Who Should I Draft?

Stephen Strasburg or Jack Flaherty (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
35 of 56 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 17
Best Rank# 11# 11
Worst Rank# 31# 54
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 59# 60
Best Rank# 51# 55
Worst Rank# 62# 68
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts187189
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.403.49
WHIP1.161.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 16
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 14# 23
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 15# 18
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 21
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 13# 33
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 15# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 19# 38
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 25# 39
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 17# 23
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 12# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 24
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 19
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 17
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 20
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 33
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 19
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 19
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 54
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 16# 19
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 15# 26
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 20# 35
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 15
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 21
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 32
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 14# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 18# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 14
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 12# 25
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 21
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 23# 24
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 14
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 13
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 17# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 16
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 18# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 13
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 18# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 17
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 15
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 20# 11
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 20# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 21# 15
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 14
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 18
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 28# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 31# 17
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2228
   
Games Started2228
   
Innings Pitched130.1151.1
   
Wins108
   
Losses79
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed118108
   
Earned Runs5456
   
Home Runs Allowed1820
   
Strikeouts156182
   
Walks3859
   
ERA3.743.34
   
WHIP1.201.11
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2830
   
Games Started2830
   
Innings Pitched163.6168.6
   
Wins1212
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed142140
   
Earned Runs6265
   
Home Runs Allowed1921
   
Strikeouts187189
   
Walks4761
   
ERA3.403.49
   
WHIP1.161.19
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
News 
 Stephen Strasburg (8-4) allowed three runs on five hits with five strikeouts and three walks over six innings to earn the win against the Braves on Friday.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 22nd
Jack Flaherty allowed seven runs on nine hits over 4 2/3rd innings in the Cardinals' 7-3 loss to the Athletics on Tuesday. He walked one and struck out five while falling to 4-5.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 26th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed six earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five over five innings in a loss to the Diamondbacks on Saturday. The loss drops him to 7-4 on the year.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
Jack Flaherty allowed three runs on four hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 6-0 loss to the Marlins on Tuesday. He walked one and struck out eight while falling to 4-4.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 19th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out six over seven innings in a win over the San Diego Padres Sunday. The win brings him to 7-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
Jack Flaherty allowed four runs on six hits over 5 1/3rd innings Thursday. He walked two and struck out eight. The Cardinals-Mets game was suspended in the bottom of the ninth with a 4-4 score.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Jun 14th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed five earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over five innings in a win over the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday. The win was the 100th of his career and brings him to 6-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 5th
Jack Flaherty allowed four runs on five hits over 3 2/3 innings in the Cardinals' 9-4 loss to the Cubs on Saturday. He walked three and struck out none in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 9th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out 11 over seven innings in Tuesday’s win over the Atlanta Braves. The win brings him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
Jack Flaherty allowed two runs on four hits over five innings in the Cardinals' 7-4 win over the Cubs on Saturday. He walked none and struck out eight in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Notes 
 There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Flaherty was absurdly good last season as a rookie and seemed to improve as the year went on, striking out 95 in 76 second half innings. With that said, his walk rate climbed to a dangerous 3.52 per nine innings by seasons end. He has the upside to strike out 240 batters, but there is some risk here as well
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Flaherty's first full Major League season was an excellent one, as his 3.34 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 10.85 K/9 rate demonstrate. But his 3.52 walks per nine were high, and he averaged fewer than six innings per start, limiting his win potential. He also benefited from a .257 BABIP allowed that was low, even for a pitcher with great stuff like Flaherty. If more of those batted balls fall in for base hits, Flaherty may pay a greater price for the free passes this year. His long-term outlook is bright, but there could be some bumps along the way.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Flaherty's 3.34 ERA and 182 strikeouts in 151 rookie innings will justifiably make him a popular pick. Buoyed by a lethal slider and a curveball that didn't yield a single extra-base hit, there's easy 200-strikeout upside if he pitches a full season. Yet a 3.52 BB/9 and 57.2% first-pitch rate make the 23-year-old riskier than the typical SP2. He's best paired with a steady, reliable ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros