Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or Rich Hill (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
39 of 59 experts
34%
Recommended by
20 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 48# 53
Best Rank# 24# 16
Worst Rank# 226# 110
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 149# 174
Best Rank# 136# 154
Worst Rank# 157# 187
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts147150
Wins1110
Saves00
ERA3.843.51
WHIP1.231.15
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-DTD
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 39# 54
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 67
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 46# 69
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 59
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 30# 47
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 38# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 50
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 56# 58
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 54# 65
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 33# 79
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 40# 48
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 52
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 56
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 37# 45
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 47
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 52
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 45
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 26# 54
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 80
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 74# 110
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 57# 79
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 37# 42
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 63# 94
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 45# 56
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 73
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 48# 64
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 52# 71
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 61
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 41# 44
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 48# 52
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 50# 67
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 45# 60
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 44# 61
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 41# 59
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 46# 90
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 40# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 73# 86
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 46
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 39# 36
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 42# 32
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 44# 43
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 49# 34
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 52# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 46
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 52
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 56# 53
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 57# 50
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 61# 46
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 63# 37
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 63# 48
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 64# 45
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 66# 56
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 67# 57
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 84# 47
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 86# 55
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 103# 50
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 113# 16
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 226# 41
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2025
   
Games Started1924
   
Innings Pitched115.1133.1
   
Wins1111
   
Losses55
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130108
   
Earned Runs5854
   
Home Runs Allowed1320
   
Strikeouts118150
   
Walks2341
   
ERA4.553.66
   
WHIP1.331.12
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2724
   
Games Started2624
   
Innings Pitched154.9136.1
   
Wins1110
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed159112
   
Earned Runs6653
   
Home Runs Allowed1818
   
Strikeouts147150
   
Walks3145
   
ERA3.843.51
   
WHIP1.231.15
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 5-2 win over the Phillies on Friday. Bieber allowed two runs over 7 1/3 innings while striking out seven.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 21st
Rich Hill has been diagnosed with a sprained MCL in his left knee.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber struggled in a 7-5 win over the Twins on Sunday. Bieber gave up four runs on 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 15th
Rich Hill was pulled after 2/3 of an inning in Thursday’s contest against the Orioles due to a left knee injury.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 12th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 6-2 win over the Angels on Monday. Bieber allowed just one run over seven innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 10th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says Rich Hill (elbow) will pitch out of the bullpen when he returns to the team.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 12th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in an 8-6 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings while striking out nine.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 5th
Rich Hill (elbow) threw from 75 feet and aims to progress to a bullpen session in the next few weeks.
Chris Chen
Thu, Aug 8th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber turned in a quality start in a 4-0 loss to the Rays on Friday. Bieber allowed three runs over 6 1/3 innings while striking out nine.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Aug 31st
Rich Hill has been diagnosed with a flexor strain. Early reports indicate that he'll have to wait three-to-four weeks before he's able to pick up a baseball. Hill is hopeful that he'll be able to return this season.
Blaine Blontz
Thu, Jun 20th
Notes 
 Bieber is the rare pitcher who may throw too many strikes. His pinpoint control is helpful for his WHIP, and he's shown the ability to strike out close to a batter per inning, but he gave up so many hits as a rookie that his ERA ballooned to 4.55. That is due for quite a bit of positive regression, but Bieber's ERA may always trail behind his WHIP. For now, expect his ERA to settle in the mid-to-high 3s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
It's a bit surprising how much the ECR favors Hill over Kenta Maeda, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Ross Stripling. All are superb options when healthy, but none should be trusted to work any more than 135 innings. So why such a heavy preference for Hill? The unlikely reclamation project turns 39 before starting the season, and he wasn't as elite (3.66 ERA, 3.97 FIP, 3.57 SIERA) in 2018's 132.2 innings. Drafters must exude patience, as he has struggled out of the gate in each of the last two seasons. In what should come as a surprise to nobody, he's already dealing with a short-term MCL injury that will delay his scheduled Opening Day start. He's a strong SP2 or 3 in the starts he makes, but it wouldn't be shocking to see him run out of steam. Just don't drop him much for this injury; such issues were already expected and factored into his draft cost.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Baseball fans could soon think of that pop singer as the other Bieber. After generating a 13.68 K/BB ratio (!) throughout his minor league career, the Cleveland righty recorded 118 strikeouts to 23 walks in 114.2 big league frames. He also, however, got pegged to a 4.55 ERA. Lefties crushed him (.311/.362/.547), and a subpar four-seam fastball didn't fool anyone. Yet he also boasted a 3.23 FIP with a superb slider that submitted a 26.2% swinging-strike rate. Corey Kluber and Corey Carrasco have emerged as aces despite mediocre heaters, so perhaps Cleveland can apply the same winning formula to Bieber. He's still reasonably priced as a mid-range breakout pick, but it wouldn't be surprising to see his ADP skyrocket this spring.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Hill has developed into a high-end fantasy starter in his mid-30s, posting no worse than a 3.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 10.18 K/9 over each of the last three seasons. Of course, he's never thrown more than 136 innings in any of those seasons, and we can't expect him to do it this year, either. But he's proven he can be a very valuable fantasy commodity in limited innings, particularly in leagues with a low innings cap.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros