at as a high impact prospect, but he put on significant muscle before last year and it manifested itself in his power production. There's a 25-homer bat in his skill set, and the fact that he'll likely throw in 15-20 steals should give him a high floor regardless. Don't pay for the postseason, of course, but Arozarena should be a rock solid fantasy outfielder in 2021.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros