Who Should I Draft?

Robbie Ray or Shane Bieber (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
40 of 56 experts
29%
Recommended by
16 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 40# 48
Best Rank# 26# 24
Worst Rank# 118# 226
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 116# 149
Best Rank# 110# 136
Worst Rank# 133# 157
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts205147
Wins1011
Saves00
ERA3.753.84
WHIP1.301.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 36# 39
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 53
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 53
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 39# 46
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 29# 226
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 59# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 44
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 32# 56
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 40# 56
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 37# 39
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 39# 42
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 41# 84
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 51# 54
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 44
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 40
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 48# 49
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 48
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 40# 103
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 41# 58
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 44# 74
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 38# 57
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 50# 86
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 39# 63
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 40# 63
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 53
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 42# 45
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 52
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 46# 56
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 26# 41
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 33# 48
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 47# 57
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 36# 46
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 41# 73
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 41
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 24
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 35# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 31
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 35
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 42# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 43# 38
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 49# 37
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 49# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 50# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 50# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 65# 63
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 68# 45
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 73# 30
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 81# 49
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 118# 113
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2420
   
Games Started2419
   
Innings Pitched124.1115.1
   
Wins611
   
Losses25
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed97130
   
Earned Runs5458
   
Home Runs Allowed1913
   
Strikeouts165118
   
Walks7023
   
ERA3.934.55
   
WHIP1.351.33
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2927
   
Games Started2926
   
Innings Pitched160.1154.9
   
Wins1011
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133159
   
Earned Runs6766
   
Home Runs Allowed2118
   
Strikeouts205147
   
Walks7531
   
ERA3.753.84
   
WHIP1.301.23
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
News 
 Robbie Ray fell to 5-4 on Friday versus the Nationals, giving up five runs on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber was exceptional in a 4-2 win over the Tigers on Saturday. Bieber allowed two runs in 7 2/3 innings while racking up 12 strikeouts. He allowed just four hits and walked one in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 15th
 Robbie Ray improved to 5-3 on Sunday in Toronto, throwing 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out 10.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber had a tough time against the Yankees in a 7-6 loss on Sunday. Bieber allowed five runs in 1 2/3 innings, striking out four and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jun 9th
 Robbie Ray fell to 4-3 on Monday versus the Dodgers, allowing three runs on six hits in seven innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber was excellent in a 5-2 win over the Twins on Tuesday. Bieber allowed two runs in seven innings while striking out seven and walking one.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 5th
 Robbie Ray fell to 4-2 on Wednesday in Colorado, giving up five runs (four earned) on eight hits in just 4 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber picked up an ugly win in a 14-9 victory over the Red Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed six runs in five innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 30th
 Robbie Ray improved to 4-1 on Friday in San Francisco, striking out nine while allowing two runs on five hits over 5 1/3 innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 25th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 3-1 win over the Rays on Friday. Bieber allowed one run in five innings while striking out 10 batters. He had to settle for a no-decision in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 25th
Notes 
 Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Bieber is the rare pitcher who may throw too many strikes. His pinpoint control is helpful for his WHIP, and he's shown the ability to strike out close to a batter per inning, but he gave up so many hits as a rookie that his ERA ballooned to 4.55. That is due for quite a bit of positive regression, but Bieber's ERA may always trail behind his WHIP. For now, expect his ERA to settle in the mid-to-high 3s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Baseball fans could soon think of that pop singer as the other Bieber. After generating a 13.68 K/BB ratio (!) throughout his minor league career, the Cleveland righty recorded 118 strikeouts to 23 walks in 114.2 big league frames. He also, however, got pegged to a 4.55 ERA. Lefties crushed him (.311/.362/.547), and a subpar four-seam fastball didn't fool anyone. Yet he also boasted a 3.23 FIP with a superb slider that submitted a 26.2% swinging-strike rate. Corey Kluber and Corey Carrasco have emerged as aces despite mediocre heaters, so perhaps Cleveland can apply the same winning formula to Bieber. He's still reasonably priced as a mid-range breakout pick, but it wouldn't be surprising to see his ADP skyrocket this spring.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros