Who Should I Draft?

Ryan Braun or Justin Smoak (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ryan Braun
1B,LF - MIL
Ryan Braun
Justin Smoak
1B,DH - TOR
Justin Smoak
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
45 of 56 experts
20%
Recommended by
11 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 92# 126
Best Rank# 36# 71
Worst Rank# 150# 187
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 186# 197
Best Rank# 180# 188
Worst Rank# 918# 231
   
Projections 
   
Runs6773
Home Runs2228
RBI7181
Stolen Bases121
Batting Average.269.245
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-DTD
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 124# 146
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 98# 121
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 81# 114
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 98# 118
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 103# 145
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 97# 118
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 94# 150
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 36
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 89# 110
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 78# 99
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 60# 115
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 124# 137
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 78# 97
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 83# 132
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 150# 163
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 83# 123
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 94# 120
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 93# 107
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 53# 102
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 77# 132
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 93# 123
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 82# 123
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 95# 107
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 95# 132
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 84# 118
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 67# 71
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 93# 116
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 102
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 103# 141
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 98# 124
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 87# 175
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 91# 119
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 80# 152
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 128# 170
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 96# 103
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 109# 118
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 50
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 84# 114
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 105# 148
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 94# 112
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 97# 119
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 95# 116
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 90# 187
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 117# 156
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 96# 108
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 95# 82
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 97# 91
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 108# 102
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 111# 96
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 113# 102
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 118# 74
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 119# 117
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 129# 101
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 130# 112
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 137# 92
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 142# 128
   
  Ryan Braun
1B,LF - MIL
Ryan Braun
Justin Smoak
1B,DH - TOR
Justin Smoak
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats405505
   
Runs5967
   
Hits103122
   
Singles5763
   
Doubles2534
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs2025
   
RBI6477
   
Stolen Bases110
   
Caught Stealing51
   
Walks3483
   
Strikeouts85156
   
Batting Average.254.242
   
On Base Pct.313.350
   
Slugging Pct.469.457
   
On-base Plus Slugging.782.808
   
  Ryan Braun
1B,LF - MIL
Ryan Braun
Justin Smoak
1B,DH - TOR
Justin Smoak
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats457520
   
Runs6773
   
Hits123127
   
Singles7470
   
Doubles2628
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs2228
   
RBI7181
   
Stolen Bases121
   
Caught Stealing51
   
Walks4174
   
Strikeouts95149
   
Batting Average.269.245
   
On Base Pct.329.338
   
Slugging Pct.478.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.807.801
   
  Ryan Braun
1B,LF - MIL
Ryan Braun
Justin Smoak
1B,DH - TOR
Justin Smoak
News 
 Ryan Braun went 1-for-6 with a solo home run on Wednesday against the Astros.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 13th
Justin Smoak was not in the lineup on Monday as the Rays lost to the Angels by a 10-5 score.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 18th
 Ryan Braun went 1-for-5 with a three-run home run in the Brewers' 10-4 win over the Pirates on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
Justin Smoak went 3-for-5 with two walks and scored a run as the Blue Jays beat the Orioles on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 13th
 Ryan Braun went 0-for-5 with an RBI and two strikeouts in the Brewers' 12-10 win over the Pirates on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Justin Smoak went 1-for-4 and scored a run as the Blue Jays lost to the Yankees by a 6-2 score on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 7th
 Ryan Braun is absent from Sunday's lineup versus the Braves.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 19th
Justin Smoak went 1-for-4 with a solo home run on Saturday as the Blue Jays lost by a 4-2 score to the Rockies.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Ryan Braun 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Brewers' 6-1 win over the Phillies on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, May 15th
Justin Smoak went 2-for-5 with a pair of home runs and five RBI in the Blue Jays 10-1 victory against the Padres on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Notes 
 Braun isn't often healthy, but when he is on the field, he has continued to rake over the last three years. In that time, his per 162 game average is 30 homers, 18 steals and a .279 batting average. If he can finally stay on the field, fantasy owners will hit the jackpot this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Smoak may not have hit 38 homers with 90 RBIs again like he did in 2017, but there is certainly nothing wrong with the 25 and 77 line he put together. His .242 batting average hurts, but at this stage in the draft, you have to give a little to get this type of power.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Braun is no longer the dominant fantasy outfielder he once was, but he looks to be criminally underrated at this stage of his career. You can't expect him to play more than 120-140 games, but Braun has proven over the last couple seasons that he's capable of producing 20+ HRs and 10+ SBs even while missing a quarter of a season, and his batting average could even pop back up into the .280+ range after two straight low-BABIP seasons. Hitting in a terrific lineup and favorable home ballpark, Braun (ADP 203.7) should be able to again produce numbers that resemble those of OFs going much earlier in drafts like George Springer (ADP 54.3), Mitch Haniger (ADP 81.0), and Justin Upton (ADP 85.7).
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
While Smoak fell off from 2017's 38 homers and 133 wRC+, he still chipped in 25 homers and a 121 wRC+ with help from a stellar 14.0% walk rate in 594 plate appearances. He also dealt with a wrist injury early in the season while maintaining impressive hard-hit (41.5%) and barrel (10.5%) rates. With an ADP outside the top 200, he merely needs to repeat 2018, preferably with some better run production in more games. Yet 30 homers is still in play, in which case he'll make a great corner-infield bargain.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 A regressing Braun still offers value. Despite posting career lows in batting average (.254), OBP (.313) and wRC+ (105), the veteran still stockpiled 20 homers and 11 steals last year. He faces far less competition for playing time now that the Brewers have traded Domingo Santana and Keon Broxton, so he'll go as far as his health takes him. The 35-year-old isn't washed just yet; he notched a .296 xBA and .515 xSLG, per Statcast. He should at least fare closer to 2017's .268/.336/.487 slash line, and a 25/15 campaign isn't out of the question if he could piece together 550 plate appearances in around 130 games. A massive discrepancy between his consensus ADP (210) and ECR (141) reveals an intriguing buy-low opportunity.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros