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Who Should I Draft?

Ryan Pressly or Kenta Maeda (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Ryan Pressly
RP - HOU
Ryan Pressly
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
50 of 51 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 39
Best Rank# 5# 21
Worst Rank# 36# 77
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 105
Best Rank# 45# 103
Worst Rank# 61# 131
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17775
Wins123
Saves029
ERA3.833.28
WHIP1.131.15
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 48
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 36
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 45
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 37
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 33
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 40
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 44
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 42
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 50
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 42
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 36
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 45
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 37
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 37
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 37
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 39
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 47
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 42
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 37
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 36
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 41
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 59
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 25
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 77
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 32
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 25
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 19# 46
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 68
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 39
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 47
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 37
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 45
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 38
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 46
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 37
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 45
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 35
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 47
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 38
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 41
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 24
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 50
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 58
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 5# 41
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Ryan Pressly
RP - HOU
Ryan Pressly
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1123
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched67.121.0
   
Wins61
   
Losses13
   
Saves012
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4022
   
Earned Runs209
   
Home Runs Allowed92
   
Strikeouts8029
   
Walks107
   
ERA2.703.86
   
WHIP0.751.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Ryan Pressly
RP - HOU
Ryan Pressly
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3062
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched160.760.7
   
Wins123
   
Losses83
   
Saves029
   
Blown Saves014
   
Holds05
   
Hits Allowed13653
   
Earned Runs6822
   
Home Runs Allowed237
   
Strikeouts17775
   
Walks4617
   
ERA3.833.28
   
WHIP1.131.15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Ryan Pressly
RP - HOU
Ryan Pressly
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
Astros closer Ryan Pressly was tasked with preserving a 1-1 tie in the ninth inning of Saturday's game against the Athletics. Instead, he allowed a walk-off double. The right-hander's final line included one run, two hits, zero walks, one strikeout, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Oakland by a score of 2-1.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 25th
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Astros closer Ryan Pressly struck out all three batters he faced while pitching the ninth inning against the Diamondbacks on Sunday. He required just 12 pitches and nine strikes en route to earning the save. Houston ultimately defeated Arizona by a score of 7-6.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Sep 20th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Astros closer struck out one batter while throwing a scoreless ninth inning against the Angels on Sunday. He earned the save as Houston ultimately defeated Los Angeles by a score of 3-1.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Sep 12th
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
Astros closer Ryan Pressly allowed three runs over 0.2 innings against the Mariners, breaking a critical late-game tie and eventually costing Houston the game. His final line included two hits, one walk, two strikeouts, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Seattle by a score of 8-5.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Sep 8th
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Astros star closer Ryan Pressly threw a scoreless ninth inning against the Padres on Friday. He issued one walk and zero hits en route to earning the save. Houston ultimately defeated San Diego by a score of 6-3.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 4th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Pressly had his usual solid season, but got the benefit of closing for the Astros after Roberto Osuna's injury. His numbers fell off a bit from the previous two years (his 1.33 WHIP was particularly out of character), but he will almost certainly rebound from the .365 BABIP he allowed. He's slated to again be the Astros' closer, and as such, should provide plenty of saves while giving fantasy managers positive value in ratios. That makes him one of the few reliable closers worth drafting at more than a late-round price.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros