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Who Should I Draft?

Stephen Strasburg or Edwin Diaz (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
33 of 51 experts
35%
Recommended by
18 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 22# 26
Best Rank# 8# 18
Worst Rank# 122# 58
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 59# 81
Best Rank# 54# 71
Worst Rank# 74# 90
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts169102
Wins114
Saves030
ERA3.723.04
WHIP1.181.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 19# 26
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 17# 30
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 29# 34
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 25
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 28
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 25# 30
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 20# 31
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 21# 27
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 51# 58
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 33
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 30
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 27
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 24# 30
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 20# 36
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 20# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 21# 24
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 15# 37
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 20# 30
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 20# 28
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 21# 28
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 17# 24
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 21# 26
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 26# 31
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 18# 38
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 21# 23
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 20# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 21
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 25# 24
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 27# 23
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 29# 24
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 29# 27
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 30# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 30# 21
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 28
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 33# 24
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 31
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 33# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 36# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 25
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 45# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 45# 29
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 122# 22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played226
   
Games Started20
   
Innings Pitched5.226.2
   
Wins02
   
Losses11
   
Saves06
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed818
   
Earned Runs65
   
Home Runs Allowed12
   
Strikeouts250
   
Walks114
   
ERA10.801.75
   
WHIP1.801.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2764
   
Games Started270
   
Innings Pitched152.862.9
   
Wins114
   
Losses73
   
Saves030
   
Blown Saves011
   
Holds03
   
Hits Allowed13747
   
Earned Runs6321
   
Home Runs Allowed208
   
Strikeouts169102
   
Walks4423
   
ERA3.723.04
   
WHIP1.181.12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
News 
 Washington Nationals pitcher Stephen Strasburg (neck) will undergo neurogenic thoracic outlet surgery. He will miss the rest of the 2021 season.
Brad Camara
Tue, Jul 27th
Edwin Diaz pitched a perfect ninth inning and nailed down his 30th save of the season. The Mets won 3-2 Sunday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
 Washington Nationals pitcher Stephen Strasburg (neck) had an “uncomfortable” feeling in his neck following Wednesday’s bullpen session.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 23rd
Edwin Diaz allowed two runs on two hits, one walk, and two strikeouts in one inning. He blew the win for starter Rich Hill on Friday, but the Mets scored four runs in the top of the tenth to take the lead and redeem Diaz.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
 Nationals RHP Stephen Strasburg (neck) threw from the bullpen mound on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 19th
Edwin Diaz was perfect in the ninth inning with two strikeouts Thursday. The Mets won 4-3 and are one game under .500 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Sep 3rd
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg has suffered a setback after throwing a sim game recently. He felt some discomfort in his neck shortly after the outing.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Jul 17th
Edwin Diaz struck out two in a perfect inning for his 27th save. The Mets won 3-1 and swept an unconventional doubleheader on Tuesday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 1st
 Nationals' starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg threw a 60-pitch bullpen session on Monday. Strasburg hasn't pitched since June 1.
Corbin Young
Tue, Jul 6th
Edwin Diaz pitched a perfect ninth inning to record the save in Saturday's affair against the Nationals. The Mets improved to 62-67 with the win.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Aug 31st
Notes 
 Strasburg was limited to just five innings in 2020, with an injury that eventually required carpal tunnel syndrome. Although that's a minor surgery, the truth is that fantasy managers have very little data as to the impact and/or successful recovery rate after that surgery for pitchers. Strasburg's a tricky draft pick in any given year - he always provides strong value when he's on the mound, but has only topped 200 innings pitched twice in his career. Now entering his age-33 season, Strasburg will likely again provide excellent overall numbers assuming he is healthy. He looks great in the spring, though he's currently battling a minor calf injury, though it shouldn't keep him out for long. Draft him as an SP2, but anything more than 160 innings is gravy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros