Who Should I Draft?

Robbie Ray or Shane Bieber (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
43 of 59 experts
27%
Recommended by
16 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 39# 48
Best Rank# 26# 24
Worst Rank# 118# 226
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 116# 149
Best Rank# 110# 136
Worst Rank# 133# 157
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts205147
Wins1011
Saves00
ERA3.753.84
WHIP1.301.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 36# 39
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 53
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 53
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 39# 46
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 29# 226
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 59# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 44
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 32# 56
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 40# 56
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 37# 39
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 39# 42
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 41# 84
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 51# 54
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 44
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 40
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 48# 49
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 48
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 40# 103
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 44# 74
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 38# 57
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 50# 86
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 39# 63
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 40# 63
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 53
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 42# 45
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 52
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 46# 56
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 26# 41
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 33# 48
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 67
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 47# 57
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 39# 50
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 43# 44
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 28# 41
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 36# 46
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 41# 73
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 41
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 24
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 35# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 31
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 35
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 42# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 43# 38
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 49# 37
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 49# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 50# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 50# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 65# 63
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 68# 45
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 73# 30
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 81# 49
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 118# 113
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2420
   
Games Started2419
   
Innings Pitched124.1115.1
   
Wins611
   
Losses25
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed97130
   
Earned Runs5458
   
Home Runs Allowed1913
   
Strikeouts165118
   
Walks7023
   
ERA3.934.55
   
WHIP1.351.33
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2927
   
Games Started2926
   
Innings Pitched160.1154.9
   
Wins1011
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133159
   
Earned Runs6766
   
Home Runs Allowed2118
   
Strikeouts205147
   
Walks7531
   
ERA3.753.84
   
WHIP1.301.23
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
News 
 Robbie Ray received a no-decision on Monday versus Miami, throwing six innings of one-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 17th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber struggled in a 7-5 win over the Twins on Sunday. Bieber gave up four runs on 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 15th
 Robbie Ray (blister) is scheduled to make his next start on Wednesday versus the Mets.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 10th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 6-2 win over the Angels on Monday. Bieber allowed just one run over seven innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 10th
 Robbie Ray left his start Friday against the Reds with an undisclosed injury which appeared to be on his left hand.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in an 8-6 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings while striking out nine.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 5th
 Robbie Ray picked up his 12th win of the year on Saturday against the Dodgers, allowing four runs over five innings while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber turned in a quality start in a 4-0 loss to the Rays on Friday. Bieber allowed three runs over 6 1/3 innings while striking out nine.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Aug 31st
 Robbie Ray improved to 11-7 on Sunday in Milwaukee, tossing five shutout innings while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 25th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber turned in a quality start in a 9-8 loss to the Royals on Sunday. Bieber allowed three runs (two earned) over seven innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Aug 25th
Notes 
 Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Bieber is the rare pitcher who may throw too many strikes. His pinpoint control is helpful for his WHIP, and he's shown the ability to strike out close to a batter per inning, but he gave up so many hits as a rookie that his ERA ballooned to 4.55. That is due for quite a bit of positive regression, but Bieber's ERA may always trail behind his WHIP. For now, expect his ERA to settle in the mid-to-high 3s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Baseball fans could soon think of that pop singer as the other Bieber. After generating a 13.68 K/BB ratio (!) throughout his minor league career, the Cleveland righty recorded 118 strikeouts to 23 walks in 114.2 big league frames. He also, however, got pegged to a 4.55 ERA. Lefties crushed him (.311/.362/.547), and a subpar four-seam fastball didn't fool anyone. Yet he also boasted a 3.23 FIP with a superb slider that submitted a 26.2% swinging-strike rate. Corey Kluber and Corey Carrasco have emerged as aces despite mediocre heaters, so perhaps Cleveland can apply the same winning formula to Bieber. He's still reasonably priced as a mid-range breakout pick, but it wouldn't be surprising to see his ADP skyrocket this spring.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros