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Who Should I Draft?

Tim Anderson or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Tim Anderson
SS - CWS
Tim Anderson
Expert
Recommendation
91%
Recommended by
41 of 45 experts
9%
Recommended by
4 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 63
Best Rank# 20# 31
Worst Rank# 79# 102
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 40# 103
Best Rank# 34# 90
Worst Rank# 44# 121
   
Projections 
   
Runs3331
Home Runs97
RBI3025
Stolen Bases36
Batting Average.301.282
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 79
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 83
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 54
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 65
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 63
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 71
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 66
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 62
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 58
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 29# 58
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 26# 63
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 69
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 36# 102
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 65# 72
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 30# 66
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 20# 66
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 27# 78
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 38# 73
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 61
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 28# 67
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 76
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 32# 69
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 32# 66
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 71
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 38# 55
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 45# 66
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 69
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 66
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 80
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 37# 48
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 36# 64
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 63
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 54# 59
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 33# 47
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 29# 38
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 33# 66
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 28# 67
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 23# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 31
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 75# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 46# 42
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 79# 44
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Tim Anderson
SS - CWS
Tim Anderson
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats569498
   
Runs9781
   
Hits187167
   
Singles110117
   
Doubles3632
   
Triples90
   
Home Runs3218
   
RBI9256
   
Stolen Bases1017
   
Caught Stealing25
   
Walks5315
   
Strikeouts86109
   
Batting Average.329.335
   
On Base Pct.389.357
   
Slugging Pct.592.508
   
On-base Plus Slugging.981.865
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Tim Anderson
SS - CWS
Tim Anderson
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats210215
   
Runs3331
   
Hits6361
   
Singles3840
   
Doubles1212
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs97
   
RBI3025
   
Stolen Bases36
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks208
   
Strikeouts3351
   
Batting Average.301.282
   
On Base Pct.362.310
   
Slugging Pct.513.450
   
On-base Plus Slugging.875.760
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Tim Anderson
SS - CWS
Tim Anderson
News 
There are no recent news for these players
Notes 
 With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Fluke. That's the best word to use to describe Anderson's 2019 season. Now, do I think he'll be bad in 2020? No, I don't. But, there's no chance Anderson leads the league in batting average again. Anderson is a career .276 hitter, and he hit .335 last year. If you look at his xBA, though, it was .294, making his gap between his expected average and actual average the fourth-largest in baseball. To be fair, .294 is one hell of a mark, but looking around .270-.280 is more realistic for Anderson. He'll be leading off for a great lineup, so his runs should be high, but looking at his exit velocity (36th percentile) and hard hit rate (39th percentile), we should temper expectations of a 20-homer season. It hurts Anderson that he plays shortstop, which along with third base, is the deepest position in fantasy this year. He's an easy fade this year given the other options at the position.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Anderson missed 40 games last year but still nearly went 20/20 with 81 runs. If that was all, it would have been a killer season but he also happened to bat .335 for the Sox. We can expect that to drop to near or even below .300 this year but that is still a great buy around the 8th round.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 
 In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 
 Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy