Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or Rich Hill (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
36 of 56 experts
36%
Recommended by
20 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 48# 51
Best Rank# 24# 16
Worst Rank# 226# 110
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 149# 174
Best Rank# 136# 154
Worst Rank# 157# 187
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts147150
Wins1110
Saves00
ERA3.843.51
WHIP1.231.15
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 39# 54
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 67
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 46# 69
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 59
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 30# 47
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 38# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 50
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 56# 58
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 54# 65
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 33# 79
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 40# 48
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 52
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 56
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 37# 45
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 47
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 52
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 45
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 26# 54
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 80
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 74# 110
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 57# 79
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 37# 42
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 63# 94
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 45# 56
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 73
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 48# 64
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 52# 71
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 61
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 41# 44
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 48# 52
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 45# 60
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 46# 90
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 40# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 73# 86
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 46
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 39# 36
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 42# 32
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 44# 43
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 49# 34
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 52# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 46
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 52
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 56# 53
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 57# 50
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 58# 49
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 61# 46
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 63# 37
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 63# 48
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 64# 45
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 66# 56
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 84# 47
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 86# 55
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 103# 50
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 113# 16
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 226# 41
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2025
   
Games Started1924
   
Innings Pitched115.1133.1
   
Wins1111
   
Losses55
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130108
   
Earned Runs5854
   
Home Runs Allowed1320
   
Strikeouts118150
   
Walks2341
   
ERA4.553.66
   
WHIP1.331.12
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2724
   
Games Started2624
   
Innings Pitched154.9136.1
   
Wins1110
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed159112
   
Earned Runs6653
   
Home Runs Allowed1818
   
Strikeouts147150
   
Walks3145
   
ERA3.843.51
   
WHIP1.231.15
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber was exceptional in a 4-2 win over the Tigers on Saturday. Bieber allowed two runs in 7 2/3 innings while racking up 12 strikeouts. He allowed just four hits and walked one in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 15th
Rich Hill improved to 4-1 on Friday versus the Cubs, spinning seven innings of three-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber had a tough time against the Yankees in a 7-6 loss on Sunday. Bieber allowed five runs in 1 2/3 innings, striking out four and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jun 9th
Rich Hill improved to 3-1 on Saturday in San Francisco, striking out six while allowing two runs in five innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber was excellent in a 5-2 win over the Twins on Tuesday. Bieber allowed two runs in seven innings while striking out seven and walking one.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 5th
Rich Hill improved to 2-1 on Sunday versus the Phillies, striking out nine while tossing seven shutout innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber picked up an ugly win in a 14-9 victory over the Red Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed six runs in five innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 30th
Rich Hill received a no-decision on Tuesday’s loss to the Mets, striking out six while allowing two earned runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 29th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 3-1 win over the Rays on Friday. Bieber allowed one run in five innings while striking out 10 batters. He had to settle for a no-decision in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 25th
Rich Hill received a no-decision on Wednesday in Tampa Bay, striking out seven while throwing six innings of one-run ball.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 23rd
Notes 
 Bieber is the rare pitcher who may throw too many strikes. His pinpoint control is helpful for his WHIP, and he's shown the ability to strike out close to a batter per inning, but he gave up so many hits as a rookie that his ERA ballooned to 4.55. That is due for quite a bit of positive regression, but Bieber's ERA may always trail behind his WHIP. For now, expect his ERA to settle in the mid-to-high 3s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
It's a bit surprising how much the ECR favors Hill over Kenta Maeda, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Ross Stripling. All are superb options when healthy, but none should be trusted to work any more than 135 innings. So why such a heavy preference for Hill? The unlikely reclamation project turns 39 before starting the season, and he wasn't as elite (3.66 ERA, 3.97 FIP, 3.57 SIERA) in 2018's 132.2 innings. Drafters must exude patience, as he has struggled out of the gate in each of the last two seasons. In what should come as a surprise to nobody, he's already dealing with a short-term MCL injury that will delay his scheduled Opening Day start. He's a strong SP2 or 3 in the starts he makes, but it wouldn't be shocking to see him run out of steam. Just don't drop him much for this injury; such issues were already expected and factored into his draft cost.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Baseball fans could soon think of that pop singer as the other Bieber. After generating a 13.68 K/BB ratio (!) throughout his minor league career, the Cleveland righty recorded 118 strikeouts to 23 walks in 114.2 big league frames. He also, however, got pegged to a 4.55 ERA. Lefties crushed him (.311/.362/.547), and a subpar four-seam fastball didn't fool anyone. Yet he also boasted a 3.23 FIP with a superb slider that submitted a 26.2% swinging-strike rate. Corey Kluber and Corey Carrasco have emerged as aces despite mediocre heaters, so perhaps Cleveland can apply the same winning formula to Bieber. He's still reasonably priced as a mid-range breakout pick, but it wouldn't be surprising to see his ADP skyrocket this spring.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Hill has developed into a high-end fantasy starter in his mid-30s, posting no worse than a 3.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 10.18 K/9 over each of the last three seasons. Of course, he's never thrown more than 136 innings in any of those seasons, and we can't expect him to do it this year, either. But he's proven he can be a very valuable fantasy commodity in limited innings, particularly in leagues with a low innings cap.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros