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Who Should I Draft?

Tommy Pham or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
35 of 53 experts
34%
Recommended by
18 of 53 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 43# 49
Best Rank# 19# 32
Worst Rank# 73# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 64# 81
Best Rank# 45# 62
Worst Rank# 78# 108
   
Projections 
   
Runs2731
Home Runs88
RBI3226
Stolen Bases17
Batting Average.293.278
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 59
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 49
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 42# 52
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 38# 42
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 41# 58
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 20# 73
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 47
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 62# 64
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 43# 57
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 38# 49
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 43# 46
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 59
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 44# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 38
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 39# 62
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 35# 54
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 45# 46
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 46# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 33# 51
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 52
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 45# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 35# 66
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 78
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 49# 61
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 71
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 50# 57
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 37# 51
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 51# 60
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 29# 52
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 40# 47
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 35# 48
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 19# 37
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 40# 61
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 31# 50
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 49# 51
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 36# 32
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 47# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 73# 35
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 60# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 62# 37
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 53# 37
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 46# 37
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 38
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 52# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 54# 41
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 61# 43
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 60# 44
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 51# 45
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 59# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 51# 47
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 53# 49
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 72# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 70# 56
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats464567
   
Runs5277
   
Hits126156
   
Singles83100
   
Doubles2633
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs1521
   
RBI6969
   
Stolen Bases025
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks4681
   
Strikeouts91123
   
Batting Average.272.275
   
On Base Pct.339.370
   
Slugging Pct.433.452
   
On-base Plus Slugging.772.822
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats196188
   
Runs2731
   
Hits5852
   
Singles3634
   
Doubles1210
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs88
   
RBI3226
   
Stolen Bases17
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks2027
   
Strikeouts3647
   
Batting Average.293.278
   
On Base Pct.358.367
   
Slugging Pct.485.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.843.829
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-4 with an RBI during the Blue Jays' loss in Boston Sunday.
Andy Zimmerman
Mon, Aug 10th
Tommy Pham went 1-for-5 with an RBI in the Padres' 7-6 loss to the Dodgers on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Aug 6th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-2 with two walks and drove in a run as the Blue Jays lost to the Red Sox by a 5-3 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 8th
Tommy Pham stayed hot on Friday in Colorado, going 2-for-5 with a homer and four RBI as the Padres beat the Rockies 8-7.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 1st
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 0-for-4 at the plate and drove in a run as the Blue Jays lost to the Phillies on Thursday by a 4-3 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Aug 7th
Tommy Pham went 3-for-5 with a double, two RBI, and two runs scored as the Padres took down the Giants 12-7 on Thursday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jul 31st
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-3 with a walk and scored a run as the Blue Jays lost to the Braves on Tuesday by a 10-1 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Aug 5th
Tommy Pham (groin) is batting fourth as the Padres' designated hitter on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jul 29th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 at the plate with a solo home run on Tuesday as the Blue Jays beat the Nationals by a 5-1 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Jul 29th
Padres manager Jayce Tingler says that Tommy Pham (groin) is "fine."
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jul 29th
Notes 
 Only 38 players had an ISO of more than .160 with a K% lower than 18 percent in at least 400 plate appearances. Guerrero has his name there with the likes of Cody Bellinger, Alex Bregman, Ketel Marte, Nolan Arenado, Francisco Lindor, Xander Bogaerts, and more. Guerrero was never going to live up to the expectations in his rookie season, but it was still a damn good season. The generational talent shouldn't be overlooked due to an OK debut. He crushes the ball, and it's just about hitting fewer groundballs in his second season. Oh yeah, he's only 21 years old. Invest now, or get left behind.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Hate the move to SD. Bad parks, crowded roster. Loved him in 2019 - hate him in 2020. Huge regression guy for me.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Reportedly getting into great shape. ADP is still pricey
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Pham tested positive for COVID-19 but has since cleared protocol with two negative tests and has rejoined his team. He was reportedly asymptomatic in any event, and it does not appear that he'll have limitations heading into the season.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  You really need to try to remember that Pham is already 32 because of the late start he got to his career. While he's been a top fantasy contributor for the past three years, he's at the age where skills tend to fall off. If you look at Pham's batted ball data, he still has a high exit velocity and hard-hit rate (both 82nd percentile), and his sprint speed and xOBA and xBA are all great and above average, respectively. But there are signs that a decline could take place, making him a guy you could be over-drafting at 83rd overall. He recorded the lowest launch angle of his career in 2019, which resulted in the fourth-highest groundball rate in the big leagues. What's more, he also was 128th in baseball in Brls/BBE%, tied with the likes of Adalberto Mondesi, Travis d'Arnaud, Maikel Franco, and Andrew Benintendi. Take into account his batted ball profile and his age, seeing the loss of a handful of steals and homers could make him a pick you regret, especially when you see names like Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario, Matt Chapman, and Nick Castellanos going after him.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
  Will likely hit second in-between Fernando Tatis Jr and Manny Machado with the Padres
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros