Who Should I Draft?

Stephen Strasburg or Clayton Kershaw (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
41 of 56 experts
27%
Recommended by
15 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 23
Best Rank# 11# 8
Worst Rank# 31# 51
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 59# 54
Best Rank# 51# 49
Worst Rank# 62# 72
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts187157
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.402.94
WHIP1.161.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 28
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 14# 22
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 15# 27
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 13# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 15# 33
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 17# 21
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 12# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 49
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 28# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 22
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 24
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 18# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 20# 28
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 25
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 15# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 28
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 21# 25
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 31# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 49
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 26
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 14# 16
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 17# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 22
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 12# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 12
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 14
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 16# 15
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 18# 14
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 18# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 19# 12
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 20# 8
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 20# 18
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 23# 8
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 25# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 26
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2226
   
Games Started2226
   
Innings Pitched130.1161.2
   
Wins109
   
Losses75
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed118139
   
Earned Runs5449
   
Home Runs Allowed1817
   
Strikeouts156155
   
Walks3829
   
ERA3.742.73
   
WHIP1.201.04
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2825
   
Games Started2825
   
Innings Pitched163.6154.9
   
Wins1212
   
Losses86
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed142133
   
Earned Runs6251
   
Home Runs Allowed1917
   
Strikeouts187157
   
Walks4731
   
ERA3.402.94
   
WHIP1.161.05
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
News 
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed six earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five over five innings in a loss to the Diamondbacks on Saturday. The loss drops him to 7-4 on the year.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Thursday versus the Cubs, striking out eight while allowing three runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out six over seven innings in a win over the San Diego Padres Sunday. The win brings him to 7-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
Clayton Kershaw fell to 5-1 on Friday in San Francisco, spinning seven innings of two-run ball while striking out four.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed five earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over five innings in a win over the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday. The win was the 100th of his career and brings him to 6-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 5th
Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Saturday versus Philadelphia, firing seven innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out 11 over seven innings in Tuesday’s win over the Atlanta Braves. The win brings him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
Clayton Kershaw improved to 5-0 on Monday versus the Mets, throwing six innings of three-run ball and giving up 10 hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 28th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out five across seven innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets on Thursday.
Mike Maher
Thu, May 23rd
Clayton Kershaw improved to 4-0 on Tuesday versus Tampa Bay, allowing two runs on six hits over 6 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 22nd
Notes 
 There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros