Who Should I Draft?

Rougned Odor or Jonathan Villar (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
Experts' Pick
  Rougned Odor
2B,DH - TEX
Rougned Odor
Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - BAL
Jonathan Villar
Expert
Recommendation
50%
Recommended by
29 of 58 experts
50%
Recommended by
29 of 58 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 69# 76
Best Rank# 40# 39
Worst Rank# 123# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 133# 87
Best Rank# 108# 76
Worst Rank# 148# 110
   
Projections 
   
Runs8370
Home Runs2716
RBI8055
Stolen Bases1437
Batting Average.250.254
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 73# 69
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 67# 39
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 84# 60
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 115# 85
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 74# 69
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 76# 51
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 123# 62
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 69# 61
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 62# 55
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 69# 39
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 87# 80
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 94# 81
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 106# 53
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 75# 70
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 75# 65
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 52# 50
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 63# 59
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 63# 52
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 70# 60
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 80# 75
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 79# 73
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 70# 66
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 65# 48
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 81# 61
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 70# 54
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 77# 67
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 80# 79
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 76# 55
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 74# 68
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 40# 63
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 42# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 44
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 46# 92
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 47# 111
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 49# 68
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 56
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 54# 68
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 55# 72
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 55# 108
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 56# 62
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 57# 93
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 58# 95
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 63# 86
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 64# 71
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 65# 71
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 66# 82
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 67# 71
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 68# 96
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 69# 77
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 70# 88
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 72# 86
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 72# 73
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 73# 84
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 75# 76
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 76# 85
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 79# 109
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 86# 102
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 97# 110
   
  Rougned Odor
2B,DH - TEX
Rougned Odor
Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - BAL
Jonathan Villar
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats474466
   
Runs7654
   
Hits120121
   
Singles7792
   
Doubles2314
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs1814
   
RBI6346
   
Stolen Bases1235
   
Caught Stealing125
   
Walks4341
   
Strikeouts127138
   
Batting Average.253.260
   
On Base Pct.327.325
   
Slugging Pct.424.384
   
On-base Plus Slugging.751.709
   
  Rougned Odor
2B,DH - TEX
Rougned Odor
Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - BAL
Jonathan Villar
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats567535
   
Runs8370
   
Hits142136
   
Singles8597
   
Doubles2823
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs2716
   
RBI8055
   
Stolen Bases1437
   
Caught Stealing910
   
Walks4249
   
Strikeouts139158
   
Batting Average.250.254
   
On Base Pct.302.318
   
Slugging Pct.451.394
   
On-base Plus Slugging.753.712
   
  Rougned Odor
2B,DH - TEX
Rougned Odor
Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - BAL
Jonathan Villar
News 
 Rougned Odor went went 2-for-4 with a grand slam, a two-RBI double, a stolen base and a walk in Saturday's 9-4 win over the Yankees.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 29th
Jonathan Villar went 2-for-4 with an RBI, two runs and a steal in Saturday's win over Boston by a 9-4 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 29th
 Rougned Odor went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Thursday's 7-5 win over the Red Sox.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 26th
Jonathan Villar went 2-for-5 with a stolen base in a 3-2 victory against the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 26th
 Rougned Odor went 1-for-3 with a home run, three RBI, and a second run scored in Tuesday’s 12-10 loss to the Red Sox.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 25th
Jonathan Villar went 3-for-8 with a solo homer, two RBI and a pair of runs scored in the Orioles’ loss to the Blue Jays in extra innings on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 24th
 Rougned Odor went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run, a pair of runs scored and a double in Saturday's 8-6 loss to the Athletics.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
Jonathan Villar went 1-for-3 with a steal, run and walk during a 5-3 victory against the Mariners on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
 Rougned Odor went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Thursday’s 6-4 win over the Rays.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 13th
Jonathan Villar went 3-for-5 with a solo home run, double, stolen base and three runs scored Wednesday against the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
Notes 
 After back-to-back 30 HR campaigns, Odor managed to hit just 18 in 129 games last year, but there is little in his batted ball profile to suggest the power drop-off will be permanent. Of greater concern is the fact that Odor's strikeout rate has increased significantly over the last two seasons, and his stolen base success rate plummeted last season. Odor is certainly capable of producing a .250-30-15 season, but that outcome feels a little closer to his ceiling than his floor at this point. Still, unless he gets the red light on the base paths, Odor is a solid bet to again finish among the top-12 second basemen in standard 5x5 leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Villar was Adalberto Mondesi version 1.0, posting an unreal .285-19 HRs-62 SBs line in 2016 before falling back to .241-11-23 in 2017. He split the difference last year, and with regular playing time ahead of him in Baltimore, he seems likely to post another .250-15-30 season. It's rarely pretty with Villar, but he could be a solid roto/categories league value going outside the top-100 picks in fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite fewer games over the last three years, Odor has 10 more homers than Javier Baez and is neck and neck with him in steals, runs and RBIs. There is a considerable difference in BA, but in terms of batted ball data, Baez was hardly above Odor in xBA last season so you may be getting a tremendous value in the 9th or 10th round of drafts this season.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Villar was a major disappointment in 2017 after being selected in the third, and even second round of fantasy drafts. As a result, he was an afterthought in 2018, and for the first half of the season, it was a good call. Once Villar was dealt to the Orioles, though, he took off. In those 54 games, he managed eight homers and 21 steals, which over a full season would have been 24 and 64, respectively. Think that type of production is impossible? Rewind to 2016 when he hit 19 with 62 steals and a .285 batting average. Villar still has that ceiling and you can get him in the middle of your drafts this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Odor settled for 18 homers in 129 games after offering 33 and 30 long balls in the last two seasons, respectively. Yet he made demonstrative improvements as an actual player, upping his wOBA from .272 to .325 and fWAR from -1.2 to 2.5. A more selective approach led to a career-high 8.0% walk rate and a respectable .253 batting average. He should at least rebound closer to 25 homers, but there's some concern that Texas throws up a red (or at least yellow) light after getting caught in half of his 24 steals attempts. He's still only 25, so it's worth the gamble beyond the top-100 picks if searching for a power-speed punch.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
After getting shipped out of Milwaukee to Baltimore, Villar won some leagues down the stretch. In 54 games with his new club, the middle infielder batted .258 with eight homers and 21 steals. Like Adalberto Mondesi, he offers mouth-watering steals upside with a chance to also deliver 15-20 long balls. Unlike Mondesi, Villar can draw a walk. He also manifested this fantastical ceiling when batting .285 with 19 homers and 62 steals in 2016. Oh yeah, he's also much cheaper. A poor contact profile presents significant batting-average downside, but the speed makes him a tantalizing upside pick.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros