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Who Should I Draft?

Tim Anderson or Nolan Arenado (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Tim Anderson
SS - CWS
Tim Anderson
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Expert
Recommendation
70%
Recommended by
35 of 50 experts
30%
Recommended by
15 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 30
Best Rank# 15# 9
Worst Rank# 44# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 45# 33
Best Rank# 41# 30
Worst Rank# 53# 42
   
Projections 
   
Runs9385
Home Runs2231
RBI7097
Stolen Bases182
Batting Average.289.274
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 30# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 27# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 19# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 32# 37
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 25# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 27# 39
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 25# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 27# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 25# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 60
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 17# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 33
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 26
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 19# 37
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 19# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 25# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 22# 36
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 26# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 41
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 32
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 24# 38
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 23# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 31# 45
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 53
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 29
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 31
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 21# 37
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 28# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 24# 51
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 28# 33
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 22# 42
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 25# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 27# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 30# 19
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 29
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 30# 17
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 31# 29
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 31# 20
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 15
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 32# 30
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 33# 19
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 34# 26
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 42# 40
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 42# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 44# 24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Tim Anderson
SS - CWS
Tim Anderson
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats208182
   
Runs4523
   
Hits6746
   
Singles4529
   
Doubles119
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs108
   
RBI2126
   
Stolen Bases50
   
Caught Stealing20
   
Walks1015
   
Strikeouts5020
   
Batting Average.322.253
   
On Base Pct.358.304
   
Slugging Pct.529.434
   
On-base Plus Slugging.886.738
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Tim Anderson
SS - CWS
Tim Anderson
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats596571
   
Runs9385
   
Hits171155
   
Singles11493
   
Doubles3229
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs2231
   
RBI7097
   
Stolen Bases182
   
Caught Stealing51
   
Walks2761
   
Strikeouts14195
   
Batting Average.289.274
   
On Base Pct.320.345
   
Slugging Pct.464.494
   
On-base Plus Slugging.784.839
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Tim Anderson
SS - CWS
Tim Anderson
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
News 
 Tim Anderson went 1-for-4 with a stolen base in Wednesday’s 1-0 loss to the Reds.
Brad Camara
Wed, May 5th
Nolan Arenado came to the plate in the third inning on Monday, trailing 5-2 with two on and two out, and unloaded a three-run home run to left field off of Mets starter Joey Lucchesi to tie the game. Arenado finished the evening 1-for-3 with a walk as well.
Lucas Spence
Tue, May 4th
 Tim Anderson went 1-for-4 with a grand slam in Saturday's 7-3 win over Cleveland.
Brad Camara
Sat, May 1st
Nolan Arenado went 3-for-4 with a walk, a single, a double, a triple, two runs scored, and three RBI in a 12-5 win over the Pirates on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, May 1st
 Tim Anderson went 2-for-5 with a run, an RBI and two stolen bases in Friday's 5-3 loss to Cleveland.
Brad Camara
Sat, May 1st
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-5 with two doubles and two RBI in a 7-3 win over the Pirates on Friday.
Lucas Spence
Fri, Apr 30th
 Tim Anderson went 1-for-3 with two walks and one run scored during Tuesday’s 5-2 loss to the Tigers.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 28th
Nolan Arenado made his presence felt all over the field on Tuesday, going 2-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI while also making a spectacular over-the-shoulder catch in foul territory to retire Bryce Harper.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Apr 28th
 Tim Anderson went 2-for-5 with two runs scored in Friday's 9-7 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Apr 24th
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-4 with an RBI single in a win over Cincinnati on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Apr 24th
Notes 
 Anderson doesn't seem like he should be that valuable in fantasy. He doesn't have a ton of power, he rarely walks, and his quality of contact is nothing to write home about. But he's hit .335 and .322 the last two seasons, and although both numbers significantly surpass his xBA, it's clear that Anderson is going to be a plus value in that category. He won't excel in any other area, but he will chip in about 20 homers and 15-20 steals which, along with his batting average, makes him an excellent value given that his ADP is always in check.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros