Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or J.A. Happ (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
38 of 56 experts
32%
Recommended by
18 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 48# 52
Best Rank# 24# 27
Worst Rank# 226# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 149# 131
Best Rank# 136# 118
Worst Rank# 157# 139
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts147168
Wins1113
Saves00
ERA3.843.85
WHIP1.231.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 39# 74
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 57
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 46# 47
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 67
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 30# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 56# 72
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 39# 64
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 42# 43
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 84# 94
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 33# 60
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 45
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 44# 52
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 40# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 57
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 37# 56
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 41
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 65
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 48
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 26# 50
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 52# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 56
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 49# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 66# 67
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 58# 59
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 37# 56
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 45# 69
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 46
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 48# 67
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 52# 58
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 63# 82
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 69
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 41# 58
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 48# 54
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 57# 62
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 45# 64
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 46# 111
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 40# 44
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 54
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 38# 27
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 43
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 44
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 45
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 48
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 54# 47
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 56# 51
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 57# 52
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 61# 52
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 63# 46
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 63# 53
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 64# 58
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 73# 64
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 74# 45
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 86# 37
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 103# 42
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 113# 110
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 226# 40
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2031
   
Games Started1931
   
Innings Pitched115.1178.1
   
Wins1117
   
Losses56
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130150
   
Earned Runs5872
   
Home Runs Allowed1327
   
Strikeouts118193
   
Walks2351
   
ERA4.553.65
   
WHIP1.331.13
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2729
   
Games Started2629
   
Innings Pitched154.9167.6
   
Wins1113
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed159153
   
Earned Runs6672
   
Home Runs Allowed1824
   
Strikeouts147168
   
Walks3152
   
ERA3.843.85
   
WHIP1.231.23
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber was exceptional in a 4-2 win over the Tigers on Saturday. Bieber allowed two runs in 7 2/3 innings while racking up 12 strikeouts. He allowed just four hits and walked one in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 15th
J.A. Happ did not factor into the decision in Thursday's loss to the White Sox, allowing four runs on four hits and four walks while striking out two through five innings.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 14th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber had a tough time against the Yankees in a 7-6 loss on Sunday. Bieber allowed five runs in 1 2/3 innings, striking out four and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jun 9th
J.A. Happ gave up just one run on four hits and struck out four batters in seven innings and earned a win over the Blue Jays on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 7th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber was excellent in a 5-2 win over the Twins on Tuesday. Bieber allowed two runs in seven innings while striking out seven and walking one.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 5th
J.A. Happ (5-3) allowed one run on three hits with five strikeouts and two walks across five innings to earn a victory against the Red Sox on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 1st
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber picked up an ugly win in a 14-9 victory over the Red Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed six runs in five innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 30th
Thursday's game between the Yankees and Red Sox was postponed due to rain; it will be made up Aug. 3.
James Bisson
Thu, May 30th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 3-1 win over the Rays on Friday. Bieber allowed one run in five innings while striking out 10 batters. He had to settle for a no-decision in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 25th
J.A. Happ (4-3) picked up the win in Saturday's 7-3 victory over the Royals, giving up three runs on four hits over six innings while striking out 10.
John Aubin
Sat, May 25th
Notes 
 Bieber is the rare pitcher who may throw too many strikes. His pinpoint control is helpful for his WHIP, and he's shown the ability to strike out close to a batter per inning, but he gave up so many hits as a rookie that his ERA ballooned to 4.55. That is due for quite a bit of positive regression, but Bieber's ERA may always trail behind his WHIP. For now, expect his ERA to settle in the mid-to-high 3s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The undervalued Happ massively out-performed his 2018 draft pick despite posting his highest ERA (3.65) since 2014. He now owns a 3.49 ERA and 8.45 K/9 over those past four seasons, and yet many drafters have scoffed at him going around the pick-150 range. Seems like a reasonable price for someone who accompanied his career-high 193 strikeouts with a career-high 10.3% swinging-strike rate and career-low 78.3% contact rate. He looked comfortable in pinstripes (2.69 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) and could once again reap the rewards of run support to a crooked wins tally. Don't run away just because the southpaw is 36.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Baseball fans could soon think of that pop singer as the other Bieber. After generating a 13.68 K/BB ratio (!) throughout his minor league career, the Cleveland righty recorded 118 strikeouts to 23 walks in 114.2 big league frames. He also, however, got pegged to a 4.55 ERA. Lefties crushed him (.311/.362/.547), and a subpar four-seam fastball didn't fool anyone. Yet he also boasted a 3.23 FIP with a superb slider that submitted a 26.2% swinging-strike rate. Corey Kluber and Corey Carrasco have emerged as aces despite mediocre heaters, so perhaps Cleveland can apply the same winning formula to Bieber. He's still reasonably priced as a mid-range breakout pick, but it wouldn't be surprising to see his ADP skyrocket this spring.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros