Who Should I Draft?

Rich Hill or J.A. Happ (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
31 of 59 experts
47%
Recommended by
28 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 53# 51
Best Rank# 16# 27
Worst Rank# 110# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 174# 131
Best Rank# 154# 118
Worst Rank# 187# 139
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts150168
Wins1013
Saves00
ERA3.513.85
WHIP1.151.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 54# 74
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 57
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 46# 52
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 59# 67
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 45# 58
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 47# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 58# 72
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 64
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 32# 43
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 47# 94
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 43# 52
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 16# 110
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 52# 57
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 45# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 52# 65
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 48
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 50# 53
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 34# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 56# 67
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 42# 56
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 56# 69
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 64# 67
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 37# 82
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 61# 69
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 44# 58
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 52# 54
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 50# 62
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 60# 64
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 90# 111
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 41# 44
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 46# 54
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 41# 40
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 47# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 48# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 48# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 50# 42
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 52# 48
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 53# 51
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 54# 50
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 55# 37
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 56# 44
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 55
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 59# 27
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 59# 40
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 61# 55
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 65# 47
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 67# 45
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 67# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 69# 47
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 71# 58
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 73# 46
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 79# 52
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 79# 60
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 80# 56
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 86# 64
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 94# 53
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 110# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 45
   
  Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2531
   
Games Started2431
   
Innings Pitched133.1178.1
   
Wins1117
   
Losses56
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed108150
   
Earned Runs5472
   
Home Runs Allowed2027
   
Strikeouts150193
   
Walks4151
   
ERA3.663.65
   
WHIP1.121.13
   
  Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2429
   
Games Started2429
   
Innings Pitched136.1167.6
   
Wins1013
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed112153
   
Earned Runs5372
   
Home Runs Allowed1824
   
Strikeouts150168
   
Walks4552
   
ERA3.513.85
   
WHIP1.151.23
   
  Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
News 
 Rich Hill started and fired three scoreless innings in the Dodgers' regular season finale versus the Giants.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 30th
J.A. Happ gave up one run on four hits with one walk and six strikeouts over five innings as the Yankees lost to the Rays on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 26th
 Rich Hill threw two scoreless innings on Tuesday versus the Padres, striking out five and walking two.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 25th
J.A. Happ allowed two runs on four hits with no walks and four strikeouts across 5 1/3 innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
 Rich Hill has been diagnosed with a sprained MCL in his left knee.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
J.A. Happ (biceps) will make his next scheduled start Friday against the Blue Jays, Mike Mazzeo of Yahoo Sports reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
 Rich Hill was pulled after 2/3 of an inning in Thursday’s contest against the Orioles due to a left knee injury.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 12th
J.A. Happ (biceps) received a cortisone shot Friday and is expected to start Thursday against the Angels, Kristie Ackert of the New York Daily News reports.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says Rich Hill (elbow) will pitch out of the bullpen when he returns to the team.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 12th
J.A. Happ is headed to New York to see a doctor about biceps tendinitis, which he's apparently been dealing with for his last few starts, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 12th
Notes 
 It's a bit surprising how much the ECR favors Hill over Kenta Maeda, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Ross Stripling. All are superb options when healthy, but none should be trusted to work any more than 135 innings. So why such a heavy preference for Hill? The unlikely reclamation project turns 39 before starting the season, and he wasn't as elite (3.66 ERA, 3.97 FIP, 3.57 SIERA) in 2018's 132.2 innings. Drafters must exude patience, as he has struggled out of the gate in each of the last two seasons. In what should come as a surprise to nobody, he's already dealing with a short-term MCL injury that will delay his scheduled Opening Day start. He's a strong SP2 or 3 in the starts he makes, but it wouldn't be shocking to see him run out of steam. Just don't drop him much for this injury; such issues were already expected and factored into his draft cost.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
The undervalued Happ massively out-performed his 2018 draft pick despite posting his highest ERA (3.65) since 2014. He now owns a 3.49 ERA and 8.45 K/9 over those past four seasons, and yet many drafters have scoffed at him going around the pick-150 range. Seems like a reasonable price for someone who accompanied his career-high 193 strikeouts with a career-high 10.3% swinging-strike rate and career-low 78.3% contact rate. He looked comfortable in pinstripes (2.69 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) and could once again reap the rewards of run support to a crooked wins tally. Don't run away just because the southpaw is 36.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Hill has developed into a high-end fantasy starter in his mid-30s, posting no worse than a 3.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 10.18 K/9 over each of the last three seasons. Of course, he's never thrown more than 136 innings in any of those seasons, and we can't expect him to do it this year, either. But he's proven he can be a very valuable fantasy commodity in limited innings, particularly in leagues with a low innings cap.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros