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Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or Manny Machado (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Expert
Recommendation
93%
Recommended by
51 of 55 experts
7%
Recommended by
4 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 17
Best Rank# 4# 12
Worst Rank# 16# 37
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 9# 20
Best Rank# 8# 16
Worst Rank# 10# 21
   
Projections 
   
Runs92
Home Runs2435
RBI105
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.278
Strikeouts243113
Wins15
Saves0
ERA3.18
WHIP1.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 21
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 14# 23
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 17
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 10# 17
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 10# 25
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 4# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 20
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 17
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 13# 17
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 11# 17
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 8# 20
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 13# 15
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 17
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 12# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 18
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 10# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 17
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 19
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 11# 17
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 9# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 21
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 10# 25
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 25
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 20
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 16
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 17
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 20
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 26
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 7# 19
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 9# 37
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 7# 35
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 12# 18
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 8# 28
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 13# 16
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 8# 22
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 12
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 10# 16
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 11# 18
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 9# 24
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 11# 17
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 12# 16
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 10# 17
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 11# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 13
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 15
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs44
   
Home Runs716
   
RBI47
   
Stolen Bases6
   
Batting Avg.304
   
Strikeouts12237
   
Wins8
   
Saves0
   
ERA1.63
   
WHIP0.87
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs92
   
Home Runs2435
   
RBI105
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.278
   
Strikeouts243113
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.18
   
WHIP1.05
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over 4 2/3 innings of work in a 3-2 loss to Seattle on Sunday. Bieber struck out seven and walked four.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, May 16th
Manny Machado went 2-4 with a home run and a double in the Padres' win over the Rockies on Monday.
Matt Flipi
Tue, May 18th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber turned in an excellent outing on Tuesday. Bieber allowed two runs over 6 2/3 innings in a 3-2 win over the Cubs. He struck out eight and walked three.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, May 11th
Manny Machado went 1-4 with a single, a run scored, and two RBI on Saturday.
Matt Flipi
Sun, May 16th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed four runs (three earned) over six innings of work in a 5-4 win over the Royals on Wednesday. He struck out nine and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 6th
Manny Machado went 2-4 with a home run, a triple, a walk, two runs scored, and five RBI in the Padres' win over the Rockies on Tuesday.
Matt Flipi
Wed, May 12th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over six innings of work in a 5-3 win over the White Sox on Friday. Bieber struck out 11 and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 1st
Manny Machado went 1-5 with a single, a run scored, and 2 strikeouts in the Padres' win over the Giants on Monday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 10th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings in a 2-1 loss to the Yankees on Saturday. Bieber struck out nine and walked three in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Apr 24th
Manny Machado went 1-4 with a double in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Friday.
Matt Flipi
Sat, May 8th
Notes 
 Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros