Who Should I Draft?

Roberto Osuna or Charlie Morton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
76%
Recommended by
45 of 59 experts
24%
Recommended by
14 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 29# 36
Best Rank# 19# 19
Worst Rank# 53# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 77# 114
Best Rank# 69# 97
Worst Rank# 92# 117
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts67176
Wins412
Saves360
ERA3.113.41
WHIP1.041.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 25# 33
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 37
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 25# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 37# 42
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 37# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 53
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 36# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 36
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 30# 69
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 33# 40
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 30# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 20# 34
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 36# 46
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 42# 80
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 28# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 34# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 32# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 27# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 26# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 36
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 29# 66
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 40
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 25# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 32# 58
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 29# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 25# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 35# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 38
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 57
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 24# 37
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 35# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 25# 36
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 40
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 29# 30
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 27# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 38
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 23# 27
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 34
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 32# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 31# 44
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 34
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 19
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 29# 23
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 31# 30
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 28
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 34# 24
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 34# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 37# 25
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 28
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 38
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 42# 27
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 43# 32
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 45# 24
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 53# 32
   
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3830
   
Games Started030
   
Innings Pitched38.2167.2
   
Wins215
   
Losses23
   
Saves210
   
Blown Saves10
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed33130
   
Earned Runs1058
   
Home Runs Allowed118
   
Strikeouts32201
   
Walks464
   
ERA2.373.13
   
WHIP0.971.16
   
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6227
   
Games Started027
   
Innings Pitched62.4157.3
   
Wins412
   
Losses37
   
Saves360
   
Blown Saves70
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed53132
   
Earned Runs2260
   
Home Runs Allowed716
   
Strikeouts67176
   
Walks1258
   
ERA3.113.41
   
WHIP1.041.21
   
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Roberto Osuna allowed one hit and zero walks while striking out one through a scoreless inning to earn the save in Saturday's 6-3 win over the Angels. He earned his 38th save of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 29th
Rays manager Kevin Cash announced Charlie Morton will start Wednesday's American League Wild Card game versus the Athletics.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 28th
 Roberto Osuna allowed one hit and zero walks while striking out one through a scoreless inning in Tuesday's 3-0 win over the Mariners. He earned his 37th save of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 25th
Charlie Morton gave up just one hit with three walks and nine strikeouts as he pitched six innings combined with four relievers on a one-hit shutout of the Yankees on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 26th
 Roberto Osuna allowed a hit while striking out two through a scoreless inning to earn the save in Friday's 6-4 win over the Angels. He notched his 36th save of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 21st
Charlie Morton allowed two runs on five hits and a walk while striking out eight over 6 1/3 innings Friday against the Red Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
 Roberto Osuna allowed one hit and one walk while striking out one through a scoreless inning to record his 35th save in Wednesday's 3-2 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 19th
Charlie Morton earned the win Friday, holding the Angels to three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out four across six innings.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Roberto Osuna pitched a perfect inning while striking out two to earn the save in Tuesday's 4-1 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 18th
Charlie Morton struck out 10 while allowing three runs on five hits with two walks across six innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 8th
Notes 
 Astros manager A.J. Hinch has affirmed that Osuna will again serve as the team's closer, a role he inherited last year upon returning from a 75-game suspension and getting traded from the Blue Jays. Osuna was a dominant closer from 2015-2017, but his K/9 rate alarmingly fell to 7.58 between Toronto and Houston last year. The good news is that he maintained an above-average 14.7 percent swinging-strike rate, indicating that he should return to striking out over a batter per inning while maintaining elite control. Save opportunities should also be plentiful on the World Series-contending Astros, so it makes sense for Osuna to get drafted as one of the first 10, if not five, closers off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 After serving a suspension for a domestic violence charge, Osuna got traded to the Astros and was closing within a month. Those still comfortable drafting the 24-year-old should expect his 21.3% strikeout rate to rise back to his career 28.4% clip. A smaller sample size isn't as trustworthy, but he also maintained a 14.7% swinging-strike rate during that time. While there's fear that Ryan Pressly and a deep Astros bullpen will give him competition, Ken Giles had to pitch his way out of the ninth inning. Osuna, who owns a career 2.78 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, shouldn't lose the job for any on-field reasons.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Osuna didn't accomplish much last year because of his legal issues and the time missed as a result, but he as still extremely efficient, driving a 2.37 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP. Assuming he stays on the field, you can bank on 30 saves and plenty of strikeouts on top of the strong ratios.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros