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Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or Bryce Harper (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
85%
Recommended by
47 of 55 experts
15%
Recommended by
8 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 14
Best Rank# 4# 8
Worst Rank# 16# 36
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 9# 18
Best Rank# 8# 17
Worst Rank# 10# 18
   
Projections 
   
Runs103
Home Runs2436
RBI104
Stolen Bases14
Batting Avg.266
Strikeouts243155
Wins15
Saves0
ERA3.18
WHIP1.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 15
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 18
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 16
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 14# 17
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 10# 15
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 15
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 4# 19
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 15
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 13# 16
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 11# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 8# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 13# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 15
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 12# 14
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 15
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 15
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 10# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 14
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 11# 14
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 9# 15
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 15
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 36
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 13
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 14
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 7# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 7# 17
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 12# 15
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 8# 23
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 8# 19
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 11# 14
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 9# 12
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 11# 16
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 12# 14
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 10# 15
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 11# 14
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 9# 8
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 10# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 13# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 13
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 15
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs41
   
Home Runs713
   
RBI33
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.268
   
Strikeouts12243
   
Wins8
   
Saves0
   
ERA1.63
   
WHIP0.87
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs103
   
Home Runs2436
   
RBI104
   
Stolen Bases14
   
Batting Avg.266
   
Strikeouts243155
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.18
   
WHIP1.05
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over 4 2/3 innings of work in a 3-2 loss to Seattle on Sunday. Bieber struck out seven and walked four.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, May 16th
Despite initially being labeled as out with inflammation in his shoulder, Bryce Harper has come in to replace OF Scott Kingery in right field.
Ethan Biddle
Sun, May 16th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber turned in an excellent outing on Tuesday. Bieber allowed two runs over 6 2/3 innings in a 3-2 win over the Cubs. He struck out eight and walked three.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, May 11th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper is not in the lineup for Sunday's matchup against Robbie Ray and the Toronto Blue Jays.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, May 16th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed four runs (three earned) over six innings of work in a 5-4 win over the Royals on Wednesday. He struck out nine and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 6th
Phillies OF Bryce Harper was removed from Saturday’s game against the Blue Jays.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 15th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over six innings of work in a 5-3 win over the White Sox on Friday. Bieber struck out 11 and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 1st
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-2 with a double, three walks, and a run scored in Friday's win over the Blue Jays.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, May 15th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings in a 2-1 loss to the Yankees on Saturday. Bieber struck out nine and walked three in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Apr 24th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-4 with a stolen base in Thursday's loss to the Nationals. The steal was his fourth of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, May 14th
Notes 
 Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros