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Who Should I Draft?

Starling Marte or Xander Bogaerts (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Starling Marte
CF - MIA
Starling Marte
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
34 of 52 experts
35%
Recommended by
18 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 19# 21
Best Rank# 13# 15
Worst Rank# 50# 50
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 30# 34
Best Rank# 27# 31
Worst Rank# 38# 35
   
Projections 
   
Runs3334
Home Runs810
RBI2836
Stolen Bases102
Batting Average.285.294
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 25
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 25# 50
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 31
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 34
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 21# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 21
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 29# 50
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 27
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 23
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 18
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 19# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 18# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 23
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 23
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 19# 22
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 19# 20
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 18# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 22
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 17
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 24
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 28
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 18# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 17# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 25
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 21
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 24
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 16# 22
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 17# 27
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 19# 21
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 14# 32
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 19# 20
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 19# 15
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 18
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 21# 20
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 19
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 21# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 20
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 22
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 23# 22
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 26# 23
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 26# 23
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 26# 22
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 27# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 23
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 28# 16
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 37# 36
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 38# 21
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 50# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Starling Marte
CF - MIA
Starling Marte
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats539614
   
Runs97110
   
Hits159191
   
Singles99106
   
Doubles3152
   
Triples60
   
Home Runs2333
   
RBI82117
   
Stolen Bases254
   
Caught Stealing62
   
Walks2576
   
Strikeouts94122
   
Batting Average.295.311
   
On Base Pct.343.385
   
Slugging Pct.503.557
   
On-base Plus Slugging.845.942
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Starling Marte
CF - MIA
Starling Marte
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats203211
   
Runs3334
   
Hits5862
   
Singles3636
   
Doubles1115
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs810
   
RBI2836
   
Stolen Bases102
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks1124
   
Strikeouts4043
   
Batting Average.285.294
   
On Base Pct.322.365
   
Slugging Pct.478.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.801.873
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Starling Marte
CF - MIA
Starling Marte
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Starling Marte's $12.5 million option for 2021 has been picked up by the Marlins, per beat writer Barry Jackson.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Oct 19th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 at the plate with a solo home run in Sunday's 9-1 win over the Braves.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 28th
 OF Starling Marte (hand) will not be on the Marlins’ roster for the NLDS against the Braves.
Brad Camara
Tue, Oct 6th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 with an RBI single, a stolen base, a run scored, and a walk in Saturday's 8-2 win over Atlanta.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 27th
 Marlins manager Don Mattingly says the team has not yet made a decision on whether or not Starling Marte (hand) will be on the NLDS roster.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Oct 5th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-4 with a walk and scored two runs on Tuesday as the Red Sox beat the Orioles by an 8-3 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 23rd
 Marlins' manager Don Mattingly said the Marlins have "no determination" on the status of OF Starling Marte (hand) for this week's NLDS matchup with the Braves.
Brad Camara
Sun, Oct 4th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 at the plate and scored a run as the Red Sox beat the Marlins on Thursday by a 5-3 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 18th
 Starling Marte (hand) is absent from Thursday's Game 2 lineup against the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 1st
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-5 at the plate with a run scored on Wednesday as the Red Sox lost to the Marlins by an 8-4 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 17th
Notes 
 Rinse. Wash. Repeat. Every draft season, we as a collective fantasy community get excited about drafting Starling Marte on our teams. When the season is over, we end up feeling pretty meh about it. Rinse. Wash. Repeat. He's in a new ballpark with a better team, sure, but let's not forget that he's 31 years old, and with speed as his main value driver, we can expect that to start to decline rapidly, potentially this season. What's more, Marte has only had two seasons with more than 600 plate appearances in his career despite being a regular presence toward the top of the Pittsburgh lineup.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Regression is coming in both HRs and Batting Average. Still a legit offensive SS.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Marte set career-highs in home runs, runs scored, RBI, and slugging percentage in 2019, and now gets an upgrade in supporting cast and home park with the move to the Diamondbacks. The Pirates ranked 20th in 2019 in runs scored, while the Diamondbacks ranked 11th, and PNC Park was one of the worst parks for righty batters last season. Marte may not be able to grow his 2019 numbers at this point given his age, but his change in teams certainly doesn't hurt.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
If you look at the early shortstops taken - Trevor Story, Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner, Alex Bregman - Bogaerts was able to add his name as far as fantasy value to that core four last year, but he's cheaper this year. Why? Well, despite having the breakout season in 2019, there wasn't a lot below the surface that was really different. Bogaerts is a good player, but is he that much better than the other options at the position that can be had rounds later? If he repeats the breakout, sure. If not, you're breaking even with the pick at best.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 I am a huge 5-tool chasing type of guy and with a move to Arizona, I want shares of Marte to see if he can be a 30/30/.285 "Dude" in 2020. 20/20 feels like a lock, 25/25 is a reasonable hope while 30/30 is a reach worth dreaming on.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Bogaerts had an outstanding 2019 season, obliterating his career-high in home runs and RBI and getting his batting average back over .300. But the thing is, his underlying metrics don't look all that different from his solid but unspectacular 2018 season. His strikeout rate, hard hit percentage, average exit velocity, and launch angle all remained nearly identical, while his steals (only four) continued to trend down to a now useless level from a fantasy perspective. Bogaerts is still a fine option but at a strong position and now batting in a weaker lineup, be careful not to waste too high a pick on him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Set a career high in homers last season in what was likely the best overall season of his career. The HRs may get knocked down under 20 again if the ball changes, but should be a solid contributor everywhere. Not a big fan of reaching for him at all, because his ceiling is not like others in the early rounds. Safe pick.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Power finally broke out in 2019. Remains in a loaded lineup
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 More valuable in roto leagues due to stolen bases
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros