Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or J.A. Happ (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
39 of 59 experts
34%
Recommended by
20 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 48# 51
Best Rank# 24# 27
Worst Rank# 226# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 149# 131
Best Rank# 136# 118
Worst Rank# 157# 139
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts147168
Wins1113
Saves00
ERA3.843.85
WHIP1.231.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 39# 74
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 57
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 46# 47
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 67
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 30# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 56# 72
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 39# 64
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 42# 43
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 84# 94
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 33# 60
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 45
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 44# 52
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 40# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 57
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 37# 56
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 41
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 65
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 48
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 26# 50
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 52# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 56
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 49# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 66# 67
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 37# 56
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 45# 69
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 46
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 48# 67
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 52# 58
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 63# 82
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 69
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 41# 58
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 48# 54
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 57# 62
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 50# 51
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 45# 64
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 44# 55
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 46# 111
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 40# 44
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 54
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 38# 27
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 41# 40
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 43
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 44
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 45
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 48
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 54# 47
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 56# 51
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 57# 52
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 61# 52
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 63# 46
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 63# 53
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 64# 58
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 67# 55
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 73# 64
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 74# 45
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 86# 37
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 103# 42
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 113# 110
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 226# 40
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2031
   
Games Started1931
   
Innings Pitched115.1178.1
   
Wins1117
   
Losses56
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130150
   
Earned Runs5872
   
Home Runs Allowed1327
   
Strikeouts118193
   
Walks2351
   
ERA4.553.65
   
WHIP1.331.13
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2729
   
Games Started2629
   
Innings Pitched154.9167.6
   
Wins1113
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed159153
   
Earned Runs6672
   
Home Runs Allowed1824
   
Strikeouts147168
   
Walks3152
   
ERA3.843.85
   
WHIP1.231.23
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber struggled in a 7-5 win over the Twins on Sunday. Bieber gave up four runs on 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 15th
J.A. Happ (biceps) received a cortisone shot Friday and is expected to start Thursday against the Angels, Kristie Ackert of the New York Daily News reports.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 6-2 win over the Angels on Monday. Bieber allowed just one run over seven innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 10th
J.A. Happ is headed to New York to see a doctor about biceps tendinitis, which he's apparently been dealing with for his last few starts, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 12th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in an 8-6 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings while striking out nine.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 5th
J.A Happ pitched 6 1/3 scoreless innings, allowing only two hits and one walk while striking out seven as the Yankees defeated the Red Sox 5-1.
Brandon Plutner
Sat, Sep 7th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber turned in a quality start in a 4-0 loss to the Rays on Friday. Bieber allowed three runs over 6 1/3 innings while striking out nine.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Aug 31st
J.A. Happ pitched six shutout innings, while allowing only one hit and striking out five as the Yankees defeated the A’s 5-4.
Brandon Plutner
Sun, Sep 1st
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber turned in a quality start in a 9-8 loss to the Royals on Sunday. Bieber allowed three runs (two earned) over seven innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Aug 25th
J.A. Happ picked up the win against the Mariners on Monday, giving up three earned runs on two hits over five innings, striking out seven and walking three as the Yankees won by a 5-4 score.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 27th
Notes 
 Bieber is the rare pitcher who may throw too many strikes. His pinpoint control is helpful for his WHIP, and he's shown the ability to strike out close to a batter per inning, but he gave up so many hits as a rookie that his ERA ballooned to 4.55. That is due for quite a bit of positive regression, but Bieber's ERA may always trail behind his WHIP. For now, expect his ERA to settle in the mid-to-high 3s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The undervalued Happ massively out-performed his 2018 draft pick despite posting his highest ERA (3.65) since 2014. He now owns a 3.49 ERA and 8.45 K/9 over those past four seasons, and yet many drafters have scoffed at him going around the pick-150 range. Seems like a reasonable price for someone who accompanied his career-high 193 strikeouts with a career-high 10.3% swinging-strike rate and career-low 78.3% contact rate. He looked comfortable in pinstripes (2.69 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) and could once again reap the rewards of run support to a crooked wins tally. Don't run away just because the southpaw is 36.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Baseball fans could soon think of that pop singer as the other Bieber. After generating a 13.68 K/BB ratio (!) throughout his minor league career, the Cleveland righty recorded 118 strikeouts to 23 walks in 114.2 big league frames. He also, however, got pegged to a 4.55 ERA. Lefties crushed him (.311/.362/.547), and a subpar four-seam fastball didn't fool anyone. Yet he also boasted a 3.23 FIP with a superb slider that submitted a 26.2% swinging-strike rate. Corey Kluber and Corey Carrasco have emerged as aces despite mediocre heaters, so perhaps Cleveland can apply the same winning formula to Bieber. He's still reasonably priced as a mid-range breakout pick, but it wouldn't be surprising to see his ADP skyrocket this spring.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros