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Who Should I Draft?

Tommy Pham or Jonathan Villar (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - MIA
Jonathan Villar
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
32 of 53 experts
40%
Recommended by
21 of 53 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 48# 49
Best Rank# 11# 32
Worst Rank# 102# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 55# 81
Best Rank# 37# 62
Worst Rank# 93# 108
   
Projections 
   
Runs2931
Home Runs68
RBI2126
Stolen Bases127
Batting Average.259.278
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 59
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 49
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 28# 52
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 30# 42
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 35
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 58
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 43# 73
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 42# 57
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 31# 49
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 42# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 42# 47
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 59
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 47
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 51# 62
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 54
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 43# 46
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 42# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 47# 51
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 34# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 45# 56
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 33# 49
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 38# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 52# 66
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 65# 78
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 43# 61
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 71
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 40# 57
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 38
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 35# 37
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 51# 61
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 36# 50
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 43# 51
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 49# 32
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 73# 34
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 58# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 49# 37
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 37
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 49# 38
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 44# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 51# 41
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 64# 43
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 77# 44
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 102# 45
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 95# 46
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 71# 47
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 72# 47
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 53# 48
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 74# 51
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 64# 52
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 52
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 69# 60
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 67# 64
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - MIA
Jonathan Villar
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats642567
   
Runs11177
   
Hits175156
   
Singles114100
   
Doubles3233
   
Triples52
   
Home Runs2421
   
RBI7369
   
Stolen Bases4025
   
Caught Stealing94
   
Walks6181
   
Strikeouts176123
   
Batting Average.273.275
   
On Base Pct.338.370
   
Slugging Pct.450.452
   
On-base Plus Slugging.788.822
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - MIA
Jonathan Villar
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats204188
   
Runs2931
   
Hits5352
   
Singles3634
   
Doubles910
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs68
   
RBI2126
   
Stolen Bases127
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks1927
   
Strikeouts5947
   
Batting Average.259.278
   
On Base Pct.323.367
   
Slugging Pct.407.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.730.829
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - MIA
Jonathan Villar
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
News 
 Jonathan Villar went 3-for-5 with a homer and two RBI as the Marlins beat the Orioles 8-7 on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Aug 7th
Tommy Pham went 1-for-5 with an RBI in the Padres' 7-6 loss to the Dodgers on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Aug 6th
 Jonathan Villar picked up his first stolen base of the year in the Marlins' doubleheader sweep of the Orioles on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Aug 6th
Tommy Pham stayed hot on Friday in Colorado, going 2-for-5 with a homer and four RBI as the Padres beat the Rockies 8-7.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 1st
 Jonathan Villar went 1-for-3 with a walk in Saturday's loss to the Phillies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jul 26th
Tommy Pham went 3-for-5 with a double, two RBI, and two runs scored as the Padres took down the Giants 12-7 on Thursday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jul 31st
 Jonathan Villar was held out of Thursday's intrasquad game due to back spasms.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jul 16th
Tommy Pham (groin) is batting fourth as the Padres' designated hitter on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jul 29th
 Villar has been working out at multiple positions: centerfield, shortstop, and second base.
Joe Buttgereit - Fantasy Sports Nerdz
Wed, Jul 8th
Padres manager Jayce Tingler says that Tommy Pham (groin) is "fine."
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jul 29th
Notes 
 Regression and a change in scenery kills what I loved about Villar in 2019. I started him ahead of Javier Baez for the majority of 2020. I can't put him anywhere near him in 2020 even though he has 2B/SS eligibility.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Hate the move to SD. Bad parks, crowded roster. Loved him in 2019 - hate him in 2020. Huge regression guy for me.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Is it really hard to make a case against Jonathan Villar in 2020? I mean, we were fooled just a few years ago with Villar, and he was the biggest bust in fantasy the following year. Why are we doing it again? Sure, he gives you speed, but there's nothing else that you can really bank on. The ballpark change is tough, and if Villar can't adjust in the outfield, he could just be an over-hyped utility-man.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Pham tested positive for COVID-19 but has since cleared protocol with two negative tests and has rejoined his team. He was reportedly asymptomatic in any event, and it does not appear that he'll have limitations heading into the season.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Batted over 700(!!) times last season playing half his games in Camden. He moves from one of the best hitter parks to one of the worst. The 24 HRs should drop back down to 15 or so and another 40 steal season would shock me. This guy has been cut multiple times and a 260/12/25 line would not shock me at all. I am letting someone else take the plunge with Villar.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
You really need to try to remember that Pham is already 32 because of the late start he got to his career. While he's been a top fantasy contributor for the past three years, he's at the age where skills tend to fall off. If you look at Pham's batted ball data, he still has a high exit velocity and hard-hit rate (both 82nd percentile), and his sprint speed and xOBA and xBA are all great and above average, respectively. But there are signs that a decline could take place, making him a guy you could be over-drafting at 83rd overall. He recorded the lowest launch angle of his career in 2019, which resulted in the fourth-highest groundball rate in the big leagues. What's more, he also was 128th in baseball in Brls/BBE%, tied with the likes of Adalberto Mondesi, Travis d'Arnaud, Maikel Franco, and Andrew Benintendi. Take into account his batted ball profile and his age, seeing the loss of a handful of steals and homers could make him a pick you regret, especially when you see names like Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario, Matt Chapman, and Nick Castellanos going after him.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Should run just as much in Miami as he did in Baltimore. But change of scenery brings risk
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Will likely hit second in-between Fernando Tatis Jr and Manny Machado with the Padres
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros