Who Should I Draft?

Roberto Osuna or Charlie Morton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
42 of 56 experts
25%
Recommended by
14 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 29# 34
Best Rank# 19# 19
Worst Rank# 53# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 77# 114
Best Rank# 69# 97
Worst Rank# 92# 117
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts67176
Wins412
Saves360
ERA3.113.41
WHIP1.041.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 25# 33
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 37
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 25# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 37# 42
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 37# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 53
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 36# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 36
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 30# 69
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 33# 40
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 30# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 20# 34
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 36# 46
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 42# 80
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 28# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 34# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 32# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 27# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 26# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 36
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 29# 66
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 40
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 29# 38
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 25# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 32# 58
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 29# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 25# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 35# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 38
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 57
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 24# 37
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 35# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 25# 36
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 29# 30
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 38
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 32# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 31# 44
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 34
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 19
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 29# 23
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 31# 30
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 28
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 34# 24
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 34# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 37# 25
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 28
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 38
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 42# 27
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 43# 32
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 45# 24
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 53# 32
   
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3830
   
Games Started030
   
Innings Pitched38.2167.2
   
Wins215
   
Losses23
   
Saves210
   
Blown Saves10
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed33130
   
Earned Runs1058
   
Home Runs Allowed118
   
Strikeouts32201
   
Walks464
   
ERA2.373.13
   
WHIP0.971.16
   
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6227
   
Games Started027
   
Innings Pitched62.4157.3
   
Wins412
   
Losses37
   
Saves360
   
Blown Saves70
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed53132
   
Earned Runs2260
   
Home Runs Allowed716
   
Strikeouts67176
   
Walks1258
   
ERA3.113.41
   
WHIP1.041.21
   
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Roberto Osuna blew his third save of the season on Wednesday against the Reds, allowing two runs (one earned) on three hits. He struck out two.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 20th
Charlie Morton gave up four runs on five hits while walking two and striking out nine batters through six innings and was charged with a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
 Roberto Osuna recorded one out on Sunday against Baltimore to pick up a save.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 10th
Charlie Morton allowed two hits and two walks while firing seven scoreless innings Monday, striking out seven batters and earning the win over the Athletics.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Roberto Osuna allowed one run on one hit and one walk through 1 2/3 innings on Thursday against the Mariners. He blew a save in the outing.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, Jun 6th
Charlie Morton picked up the win Wednesday, allowing five hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out eight as the Rays handed the Tigers a 4-0 defeat.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
 Roberto Osuna threw a perfect inning on Friday against Oakland. He earned a save int he win.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 1st
Charlie Morton (6-0) earned the win Thursday against the Twins by allowing two runs on four hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out six.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
 Roberto Osuna threw a perfect inning on Tuesday against the Cubs to earn a save. He struck out one in the outing.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, May 29th
Charlie Morton struck out 10 and allowed just one run on three hits over six innings in the Rays’ 6-2 victory over the Indians on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, May 26th
Notes 
 Astros manager A.J. Hinch has affirmed that Osuna will again serve as the team's closer, a role he inherited last year upon returning from a 75-game suspension and getting traded from the Blue Jays. Osuna was a dominant closer from 2015-2017, but his K/9 rate alarmingly fell to 7.58 between Toronto and Houston last year. The good news is that he maintained an above-average 14.7 percent swinging-strike rate, indicating that he should return to striking out over a batter per inning while maintaining elite control. Save opportunities should also be plentiful on the World Series-contending Astros, so it makes sense for Osuna to get drafted as one of the first 10, if not five, closers off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 After serving a suspension for a domestic violence charge, Osuna got traded to the Astros and was closing within a month. Those still comfortable drafting the 24-year-old should expect his 21.3% strikeout rate to rise back to his career 28.4% clip. A smaller sample size isn't as trustworthy, but he also maintained a 14.7% swinging-strike rate during that time. While there's fear that Ryan Pressly and a deep Astros bullpen will give him competition, Ken Giles had to pitch his way out of the ninth inning. Osuna, who owns a career 2.78 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, shouldn't lose the job for any on-field reasons.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Osuna didn't accomplish much last year because of his legal issues and the time missed as a result, but he as still extremely efficient, driving a 2.37 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP. Assuming he stays on the field, you can bank on 30 saves and plenty of strikeouts on top of the strong ratios.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros