Who Should I Draft?
Ronald Acuna Jr. or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Ronald Acuna Jr. LF,CF,RF - ATL  | Fernando Tatis Jr. CF,RF,SS - SD  | |
Expert |
92% Recommended by 47 of 51 experts |
8% Recommended by 4 of 51 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 1 | # 3 |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 1 |
| Worst Rank | # 5 | # 6 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 1 | # 2 |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 2 |
| Worst Rank | # 2 | # 4 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 122 | 108 |
| Home Runs | 40 | 36 |
| RBI | 96 | 97 |
| Stolen Bases | 29 | 25 |
| Batting Average | .280 | .286 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | IL60 | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 1 | # 2 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 1 | # 4 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 1 | # 4 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 1 | # 2 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 1 | # 2 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 1 | # 2 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 2 | # 3 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 1 | # 3 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 1 | # 5 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 1 | # 4 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 1 | # 4 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 1 | # 3 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 1 | # 2 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 4 | # 5 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 1 | # 2 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 1 | # 2 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 1 | # 2 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 1 | # 3 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 1 | # 3 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 1 | # 3 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 3 | # 4 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 1 | # 6 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 1 | # 3 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 1 | # 4 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 1 | # 2 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 1 | # 3 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 1 | # 3 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 2 | # 4 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 2 | # 4 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 1 | # 3 |
| Jorge B. Edwards Fantasy In Frames | # 2 | # 4 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 1 | # 3 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 1 | # 2 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 2 | # 3 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 1 | # 4 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 2 | # 4 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 1 | # 5 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 1 | # 5 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 2 | # 4 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 1 | # 4 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 1 | # 5 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 1 | # 2 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 1 | # 3 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 1 | # 2 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 1 | # 3 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 2 | # 4 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 1 | # 3 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 2 | # 1 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 2 | # 1 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 2 | # 1 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 5 | # 1 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. LF,CF,RF - ATL | Fernando Tatis Jr. CF,RF,SS - SD | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 160 | 224 |
| Runs | 46 | 50 |
| Hits | 40 | 62 |
| Singles | 15 | 32 |
| Doubles | 11 | 11 |
| Triples | 0 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 14 | 17 |
| RBI | 29 | 45 |
| Stolen Bases | 8 | 11 |
| Caught Stealing | 1 | 3 |
| Walks | 38 | 27 |
| Strikeouts | 60 | 61 |
| Batting Average | .250 | .277 |
| On Base Pct | .406 | .366 |
| Slugging Pct | .581 | .571 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .987 | .937 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. LF,CF,RF - ATL | Fernando Tatis Jr. CF,RF,SS - SD | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 573 | 568 |
| Runs | 122 | 108 |
| Hits | 159 | 161 |
| Singles | 87 | 91 |
| Doubles | 29 | 28 |
| Triples | 2 | 6 |
| Home Runs | 40 | 36 |
| RBI | 96 | 97 |
| Stolen Bases | 29 | 25 |
| Caught Stealing | 8 | 8 |
| Walks | 85 | 61 |
| Strikeouts | 176 | 165 |
| Batting Average | .280 | .286 |
| On Base Pct | .374 | .357 |
| Slugging Pct | .546 | .544 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .920 | .901 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. LF,CF,RF - ATL | Fernando Tatis Jr. CF,RF,SS - SD | |
| News | ||
| Braves OF Ronald Acuna Jr. (ACL) says he'll start jogging sometime in November or December. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Mon, Oct 18th | Padres SS/OF Fernando Tatis Jr. won't undergo surgery on his left shoulder this offseason. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Mon, Oct 18th | |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. will miss the rest of the season after he suffered a complete tear of his right ACL. Dan Harris Sat, Jul 10th | Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-for-4 on the day, hitting his 30th double of the year in the process. He also struck out once. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Sat, Oct 2nd | |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. was carted off the field in the Braves game against Miami on Saturday. Ari Koslow Sat, Jul 10th | Fernando Tatis Jr. went 0-for-4 on Tuesday, striking out three times and failing to reach base. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Wed, Sep 29th | |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. went 3-for-5 with a solo homer, two singles, a walk, and two additional runs scored in Wednesday's game against the Pirates. Steve Painter Wed, Jul 7th | Fernando Tatis Jr. went 0-for-3 on Thursday, striking out once. He did salvage some of his fantasy day with two drawn walks and a run scored though. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Fri, Sep 24th | |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. went 2-for-5 with two singles, a run scored, and three strikeouts in Monday's game against the Pirates. Steve Painter Mon, Jul 5th | Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-for-5 on Wednesday, hitting a single and a solo home run in the seventh inning. He'd also draw a walk and strike out once. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Thu, Sep 23rd | |
| Notes | ||
| Acuna missed some time last year and batted a mere .250. And thus ends the negative things you can say about him. He walked at an absurd 18.8% clip, which led him to a .406 OBP despite the poor average. He was one of the league leaders in quality of contact, wOBA, and xWOBA, and we now know after the last two years that he will run often on the bases so long as he continues to bat leadoff, which he should. In other words, from a fantasy perspective, Acuna is an absolute monster. He's a top-three pick and will (deservedly) go first overall in many leagues, and there's still upside given that he just turned 23 years old. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Tatis Jr. has a bit of a shoulder issue, but nothing suggests he'll need to miss any time. He had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his Statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers, so long a there are no further developments with his shoulder. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| The fantasy baseball community isn't talking enough about how Acuña nearly doubled his walk rate last summer (10.6% to 18.8%) while also hitting the ball harder than ever (47.4% in 2019 to 57.0% in 2020). Yes, it was a small sample, but these are also signs that the talented 23-year-old is improving as a hitter. Seemingly doing more damage and becoming more selective at the expense of batting average, Acuña's 40/40 upside keeps him in the conversation for No. 1 overall come draft day. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | |
