Who Should I Draft?
Ronald Acuna Jr. or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2021)
Experts' Pick | Experts' Pick | |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. LF,CF,RF - ATL  | Fernando Tatis Jr. SS - SD  | |
Expert |
50% Recommended by 3 of 6 experts |
50% Recommended by 3 of 6 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 2 | # 4 |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 1 |
| Worst Rank | # 5 | # 5 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 1 | # 3 |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 2 |
| Worst Rank | # 1 | # 4 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 122 | 109 |
| Home Runs | 39 | 36 |
| RBI | 97 | 98 |
| Stolen Bases | 29 | 25 |
| Batting Average | .287 | .290 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 2 | # 1 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 5 | # 4 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 3 | # 2 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 1 | # 3 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 1 | # 4 |
| Brendan Tuma BettingPros | # 4 | # 5 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. LF,CF,RF - ATL | Fernando Tatis Jr. SS - SD | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 160 | 224 |
| Runs | 46 | 50 |
| Hits | 40 | 62 |
| Singles | 15 | 32 |
| Doubles | 11 | 11 |
| Triples | 0 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 14 | 17 |
| RBI | 29 | 45 |
| Stolen Bases | 8 | 11 |
| Caught Stealing | 1 | 3 |
| Walks | 38 | 27 |
| Strikeouts | 60 | 61 |
| Batting Average | .250 | .277 |
| On Base Pct | .406 | .366 |
| Slugging Pct | .581 | .571 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .987 | .937 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. LF,CF,RF - ATL | Fernando Tatis Jr. SS - SD | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 557 | 556 |
| Runs | 122 | 109 |
| Hits | 160 | 161 |
| Singles | 88 | 90 |
| Doubles | 29 | 27 |
| Triples | 2 | 6 |
| Home Runs | 39 | 36 |
| RBI | 97 | 98 |
| Stolen Bases | 29 | 25 |
| Caught Stealing | 8 | 8 |
| Walks | 86 | 61 |
| Strikeouts | 173 | 165 |
| Batting Average | .287 | .290 |
| On Base Pct | .382 | .360 |
| Slugging Pct | .547 | .549 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .929 | .909 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. LF,CF,RF - ATL | Fernando Tatis Jr. SS - SD | |
| News | ||
| The Padres are working on a contract extension with star shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. According to Jon Heyman and Jessica Kleinschmidt, Tatis' contract extension could be 11 years and $320 million. Corbin Young Sun, Jan 10th | ||
| Notes | ||
| Acuna missed some time last year and batted a mere .250. And thus ends the negative things you can say about him. He walked at an absurd 18.8% clip, which led him to a .406 OBP despite the poor average. He was one of the league leaders in quality of contact, wOBA, and xWOBA, and we now know after the last two years that he will run often on the bases so long as he continues to bat leadoff, which he should. In other words, from a fantasy perspective, Acuna is an absolute monster. He's a top-three pick and will (deservedly) go first overall in many leagues, and there's still upside given that he just turned 23 years old. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Tatis Jr. had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| The fantasy baseball community isn't talking enough about how Acuña nearly doubled his walk rate last summer (10.6% to 18.8%) while also hitting the ball harder than ever (47.4% in 2019 to 57.0% in 2020). Yes, it was a small sample, but these are also signs that the talented 23-year-old is improving as a hitter. Seemingly doing more damage and becoming more selective at the expense of batting average, Acuña's 40/40 upside keeps him in the conversation for No. 1 overall come draft day. Brendan Tuma - BettingPros | Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside. Brendan Tuma - BettingPros | |
