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Who Should I Draft?

Ronald Acuna Jr. or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ronald Acuna Jr.
LF,CF,RF - ATL
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
46 of 50 experts
8%
Recommended by
4 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 1# 3
Best Rank# 1# 1
Worst Rank# 5# 6
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 1# 2
Best Rank# 1# 2
Worst Rank# 2# 4
   
Projections 
   
Runs122108
Home Runs4036
RBI9697
Stolen Bases2925
Batting Average.280.286
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 2
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 1# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 1# 4
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 1# 2
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 1# 2
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 1# 2
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 3
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 1# 3
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 1# 5
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 1# 4
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 1# 4
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 1# 3
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 1# 2
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 5
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 1# 2
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 1# 2
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 1# 2
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 1# 3
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 1# 3
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 1# 3
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 3# 4
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 1# 6
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 1# 3
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 1# 4
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 1# 2
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 1# 3
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 1# 3
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 2# 4
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 2# 4
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 1# 3
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 1# 3
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 1# 2
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 2# 3
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 1# 4
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 2# 4
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 1# 5
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 1# 5
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 2# 4
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 1# 4
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 1# 5
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 1# 2
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 1# 3
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 1# 2
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 1# 3
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 2# 4
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 1# 3
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 1
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 1
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 2# 1
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 5# 1
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ronald Acuna Jr.
LF,CF,RF - ATL
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats160224
   
Runs4650
   
Hits4062
   
Singles1532
   
Doubles1111
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs1417
   
RBI2945
   
Stolen Bases811
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks3827
   
Strikeouts6061
   
Batting Average.250.277
   
On Base Pct.406.366
   
Slugging Pct.581.571
   
On-base Plus Slugging.987.937
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ronald Acuna Jr.
LF,CF,RF - ATL
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats573568
   
Runs122108
   
Hits159161
   
Singles8791
   
Doubles2928
   
Triples26
   
Home Runs4036
   
RBI9697
   
Stolen Bases2925
   
Caught Stealing88
   
Walks8561
   
Strikeouts176165
   
Batting Average.280.286
   
On Base Pct.374.357
   
Slugging Pct.546.544
   
On-base Plus Slugging.920.901
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ronald Acuna Jr.
LF,CF,RF - ATL
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
News 
 Ronald Acuna Jr. (ankle) is starting in right field and batting first for Atlanta's series opener against the Mets on Monday.
Connor Rooney
Mon, May 17th
Padres SS Fernando Tatis Jr. has tested positive for COVID-19.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 11th
 Braves manager Brian Snitker things OF Ronald Acuña Jr. (ankle) has a chance to return on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 16th
Fernando Tatis Jr., Jurickson Profar, and Jorge Mateo have been placed on the IL due to health and safety protocols, the Padres announced Tuesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, May 11th
 Braves OF Ronald Acuña Jr. (ankle) is absent from Friday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, May 14th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-5 with a single, a home run, two RBI, and two strikeouts in the Padres' win over the Giants on Sunday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 10th
 Ronald Acuna Jr. went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in Thursday's game against the Blue Jays. Acuna left the game with an ankle injury, X-Rays were negative, no word on a possible MRI, he is listed day-to-day.
Steve Painter
Thu, May 13th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-3 with a single and a walk in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Wednesday.
Matt Flipi
Thu, May 6th
 Braves OF Ronald Acuna Jr. left Thursday's game early with an apparent ankle injury, but x-ray results following the game were negative and he is now day-to-day.
Ethan Biddle
Thu, May 13th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-3 with a home run, a walk, an RBI, a run scored, and a strikeout in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Sunday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 3rd
Notes 
 Acuna missed some time last year and batted a mere .250. And thus ends the negative things you can say about him. He walked at an absurd 18.8% clip, which led him to a .406 OBP despite the poor average. He was one of the league leaders in quality of contact, wOBA, and xWOBA, and we now know after the last two years that he will run often on the bases so long as he continues to bat leadoff, which he should. In other words, from a fantasy perspective, Acuna is an absolute monster. He's a top-three pick and will (deservedly) go first overall in many leagues, and there's still upside given that he just turned 23 years old.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Tatis Jr. has a bit of a shoulder issue, but nothing suggests he'll need to miss any time. He had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his Statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers, so long a there are no further developments with his shoulder.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The fantasy baseball community isn't talking enough about how Acuña nearly doubled his walk rate last summer (10.6% to 18.8%) while also hitting the ball harder than ever (47.4% in 2019 to 57.0% in 2020). Yes, it was a small sample, but these are also signs that the talented 23-year-old is improving as a hitter. Seemingly doing more damage and becoming more selective at the expense of batting average, Acuña's 40/40 upside keeps him in the conversation for No. 1 overall come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros