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Who Should I Draft?

Sonny Gray or Carlos Carrasco (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
46 of 50 experts
8%
Recommended by
4 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 28# 61
Best Rank# 16# 16
Worst Rank# 120# 183
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 90# 116
Best Rank# 80# 96
Worst Rank# 111# 179
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts179147
Wins119
Saves00
ERA3.793.48
WHIP1.221.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 79
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 77
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 52
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 41# 67
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 19# 137
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 183
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 70
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 16# 29
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 48
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 22# 56
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 55
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 25# 32
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 93
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 68
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 25# 63
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 44# 96
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 26
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 39# 107
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 84
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 59
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 31# 70
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 31# 81
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 28# 47
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 33# 76
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 65
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 166
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 35# 57
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 34# 99
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 65
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 48
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 50# 62
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 48
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 35# 56
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 23# 28
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 49# 59
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 21# 42
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 49# 56
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 26# 41
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 27# 74
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 28# 62
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 18# 25
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 22# 119
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 32# 80
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 20# 16
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 22# 19
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 43# 35
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 120# 70
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched56.268.2
   
Wins53
   
Losses34
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4255
   
Earned Runs2322
   
Home Runs Allowed48
   
Strikeouts7282
   
Walks2627
   
ERA3.702.91
   
WHIP1.211.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2922
   
Games Started2921
   
Innings Pitched157.6125.4
   
Wins119
   
Losses86
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132107
   
Earned Runs6649
   
Home Runs Allowed1917
   
Strikeouts179147
   
Walks5934
   
ERA3.793.48
   
WHIP1.221.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
News 
 Sonny Gray was in dominant form Wednesday against the White Sox, throwing seven scoreless innings while allowing two hits and two walks. He struck out eight in the no-decision.
Connor Rooney
Wed, May 5th
Carlos Carrasco has yet to play in 2021 due to the injury but has been seen hitting up to 96 mph on his fastball with a slider described as "unhittable" by a minor leaguer.
Ethan Biddle
Tue, May 4th
 Sonny Gray (0-2) took the loss Wednesday against the Dodgers, allowing two runs on four hits and three walks in 5.2 innings. He struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 28th
Mets RHP Carlos Carrasco (hamstring) threw five innings at the team's alternate training site.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 30th
 Sonny Gray (0-1) took the loss Friday against the Cardinals, allowing five runs on six hits and three walks across 3.2 innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Apr 24th
Mets manager Luis Rojas says RHP Carlos Carrasco (hamstring) could return by the second week of May.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 24th
 Sonny Gray allowed two runs on six hits and two walks in 4.1 innings Saturday against Cleveland, while striking out six. He did not factor in the decision.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Apr 17th
Mets pitcher Carlos Carrasco will fly soon to the Mets' alternate site in Brooklyn to begin doing fielding work.
Ari Koslow
Mon, Apr 12th
 The Reds activated RHP Sonny Gray (back) from the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 17th
Mets manager Luis Rojas said Carlos Carrasco threw two innings Sunday during a simulated game at the team’s spring training facility.
Brad Camara
Sun, Apr 4th
Notes 
 Two dreadful starts late in the season severely hurt what was otherwise a strong 2020 campaign for Gray, though it was a bizarre year. His strikeout rate surpassed 30% for the first time in his career, while his walk rate jumped to 11.1%. He was also far more hittable, particularly his slider and curveball, which had been dominant pitches in 2019. But even if Gray simply repeats his 2020 season, his strikeout rate and decent ERA and WHIP should be enough to make him a borderline SP2 for fantasy leagues. He will likely begin the year on the IL after experiencing back spasms in mid-March, but the injury doesn't sound like it will keep him out for long. Considering we've seen much more than that from him in 2019, fantasy managers should have little hesitation drafting him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Carrasco suffered a serious hamstring strain in mid-March which is likely to keep him out 6-8 weeks. It's a devastating blow to the veteran who returned strong from his battle with leukemia in 2019 to post a 2.91 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 2020. There was plenty to like about Carrasco in New York, including that the Mets will provide him with a better chance at wins, their infield defense should be above average, and Carrasco will play in a more favorable park. But at this point, he's nothing more than a bench starter for your fantasy team given his injury.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  We can completely write off Carrasco's 2019 season as the right-hander was going through a battle with leukemia. The 33-year-old heroically bounced back last summer, posting a 2.91 ERA to go along with a 1.21 WHIP and 82 strikeouts in 64 innings. A 9.6% walk rate is mildly concerning, but Carrasco misses enough bats that he should still be viewed as a reliable SP2/3. The perception around him seems to be that he isn't durable, but Carrasco started 30 games three times from 2015-18.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros