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Who Should I Draft?

Ronald Acuna Jr. or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
Experts' Pick
  Ronald Acuna Jr.
LF,CF,RF - ATL
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
50%
Recommended by
3 of 6 experts
50%
Recommended by
3 of 6 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 2# 4
Best Rank# 1# 1
Worst Rank# 5# 5
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 1# 3
Best Rank# 1# 2
Worst Rank# 1# 4
   
Projections 
   
Runs122109
Home Runs3936
RBI9798
Stolen Bases2925
Batting Average.287.290
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 2# 1
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 5# 4
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 2
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 1# 3
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 1# 4
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 4# 5
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ronald Acuna Jr.
LF,CF,RF - ATL
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats160224
   
Runs4650
   
Hits4062
   
Singles1532
   
Doubles1111
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs1417
   
RBI2945
   
Stolen Bases811
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks3827
   
Strikeouts6061
   
Batting Average.250.277
   
On Base Pct.406.366
   
Slugging Pct.581.571
   
On-base Plus Slugging.987.937
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ronald Acuna Jr.
LF,CF,RF - ATL
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats557556
   
Runs122109
   
Hits160161
   
Singles8890
   
Doubles2927
   
Triples26
   
Home Runs3936
   
RBI9798
   
Stolen Bases2925
   
Caught Stealing88
   
Walks8661
   
Strikeouts173165
   
Batting Average.287.290
   
On Base Pct.382.360
   
Slugging Pct.547.549
   
On-base Plus Slugging.929.909
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ronald Acuna Jr.
LF,CF,RF - ATL
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
News 
  The Padres are working on a contract extension with star shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. According to Jon Heyman and Jessica Kleinschmidt, Tatis' contract extension could be 11 years and $320 million.
Corbin Young
Sun, Jan 10th
Notes 
 Acuna missed some time last year and batted a mere .250. And thus ends the negative things you can say about him. He walked at an absurd 18.8% clip, which led him to a .406 OBP despite the poor average. He was one of the league leaders in quality of contact, wOBA, and xWOBA, and we now know after the last two years that he will run often on the bases so long as he continues to bat leadoff, which he should. In other words, from a fantasy perspective, Acuna is an absolute monster. He's a top-three pick and will (deservedly) go first overall in many leagues, and there's still upside given that he just turned 23 years old.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Tatis Jr. had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The fantasy baseball community isn't talking enough about how Acuña nearly doubled his walk rate last summer (10.6% to 18.8%) while also hitting the ball harder than ever (47.4% in 2019 to 57.0% in 2020). Yes, it was a small sample, but these are also signs that the talented 23-year-old is improving as a hitter. Seemingly doing more damage and becoming more selective at the expense of batting average, Acuña's 40/40 upside keeps him in the conversation for No. 1 overall come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros