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Who Should I Draft?

Sonny Gray or Lance Lynn (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
81%
Recommended by
35 of 43 experts
19%
Recommended by
8 of 43 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 28# 36
Best Rank# 16# 23
Worst Rank# 81# 74
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 96# 115
Best Rank# 88# 107
Worst Rank# 110# 136
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts6674
Wins45
Saves00
ERA3.984.03
WHIP1.281.30
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 53
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 37
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 53
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 39
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 33# 36
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 38
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 27# 32
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 32
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 27# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 22# 35
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 39# 74
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 26# 53
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 30# 38
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 27# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 26# 45
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 25# 36
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 36
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 42# 53
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 30
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 45
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 26# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 34# 53
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 28# 49
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 23
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 30# 48
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 29# 63
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 39# 45
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 16# 29
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 43# 46
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 29# 42
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 32# 28
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 33# 24
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 37# 36
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 42# 38
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 43# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 45# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 33
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 81# 29
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3133
   
Games Started3133
   
Innings Pitched175.1208.1
   
Wins1116
   
Losses811
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed122195
   
Earned Runs5685
   
Home Runs Allowed1721
   
Strikeouts205246
   
Walks6859
   
ERA2.873.67
   
WHIP1.081.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched62.368.6
   
Wins45
   
Losses34
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5565
   
Earned Runs2831
   
Home Runs Allowed89
   
Strikeouts6674
   
Walks2424
   
ERA3.984.03
   
WHIP1.281.30
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
News 
 Sonny Gray (elbow) is scheduled to make his first start of the Spring Wednesday against the Mariners.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Feb 24th
Lance Lynn struck out eight over six scoreless innings in a simulated game on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 7th
 Sonny Gray (elbow) has reported no issues during his early bullpen sessions this spring.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Feb 16th
The Rangers announced that Lance Lynn will be the team's Opening Day starter.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 25th
Notes 
 Sonny Gray was a favorite of many heading into 2019, as the thought was that he'd have positive regression from leaving New York. Boy, did he ever. The results look pretty legitimate, but don't forget that we've done this same song and dance with Gray twice, where he's disappointed managers in a big way after his big 2015 and 2017 seasons. If you can get Gray as your SP3, you're in good shape, but if you're counting on him to lead your staff, start planning for 2021.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
If you're playing the volume game and quantity over quality, Lynn is your guys. What he did in 2019 seems legit, based on the numbers, but it's hard to shake what he's done over his career in comparison.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Gray talked about how he didn't like how the Yankees had forced him to use his slider and that he expected better results in 2019. Boy, did he get them with the Reds. His slider and curveball went from very good to great in 2019, and along with it improved all of his numbers. Armed now with a top-notch strikeout rate and peripherals that finally match his raw stuff, Gray should be drafted with confidence in 2020 as a reliable fantasy starter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lynn was truly phenomenal last season, turning his velocity gains into both an increase in strikeout rate and a massive drop in walk rate. Everything Lynn did in 2019 was backed up by his underlying metrics, so there's plenty of reason for optimism in 2020. But it's fair to consider how out of character Lynn's year was, an add just a wee bit of caution to your projections.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 My 2019 Charlie Morton (Favorite pitcher at ADP) goes to Sonny Gray. Gray had a huge breakout season in 2019 for Cincinnati and we have seen him be successful in the past. Even if he does regress, I do not expect it to be major regression, making him a great pick at his current ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
If he can replicate his 2019 season he will be a tremendous value at ADP. A 200+ K pitcher with a strong ERA and Whip in the 9th-10th round is very alluring. Had an FIP even better than his ERA in 2019, so there is reason for optimism.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy