Who Should I Draft?

Ryan Braun or Willson Contreras (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ryan Braun
1B,LF - MIL
Ryan Braun
Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
34 of 56 experts
39%
Recommended by
22 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 92# 95
Best Rank# 36# 56
Worst Rank# 150# 184
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 186# 122
Best Rank# 180# 98
Worst Rank# 918# 128
   
Projections 
   
Runs6756
Home Runs2215
RBI7163
Stolen Bases124
Batting Average.269.260
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Staff Rankings
ScoutFantasySports
# 97# 144
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 81# 173
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 98# 111
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 36# 93
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 89# 104
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 78# 101
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 60# 76
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 78# 98
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 83# 184
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 83# 117
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 93# 101
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 53# 80
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 77# 107
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 108# 113
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 93# 103
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 82# 97
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 95# 101
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 95# 108
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 84# 96
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 67# 74
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 93# 97
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 102# 127
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 103# 107
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 98# 109
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 87# 117
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 95# 102
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 91# 101
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 80# 178
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 50# 114
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 84# 128
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 105# 107
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 95# 144
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 90# 111
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 96# 99
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 94# 81
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 94# 91
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 94# 92
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 96# 78
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 97# 95
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 97# 77
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 98# 90
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 103# 83
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 109# 93
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 111# 106
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 113# 106
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 117# 77
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 118# 98
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 119# 93
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 124# 93
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 124# 56
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 128# 111
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 129# 108
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 130# 91
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 137# 106
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 142# 72
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 150# 118
   
  Ryan Braun
1B,LF - MIL
Ryan Braun
Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats405474
   
Runs5950
   
Hits103118
   
Singles5776
   
Doubles2527
   
Triples15
   
Home Runs2010
   
RBI6454
   
Stolen Bases114
   
Caught Stealing51
   
Walks3453
   
Strikeouts85121
   
Batting Average.254.249
   
On Base Pct.313.340
   
Slugging Pct.469.390
   
On-base Plus Slugging.782.730
   
  Ryan Braun
1B,LF - MIL
Ryan Braun
Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats457445
   
Runs6756
   
Hits123115
   
Singles7474
   
Doubles2624
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2215
   
RBI7163
   
Stolen Bases124
   
Caught Stealing52
   
Walks4149
   
Strikeouts95110
   
Batting Average.269.260
   
On Base Pct.329.333
   
Slugging Pct.478.429
   
On-base Plus Slugging.807.762
   
  Ryan Braun
1B,LF - MIL
Ryan Braun
Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
News 
 Ryan Braun will receive a day off on Monday. The veteran will likely be available for pinch hit duties as well.
Garett Thomas
Mon, Apr 15th
Willson Contreras went 2-for-3 with a sole home run and three RBI in the Cubs' 7-2 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Apr 16th
 Ryan Braun went 1-for-5 with a three-run home run in the Brewers' 14-8 loss to the Cubs on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Apr 7th
Willson Contreras went 3-for-4 with a pair of solo home runs and a single in the Cubs' 5-1 win over the Angels on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Apr 12th
 Ryan Braun went 2-for-5 with a three-run home run and four RBI in the Brewers' 13-10 win over the Cubs on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Apr 6th
Willson Contreras went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 4-2 loss to the Brewers on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Apr 7th
 Ryan Braun will get a night off on Tuesday as the Brewers take on the Reds.
Kari Thomas
Tue, Apr 2nd
Willson Contreras went 1-for-1 with a solo home run and a walk in the Cubs' 13-10 loss to the Brewers on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Apr 6th
 Ryan Braun went 2-for-5 with a pair of doubles, an RBI, and a run scored in the Brewers' 4-3 win over the Reds on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Apr 2nd
Willson Contreras went 3-for-4 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in the Cubs' 6-4 loss to the Braves on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Apr 4th
Notes 
 Braun isn't often healthy, but when he is on the field, he has continued to rake over the last three years. In that time, his per 162 game average is 30 homers, 18 steals and a .279 batting average. If he can finally stay on the field, fantasy owners will hit the jackpot this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Contreras was a major disappointment for fantasy owners in 2018 after starting off his career with 33 HRs, 109 RBIs and a .278 batting average through 629 at-bats in his first two years. He is still young, however, and expected to improve from last season.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Braun is no longer the dominant fantasy outfielder he once was, but he looks to be criminally underrated at this stage of his career. You can't expect him to play more than 120-140 games, but Braun has proven over the last couple seasons that he's capable of producing 20+ HRs and 10+ SBs even while missing a quarter of a season, and his batting average could even pop back up into the .280+ range after two straight low-BABIP seasons. Hitting in a terrific lineup and favorable home ballpark, Braun (ADP 203.7) should be able to again produce numbers that resemble those of OFs going much earlier in drafts like George Springer (ADP 54.3), Mitch Haniger (ADP 81.0), and Justin Upton (ADP 85.7).
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
A rising star came crashing down when Contreras cratered to .249/.339/.390 with 10 homers in 544 plate appearances. He again hit ground balls on over half of his batted balls, but this time it came with fewer hard hits (28.9%) and more pop-ups (10.3%). A terrible second half (.264 wOBA) derailed this season, so it wasn't even a full year of regression. Even if not anticipating a full revival, the catching pool gets bleak enough to secure him as a top-eight option at worst.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 A regressing Braun still offers value. Despite posting career lows in batting average (.254), OBP (.313) and wRC+ (105), the veteran still stockpiled 20 homers and 11 steals last year. He faces far less competition for playing time now that the Brewers have traded Domingo Santana and Keon Broxton, so he'll go as far as his health takes him. The 35-year-old isn't washed just yet; he notched a .296 xBA and .515 xSLG, per Statcast. He should at least fare closer to 2017's .268/.336/.487 slash line, and a 25/15 campaign isn't out of the question if he could piece together 550 plate appearances in around 130 games. A massive discrepancy between his consensus ADP (210) and ECR (141) reveals an intriguing buy-low opportunity.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Contreras had a horribly disappointing 2018 season, hitting just 10 home runs after belting 21 long balls the previous season. The lack of homers was also responsible for lopping more than 25 points off his batting average, as his strikeout rate and BABIP were virtually identical to 2017. Of particular concern was the decline in his hard hit rate, in a year when most players saw their hard hit rates soar. Contreras is just 26 years old and didn't deal with any notable injuries last season, so the sudden drop in power is tough to explain. It stands to reason that a big bounce back could be in store, but he has to be viewed as a boom-or-bust option coming off a lost year.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros