Who Should I Draft?

Stephen Strasburg or Zack Greinke (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
41 of 56 experts
27%
Recommended by
15 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 18
Best Rank# 11# 11
Worst Rank# 31# 41
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 59# 56
Best Rank# 51# 52
Worst Rank# 62# 65
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts187185
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.403.68
WHIP1.161.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 23
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 29
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 14# 20
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 15# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 18
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 23
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 22
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 13# 17
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 15# 29
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 25# 32
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 12# 16
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 22
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 22
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 28# 29
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 26
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 41
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 21
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 18# 25
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 27
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 16
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 27
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 16# 18
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 15# 28
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 20
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 20# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 17
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 21# 24
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 24
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 31# 36
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 16
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 20
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 14# 17
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 17# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 18# 19
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 20
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 12# 23
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 13
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 17# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 18# 16
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 19# 13
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 20# 17
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 20# 11
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 23# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 19
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 13
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2233
   
Games Started2233
   
Innings Pitched130.1208.1
   
Wins1015
   
Losses711
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed118181
   
Earned Runs5474
   
Home Runs Allowed1828
   
Strikeouts156199
   
Walks3843
   
ERA3.743.21
   
WHIP1.201.08
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2831
   
Games Started2831
   
Innings Pitched163.6194.9
   
Wins1213
   
Losses811
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed142182
   
Earned Runs6280
   
Home Runs Allowed1925
   
Strikeouts187185
   
Walks4748
   
ERA3.403.68
   
WHIP1.161.18
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
News 
 Stephen Strasburg (8-4) allowed three runs on five hits with five strikeouts and three walks over six innings to earn the win against the Braves on Friday.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 22nd
Zack Greinke threw a quality start on Monday versus the Dodgers, allowing three runs in six innings while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 25th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed six earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five over five innings in a loss to the Diamondbacks on Saturday. The loss drops him to 7-4 on the year.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
Zack Greinke was tagged for five runs on 11 hits in seven innings on Wednesday versus Colorado, striking out just two while walking none and taking the loss.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 20th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out six over seven innings in a win over the San Diego Padres Sunday. The win brings him to 7-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
Zack Greinke improved to 8-2 on Thursday in Washington, tossing 7 1/3 shutout innings while allowing just two hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed five earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over five innings in a win over the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday. The win was the 100th of his career and brings him to 6-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 5th
Zack Greinke improved to 7-2 on Saturday in Toronto, tossing six shutout innings while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out 11 over seven innings in Tuesday’s win over the Atlanta Braves. The win brings him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
Zack Greinke received a no-decision on Saturday versus the Mets, giving up four runs on seven hits in four innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Notes 
 There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Greinke's age is now 35 and he did have a rough season three years ago, but besides then, he has been phenomenal since 2009. Expect plenty more of the same in 2019 with excellent ratios, about 15 wins and around 200 strikeouts. This makes him a top 20 starting pitcher for 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Greinke is not an elite strikeout pitcher, but he is a workhorse with pinpoint control who has produced an ERA of 3.21 or better and WHIP of 1.15 or better in five of the last six seasons. There is real value in that consistency. He's an ideal second starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Greinke has posted superbly similar ERAs (3.20, 3.21) and WHIP (1.07, 1.08) in the last two years, but the heavily used 35-year-old comes with some warning signs. His average fastball velocity slipped to 89.6 mph, leading to a .361 wOBA against the pitch. He also benefited from his lowest BABIP (.272) and highest strand rate (80.2) since 2015's 1.66 ERA. A cerebral pitcher with elite control, Greinke should avoid bottoming out entirely. Yet the risk is there. He's someone to draft as a steady SP2 rather than a staff anchor.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros