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Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or Trevor Bauer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
50 of 51 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 5
Best Rank# 1# 2
Worst Rank# 4# 20
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 9# 14
Best Rank# 8# 13
Worst Rank# 10# 14
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts243232
Wins1515
Saves00
ERA3.183.45
WHIP1.051.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60RST
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 5
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 3# 6
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 3# 7
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 1# 9
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 6
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 3# 4
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 6
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 4
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 3# 5
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 3# 4
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 4
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 2# 7
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 7
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 4
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 3# 4
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 6
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 4
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 3# 6
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 3# 4
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 2# 7
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 4
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 3# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 2# 4
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 4
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 2# 13
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 2# 8
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 9
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 3# 4
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 10
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 3# 4
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 6
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 3# 4
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 2# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 4# 10
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 2# 4
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 2# 6
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 2# 7
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 3# 5
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 3# 6
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 1# 2
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 3# 5
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 3# 7
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 3# 4
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 3# 20
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 3
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started1211
   
Innings Pitched77.273.1
   
Wins85
   
Losses14
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4641
   
Earned Runs1414
   
Home Runs Allowed79
   
Strikeouts122100
   
Walks2117
   
ERA1.631.73
   
WHIP0.870.79
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3131
   
Games Started3131
   
Innings Pitched194.1193.5
   
Wins1515
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed162156
   
Earned Runs6974
   
Home Runs Allowed2426
   
Strikeouts243232
   
Walks4259
   
ERA3.183.45
   
WHIP1.051.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
News 
 Indians RHP Shane Bieber (shoulder) will begin a minor league rehab assignment with Triple-A Columbus on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 12th
Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer’s leave has been extended to September 3.
Brad Camara
Fri, Aug 27th
 Indians pitcher Shane Bieber threw a “36-pitch up-and-down bullpen session yesterday,” according to Ryan Lewis of the Akron Beacon Journal.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer’s leave will be extended to August 13.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 5th
 Shane Bieber tossed a bullpen session on Tuesday as he continues to work his way back from a right shoulder strain.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Aug 18th
Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave has been extended through Aug. 6, according to multiple reports. Bauer's hearing last week on an ex-parte temporary restraining order was postponed to Aug 2, 3, and 19. The investigation into him and the alleged sexual assault, both by Pasadena PD and by MLB, remains active, according to The Athletic's Britt Ghiroli.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Jul 27th
 Shane Bieber (shoulder) is aiming to throw his first bullpen session this weekend.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Aug 12th
Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave has been extended by nearly two weeks to July 27, according to a report from ESPN's Jeff Passan.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Jul 14th
 Cleveland's ace pitcher Shane Bieber threw from 90 feet and moved closer to throwing off a mound. Bieber expressed some frustration with his slow recovery process.
Corbin Young
Fri, Aug 6th
Major League Baseball extended Dodgers RHP Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave by an additional seven days.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 8th
Notes 
 Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros