Who Should I Draft?

Stephen Strasburg or Clayton Kershaw (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
44 of 59 experts
25%
Recommended by
15 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 23
Best Rank# 11# 8
Worst Rank# 31# 51
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 59# 54
Best Rank# 51# 49
Worst Rank# 62# 72
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts187157
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.402.94
WHIP1.161.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 28
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 14# 22
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 15# 27
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 13# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 15# 33
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 17# 21
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 12# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 49
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 28# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 22
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 24
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 18# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 20# 28
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 25
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 15# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 28
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 21# 25
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 31# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 49
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 26
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 14# 16
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 17# 24
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 19# 21
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 22
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 30
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 12# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 12
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 14
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 18# 14
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 18# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 19# 12
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 20# 8
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 20# 18
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 23# 8
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 25# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 26
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2226
   
Games Started2226
   
Innings Pitched130.1161.2
   
Wins109
   
Losses75
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed118139
   
Earned Runs5449
   
Home Runs Allowed1817
   
Strikeouts156155
   
Walks3829
   
ERA3.742.73
   
WHIP1.201.04
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2825
   
Games Started2825
   
Innings Pitched163.6154.9
   
Wins1212
   
Losses86
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed142133
   
Earned Runs6251
   
Home Runs Allowed1917
   
Strikeouts187157
   
Walks4731
   
ERA3.402.94
   
WHIP1.161.05
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
News 
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg tossed seven shutout innings in a no-decision against the Marlins on Saturday, allowing three hits and three walks while striking out six.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 22nd
Clayton Kershaw improved to 15-5 on Friday versus Colorado, allowing four runs on eight hits over six innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 21st
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on three hits and four walks while striking out six in a no-decision against the Cardinals on Monday.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 17th
Clayton Kershaw improved to 14-5 on Friday against the Mets, tossing 6 1/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 14th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks while striking out seven over six innings in Wednesday's win over the Twins. The win brings him to 17-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
Clayton Kershaw took the loss on Friday against the Giants, allowing three runs on seven hits over four innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 7th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed three earned runs on four hits and four walks while striking out seven over six innings in Thursday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 16-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 6th
Clayton Kershaw struggled on Saturday versus the Diamondbacks, giving up five runs on five hits over five innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg tossed eight shutout innings in Saturday's win over the Marlins, striking out 14 while allowing two hits and no walks. The win brings him to 16-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 1st
Clayton Kershaw fell to 13-3 on Sunday Night Baseball against the Yankees, giving up three runs on four hits over seven innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 26th
Notes 
 There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros