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Who Should I Draft?

Taylor Rogers or Lance McCullers Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Taylor Rogers
RP - MIN
Taylor Rogers
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
22 of 24 experts
8%
Recommended by
2 of 24 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 42# 63
Best Rank# 27# 36
Worst Rank# 67# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 125# 170
Best Rank# 116# 133
Worst Rank# 136# 244
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts15473
Wins104
Saves013
ERA3.723.38
WHIP1.251.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 79
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 39# 76
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 45# 98
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 117
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 56# 60
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 41# 64
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 45# 48
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 45# 55
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 61
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 45# 73
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 43# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 45# 94
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 107
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 43# 71
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 47# 64
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 29# 55
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 35# 54
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 36# 50
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 67# 70
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 51# 109
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 50# 77
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 43# 73
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 44# 36
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 41
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Taylor Rogers
RP - MIN
Taylor Rogers
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1121
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched55.120.2
   
Wins32
   
Losses34
   
Saves09
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed4426
   
Earned Runs249
   
Home Runs Allowed52
   
Strikeouts5624
   
Walks204
   
ERA3.934.05
   
WHIP1.161.50
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Taylor Rogers
RP - MIN
Taylor Rogers
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2762
   
Games Started270
   
Innings Pitched148.563.2
   
Wins104
   
Losses74
   
Saves013
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds013
   
Hits Allowed13258
   
Earned Runs6124
   
Home Runs Allowed177
   
Strikeouts15473
   
Walks5316
   
ERA3.723.38
   
WHIP1.251.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Taylor Rogers
RP - MIN
Taylor Rogers
News 
 According to Brian McTaggart, Lance McCullers Jr. and the Astros agree to a $6.5 million deal and avoid arbitration. He's coming off a solid 2020 campaign.
Corbin Young
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
 McCullers made a successful return from Tommy John surgery after missing the 2019 season and looked almost exactly like the 2018 version of himself. His ERA (3.93) and WHIP (1.16) were within seven-tenths of a point of his 2018 numbers, and his walk and strikeout rates fell just slightly. McCullers relied a bit more on his sinker and less on his curveball than in past years, but the two work well together and he continued to throw them in combination about 80% of the time. In short, what you thought of McCullers heading into 2018 is pretty much what you should think of him now. Unfortunately, that includes concerns about his innings, because after a missed year and 55 innings last year, the chances of him topping 150 innings this season are remote. Buy him at his production, but understand that there's likely a hard cap on his innings total.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Rogers has been the reliever to roster in Minnesota for the past two seasons, but he's totaled just 39 saves over that span. Even with the shortened 2020 season, that's just not the total you want to see from a reliever if you're relying on him as an RP1, especially when the Twins as a team have totaled 92 saves over the last two years. Rogers's lack of saves is all about Rocco Baldelli's philosophy, rather than Rogers's lack of effectiveness (he's totaled a 2.80 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP, and a 10.8 K/9 over the last three years). Unfortunately, Baldelli is unlikely to abandon his committee approach with the additions of Alex Colome and Hansel Robles. Rogers is still a fine RP2, but certainly don't expect him to get every save chance in Minnesota.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 9.5 - 3.70 - 1.20
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
11 - 3.00 - 1.05
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports