Who Should I Draft?

Roberto Osuna or Miles Mikolas (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 29# 33
Best Rank# 19# 16
Worst Rank# 53# 88
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 77# 98
Best Rank# 69# 90
Worst Rank# 92# 105
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts67149
Wins413
Saves360
ERA3.113.60
WHIP1.041.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 25# 41
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 23
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 25# 30
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 43
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 37# 53
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 59
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 33# 62
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 30# 34
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 20# 26
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 36# 39
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 42# 44
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 34# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 28# 33
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 43
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 27# 33
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 41
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 29# 39
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 26# 31
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 35
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 29# 88
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 37
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 29# 36
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 25# 32
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 29# 36
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 46
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 57
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 24# 38
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 35# 43
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 25# 32
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 29# 41
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 32# 43
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 35
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 17
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 25# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 27
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 30# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 31# 27
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 31# 30
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 32# 29
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 26
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 32# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 34# 32
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 34# 26
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 35# 28
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 36# 34
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 37# 22
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 37# 28
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 32
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 42# 31
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 43# 34
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 45# 34
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 53# 51
   
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3832
   
Games Started032
   
Innings Pitched38.2201.3
   
Wins218
   
Losses24
   
Saves210
   
Blown Saves10
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed33186
   
Earned Runs1063
   
Home Runs Allowed116
   
Strikeouts32146
   
Walks429
   
ERA2.372.83
   
WHIP0.971.07
   
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6231
   
Games Started031
   
Innings Pitched62.4191.7
   
Wins413
   
Losses39
   
Saves360
   
Blown Saves70
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed53192
   
Earned Runs2277
   
Home Runs Allowed721
   
Strikeouts67149
   
Walks1237
   
ERA3.113.60
   
WHIP1.041.20
   
  Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
News 
 Roberto Osuna blew his third save of the season on Wednesday against the Reds, allowing two runs (one earned) on three hits. He struck out two.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 20th
Miles Mikolas allowed one run on seven hits over five innings in the Cardinals' 6-4 loss to the Angels on Sunday. He walked two and struck out four while falling to 5-8.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 24th
 Roberto Osuna recorded one out on Sunday against Baltimore to pick up a save.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 10th
Miles Mikolas fired six scoreless innings and improved to 5-7 in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday. He allowed six hits, walked none, and struck out four.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
 Roberto Osuna allowed one run on one hit and one walk through 1 2/3 innings on Thursday against the Mariners. He blew a save in the outing.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, Jun 6th
Miles Mikolas allowed five runs on eight hits and a walk over five innings on Wednesday against the Marlins. He struck out four and took the loss, falling to 4-7.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 13th
 Roberto Osuna threw a perfect inning on Friday against Oakland. He earned a save int he win.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 1st
Mikolas was forced from Friday's game against the Chicago Cubs after pitching just four innings.
James Bisson
Fri, Jun 7th
 Roberto Osuna threw a perfect inning on Tuesday against the Cubs to earn a save. He struck out one in the outing.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, May 29th
Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 2-1 win over the Cubs on Friday. He walked two and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 Astros manager A.J. Hinch has affirmed that Osuna will again serve as the team's closer, a role he inherited last year upon returning from a 75-game suspension and getting traded from the Blue Jays. Osuna was a dominant closer from 2015-2017, but his K/9 rate alarmingly fell to 7.58 between Toronto and Houston last year. The good news is that he maintained an above-average 14.7 percent swinging-strike rate, indicating that he should return to striking out over a batter per inning while maintaining elite control. Save opportunities should also be plentiful on the World Series-contending Astros, so it makes sense for Osuna to get drafted as one of the first 10, if not five, closers off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 After serving a suspension for a domestic violence charge, Osuna got traded to the Astros and was closing within a month. Those still comfortable drafting the 24-year-old should expect his 21.3% strikeout rate to rise back to his career 28.4% clip. A smaller sample size isn't as trustworthy, but he also maintained a 14.7% swinging-strike rate during that time. While there's fear that Ryan Pressly and a deep Astros bullpen will give him competition, Ken Giles had to pitch his way out of the ninth inning. Osuna, who owns a career 2.78 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, shouldn't lose the job for any on-field reasons.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Osuna didn't accomplish much last year because of his legal issues and the time missed as a result, but he as still extremely efficient, driving a 2.37 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP. Assuming he stays on the field, you can bank on 30 saves and plenty of strikeouts on top of the strong ratios.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros