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Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or Yu Darvish (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
50 of 51 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 4
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 4# 11
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 9# 17
Best Rank# 8# 16
Worst Rank# 10# 19
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts243217
Wins1513
Saves00
ERA3.183.37
WHIP1.051.10
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 4
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 6
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 3# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 3# 6
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 1# 4
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 5
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 3# 5
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 4
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 5
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 5
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 3# 4
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 9
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 3# 4
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 3# 5
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 2# 5
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 4
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 5
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 3# 7
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 4
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 5
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 3# 4
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 3# 5
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 2# 4
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 6
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 3# 9
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 2# 5
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 2# 5
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 2# 6
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 10
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 3# 6
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 4
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 3# 5
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 4
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 3# 6
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 2# 5
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 2# 8
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 2# 11
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 2# 8
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 3# 4
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 3# 5
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 1# 4
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 3# 6
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 3# 4
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 3# 5
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 3# 6
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 3# 4
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 3# 4
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 4# 3
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched77.276.1
   
Wins88
   
Losses13
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4659
   
Earned Runs1417
   
Home Runs Allowed75
   
Strikeouts12293
   
Walks2114
   
ERA1.632.01
   
WHIP0.870.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3130
   
Games Started3130
   
Innings Pitched194.1178.6
   
Wins1513
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed162147
   
Earned Runs6967
   
Home Runs Allowed2423
   
Strikeouts243217
   
Walks4250
   
ERA3.183.37
   
WHIP1.051.10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
News 
 Indians RHP Shane Bieber (shoulder) will begin a minor league rehab assignment with Triple-A Columbus on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 12th
Yu Darvish pitched four innings on Monday, allowing eight earned runs on six hits and three walks while striking out just three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
 Indians pitcher Shane Bieber threw a “36-pitch up-and-down bullpen session yesterday,” according to Ryan Lewis of the Akron Beacon Journal.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
Yu Darvish pitched six innings on one run ball on Wednesday, allowing just three hits and one walk while striking out seven batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 9th
 Shane Bieber tossed a bullpen session on Tuesday as he continues to work his way back from a right shoulder strain.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Aug 18th
Yu Darvish went just 2.2 innings on Wednesday, allowing six runs (five earned) on eight hits and one walk while only striking out three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 2nd
 Shane Bieber (shoulder) is aiming to throw his first bullpen session this weekend.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Aug 12th
Yu Darvish managed to go six innings on Thursday, but allowed four earned runs in the process. He surrendered five hits and one walk while striking out six batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Aug 27th
 Cleveland's ace pitcher Shane Bieber threw from 90 feet and moved closer to throwing off a mound. Bieber expressed some frustration with his slow recovery process.
Corbin Young
Fri, Aug 6th
Padres' SP Yu Darvish is expected to be activated to start the series finale against the division rival Dodgers on Thursday.
Jack Mannis
Wed, Aug 25th
Notes 
 Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros