Who Should I Draft?

Robbie Ray or Chris Archer (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
34 of 56 experts
39%
Recommended by
22 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 40# 43
Best Rank# 26# 13
Worst Rank# 118# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 116# 124
Best Rank# 110# 96
Worst Rank# 133# 128
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts205198
Wins1011
Saves00
ERA3.753.77
WHIP1.301.26
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 36# 63
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 60
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 29# 54
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 59# 60
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 45
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 35
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 32
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 32# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 40# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 37# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 39# 62
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 41
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 48# 53
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 58
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 45
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 40# 78
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 41# 42
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 38# 64
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 50# 59
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 39# 52
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 40# 43
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 43
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 42# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 48
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 46# 49
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 26# 36
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 33# 34
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 36# 54
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 41# 61
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 47
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 22
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 27
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 35# 27
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 39# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 37
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 41# 24
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 42# 29
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 43# 41
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 44# 39
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 20
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 47# 43
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 49# 23
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 49# 40
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 50# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 50# 47
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 51# 25
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 65# 56
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 68# 57
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 73# 52
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 81# 75
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 118# 13
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2427
   
Games Started2427
   
Innings Pitched124.1148.1
   
Wins66
   
Losses28
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed97155
   
Earned Runs5471
   
Home Runs Allowed1919
   
Strikeouts165162
   
Walks7049
   
ERA3.934.31
   
WHIP1.351.38
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2931
   
Games Started2931
   
Innings Pitched160.1179.7
   
Wins1011
   
Losses810
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133169
   
Earned Runs6775
   
Home Runs Allowed2122
   
Strikeouts205198
   
Walks7558
   
ERA3.753.77
   
WHIP1.301.26
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
News 
 Robbie Ray fell to 5-4 on Friday versus the Nationals, giving up five runs on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
Chris Archer allowed four runs on seven hits over five innings in the Pirates' 5-4 win over the Marlins on Sunday. He walked three and struck out eight in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
 Robbie Ray improved to 5-3 on Sunday in Toronto, throwing 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out 10.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Chris Archer allowed seven runs on six hits over six innings in the Pirates' 7-5 loss to the Braves on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out eight while falling to 3-6.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
 Robbie Ray fell to 4-3 on Monday versus the Dodgers, allowing three runs on six hits in seven innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
Chris Archer allowed one run on six hits over six innings in the Pirates' 6-1 win over the Braves on Thursday. He walked two and struck out six while improving to 3-5.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 6th
 Robbie Ray fell to 4-2 on Wednesday in Colorado, giving up five runs (four earned) on eight hits in just 4 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
Chris Archer allowed four runs on five hits over seven innings in the Pirates' 9-4 win over the Brewers on Friday. He walked two and struck out seven while improving to 2-5.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
 Robbie Ray improved to 4-1 on Friday in San Francisco, striking out nine while allowing two runs on five hits over 5 1/3 innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 25th
Chris Archer allowed four runs on six hits over five innings in the Pirates' 11-7 loss to the Dodgers on Sunday. He walked six and struck out three while falling to 1-5.
Elliott Baas
Sun, May 26th
Notes 
 Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Archer has proven to be a pitcher who consistently posts a higher ERA than his advanced metrics suggest he deserves. At this point, we should no longer be expecting that to suddenly change. Until we see otherwise, expect Archer to post an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP in the 1.20s, and a fairly strong strikeout rate.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, well, look at all those strikeouts. Fool me three times … but his FIP is still lower. Even though he missed over a month with an abdominal strain last year, Archer has amassed the sixth-most strikeouts (644) over the last three seasons. He has collected a 3.64 FIP and 3.54 SIERA during that span. His ERA also ballooned above 4.00 each year. How many times can we keep putting our hand on the hot stove? Archer's fastball has ceded a slugging percentage above .500 in each campaign, so he wields no other effective pitch beyond his slider. He's an elite source of strikeouts, but don't expect a positive ERA contribution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros