Who Should I Draft?

Robbie Ray or Yu Darvish (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Expert
Recommendation
70%
Recommended by
39 of 56 experts
30%
Recommended by
17 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 40# 46
Best Rank# 26# 8
Worst Rank# 118# 93
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 116# 143
Best Rank# 110# 137
Worst Rank# 133# 148
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts205160
Wins109
Saves00
ERA3.753.79
WHIP1.301.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 36# 60
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 42
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 44
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 39# 56
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 29# 55
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 56
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 50# 67
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 32# 44
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 40# 49
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 37# 49
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 39# 93
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 41# 48
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 35# 36
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 55
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 57
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 45
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 42# 52
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 60
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 48
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 43# 46
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 81# 93
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 49
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 40# 61
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 41# 45
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 39# 45
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 40# 42
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 36
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 42# 65
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 38
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 46# 51
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 26# 37
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 33# 46
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 47# 49
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 36# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 50# 52
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 41# 42
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 52
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 38# 27
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 40
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 44# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 35
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 42
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 48# 46
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 49# 25
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 49# 47
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 50# 49
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 51# 45
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 59# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 65# 35
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 68# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 73# 55
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 118# 8
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played248
   
Games Started248
   
Innings Pitched124.140.1
   
Wins61
   
Losses23
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed9736
   
Earned Runs5422
   
Home Runs Allowed197
   
Strikeouts16549
   
Walks7021
   
ERA3.934.95
   
WHIP1.351.43
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2924
   
Games Started2924
   
Innings Pitched160.1140.6
   
Wins109
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133122
   
Earned Runs6759
   
Home Runs Allowed2118
   
Strikeouts205160
   
Walks7552
   
ERA3.753.79
   
WHIP1.301.23
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
News 
 Robbie Ray fell to 5-4 on Friday versus the Nationals, giving up five runs on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
Yu Darvish allowed one run on two hits over seven innings in the Cubs' 2-1 win over the Dodgers on Saturday. He walked one and struck out ten in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
 Robbie Ray improved to 5-3 on Sunday in Toronto, throwing 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out 10.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Yu Darvish allowed four runs on six hits over six innings in the Cubs' 6-5 loss to the Rockies on Monday. He walked none and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 11th
 Robbie Ray fell to 4-3 on Monday versus the Dodgers, allowing three runs on six hits in seven innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
Yu Darvish allowed three runs (two earned) on three hits over 5.1 innings in the Cubs' 9-8 win over the Rockies on Wednesday. He walked three and struck out five in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 5th
 Robbie Ray fell to 4-2 on Wednesday in Colorado, giving up five runs (four earned) on eight hits in just 4 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
Yu Darvish allowed one run on three hits over six innings in the Cubs' 2-1 loss to the Cardinals on Friday. He walked three and struck out six in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
 Robbie Ray improved to 4-1 on Friday in San Francisco, striking out nine while allowing two runs on five hits over 5 1/3 innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 25th
Yu Darvish allowed six runs on 12 hits over seven innings in the Cubs' 8-6 win over the Reds on Saturday. He walked two and struck out five in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, May 26th
Notes 
 Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Darvish missed most of the 2018 season due to elbow and triceps injuries, and he was clearly not himself for the 40 innings he was able to pitch. Health has been a constant concern for Darvish, but he's been a consistently dominant strikeout pitcher, and last year was the first time in his Major League career that he's had an ERA over 3.90 or WHIP above 1.28. His team context in Chicago remains great, so the chance of a big bounce back season is there if he can just stay off of the DL.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Arthroscopic elbow surgery limited Darvish to eight starts in 2018. Adding insult to injury, he wasn't even good (4.95 ERA) in his brief time on the mound. He has now pitched 327 innings over the last four seasons combined. Darvish reportedly added 10-15 pounds of muscle during the offseason, and he said he feels far more comfortable in Chicago after dealing with pressure from signing a hefty contract. There's always the chance he stays healthy and drafters steal an ace with a career 3.49 ERA and 11.04 K/9. There's also, however, enough risk to proceed with caution. He's the ultimate boom-or-bust SP3.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros