Who Should I Draft?

Stephen Strasburg or Mike Clevinger (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
47 of 59 experts
20%
Recommended by
12 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 21
Best Rank# 11# 11
Worst Rank# 31# 62
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 59# 58
Best Rank# 51# 50
Worst Rank# 62# 78
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts187191
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.403.69
WHIP1.161.25
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 20# 21
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 21
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 25
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 24
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 17
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 17
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 13# 26
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 22
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 15# 20
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 19# 33
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 25# 42
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 17# 20
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 12# 19
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 30
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 45
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 28# 36
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 31
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 30
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 31
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 23
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 18# 24
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 24
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 62
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 20# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 22
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 18# 44
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 23
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 31# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 27
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 22
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 14# 15
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 17# 23
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 23
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 18# 21
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 19# 20
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 21
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 21
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 17
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 12# 20
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 13
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 14# 13
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 15# 13
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 15# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 14
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 20# 16
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 21# 16
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 23# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 25
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 21
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 25
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2232
   
Games Started2232
   
Innings Pitched130.1200.2
   
Wins1013
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed118164
   
Earned Runs5467
   
Home Runs Allowed1821
   
Strikeouts156207
   
Walks3867
   
ERA3.743.02
   
WHIP1.201.16
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2830
   
Games Started2830
   
Innings Pitched163.6180.1
   
Wins1213
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed142157
   
Earned Runs6274
   
Home Runs Allowed1922
   
Strikeouts187191
   
Walks4768
   
ERA3.403.69
   
WHIP1.161.25
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
News 
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg tossed seven shutout innings in a no-decision against the Marlins on Saturday, allowing three hits and three walks while striking out six.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 22nd
Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger pitched well in a 7-0 win over the Tigers on Thursday. Clevinger pitched six scoreless innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Sep 20th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on three hits and four walks while striking out six in a no-decision against the Cardinals on Monday.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 17th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger pitched well in a 2-0 loss to the Twins in the first game of a Saturday doubleheader. Clevinger allowed two runs over eight innings while striking out 10.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 14th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks while striking out seven over six innings in Wednesday's win over the Twins. The win brings him to 17-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger allowed two runs over 6 1/3 innings in a 5-2 win over the Twins on Sunday. He struck out seven in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Sep 9th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed three earned runs on four hits and four walks while striking out seven over six innings in Thursday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 16-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 6th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger pitched well in a 6-5 loss to the White Sox on Tuesday. Clevinger allowed two runs over seven innings while striking out nine and walking four.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 4th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg tossed eight shutout innings in Saturday's win over the Marlins, striking out 14 while allowing two hits and no walks. The win brings him to 16-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 1st
Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger tossed a gem in a 2-0 win over the Tigers on Thursday. Clevinger pitched eight shutout innings while striking out 10.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 29th
Notes 
 There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After dominating in a smaller 2017 sample size, Clevinger took it up another notch in 2018, this time with 200 innings of proof. He might not win 16 games or strikeout 240 batters like some of the top tier aces, but his ratios and 200 Ks put him firmly in the 6th-8th rounds of this season's drafts
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Clevinger took the gains he made in 2017 and translated them to a full season as a starter i 2018. The one difference was that he trimmed his walk rate from nearly 4.5 per nine to barely 3.0 per nine, thereby dropping his WHIP all the way down to 1.16. Clevinger was particularly dominant in the second half, posting a 2.31 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 10.27 K/9 rate after the All Star break. The projection systems expect a little bit of regression due to his low BABIP allowed and left-on-base percentage, but it's also possible Clevinger can further improve on his strikeout rate and WHIP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Clevinger rose to the next level in the second half, posting a 2.31 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 78 innings. While he outperformed his overall 3.52 FIP and 3.86 SIERA with a 3.02 ERA, 2018 marked the second straight year he defied the peripherals. A high infield-fly rate (11.2%) and low barrel rate (5.8%) led him to a .280 xwOBA, so don't expect severe regression from the borderline top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros