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Who Should I Draft?

Seth Lugo or John Means (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  John Means
SP - BAL
John Means
Seth Lugo
SP,RP - NYM
Seth Lugo
Expert
Recommendation
86%
Recommended by
19 of 22 experts
14%
Recommended by
3 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 81# 128
Best Rank# 43# 78
Worst Rank# 146# 224
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 223# 350
Best Rank# 195# 246
Worst Rank# 284# 405
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts13277
Wins94
Saves02
ERA4.663.83
WHIP1.261.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 76
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 74# 111
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 77# 136
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 113
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 71
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 79# 116
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 81
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 75# 110
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 53
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 94# 132
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 102# 107
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 81# 163
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 87# 116
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 130# 149
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 65
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 43# 224
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 103
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 86
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 82
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 84# 78
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 87# 86
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 146# 135
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  John Means
SP - BAL
John Means
Seth Lugo
SP,RP - NYM
Seth Lugo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1016
   
Games Started107
   
Innings Pitched44.237.1
   
Wins23
   
Losses44
   
Saves03
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3640
   
Earned Runs2221
   
Home Runs Allowed128
   
Strikeouts4247
   
Walks710
   
ERA4.535.15
   
WHIP0.981.36
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  John Means
SP - BAL
John Means
Seth Lugo
SP,RP - NYM
Seth Lugo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2940
   
Games Started286
   
Innings Pitched154.267.1
   
Wins94
   
Losses114
   
Saves02
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds09
   
Hits Allowed15461
   
Earned Runs8029
   
Home Runs Allowed299
   
Strikeouts13277
   
Walks3917
   
ERA4.663.83
   
WHIP1.261.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  John Means
SP - BAL
John Means
Seth Lugo
SP,RP - NYM
Seth Lugo
News 
  The Mets announced RHP Seth Lugo will undergo surgery to remove a bone spur from his elbow.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Feb 13th
  Seth Lugo avoids arbitration by signing a contract worth $2.925 million, per Mike Puma of the New York Post.
Ryan Evans - Baseballogy
Fri, Jan 15th
  Seth Lugo, who made seven starts for the Mets during the 2020 season, is expected to move back to the bullpen, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 8th
Notes 
 9 - 4.20 - 1.15
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
 
 Means's 4.53 ERA and grotesque home run rate are probably going to scare the casual fantasy manager away, but there is a ton to like about him heading into 2021. First, Means had a weird year last season, as he dealt with arm fatigue early and then his father passed away, so his schedule was certainly thrown up into the air at the start. Probably because of those difficulties, his outstanding changeup wasn't effective earlier in the season, but it was back to being his money pitch by season's end. Add to that Means' increase in velocity, his strong finish (1.52 ERA, 30 strikeouts over his last four starts), and his excellent command, and there's a breakout waiting to happen, despite the tough division.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 
 Means has always been good at limiting walks (95th percentile walk rate in 2020) but last summer he also added two mph to his fastball velocity. While the box score results weren't immediate, Means finished the year on a tear. Over his final four starts the lefty posted a 30:3 K:BB ratio in 23 2/3 innings pitched. This type of skill change is something to buy into late in drafts.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros