Who Should I Draft?

Tommy Pham or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
35 of 56 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 44# 48
Best Rank# 24# 16
Worst Rank# 82# 85
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 72# 53
Best Rank# 60# 43
Worst Rank# 73# 70
   
Projections 
   
Runs9175
Home Runs2222
RBI7177
Stolen Bases174
Batting Average.272.300
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 44# 71
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 48
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 34# 49
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 38# 51
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 30# 44
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 44# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 36# 62
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 24# 30
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 51# 82
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 49
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 45# 49
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 50# 55
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 39# 45
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 41# 53
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 70
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 45
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 36# 62
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 69
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 46
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 42
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 34# 53
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 44# 46
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 45# 46
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 57# 85
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 36# 46
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 42# 61
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 53# 66
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 45# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 31# 38
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 34# 71
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 40# 46
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 36# 54
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 40# 62
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 26# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 36# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 37# 20
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 28
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 41# 36
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 42# 39
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 44# 36
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 47# 42
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 49# 41
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 51# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 37
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 54# 44
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 55# 48
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 58# 48
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 60# 46
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 62# 49
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 72# 54
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 73# 54
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 77# 54
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 81# 53
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 82# 66
   
  Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats494
   
Runs102
   
Hits136
   
Singles91
   
Doubles18
   
Triples6
   
Home Runs21
   
RBI63
   
Stolen Bases15
   
Caught Stealing7
   
Walks67
   
Strikeouts140
   
Batting Average.275
   
On Base Pct.367
   
Slugging Pct.464
   
On-base Plus Slugging.830
   
  Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats508482
   
Runs9175
   
Hits138145
   
Singles9093
   
Doubles2229
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs2222
   
RBI7177
   
Stolen Bases174
   
Caught Stealing62
   
Walks6946
   
Strikeouts14672
   
Batting Average.272.300
   
On Base Pct.359.361
   
Slugging Pct.462.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.820.866
   
  Tommy Pham
LF,CF - TB
Tommy Pham
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 Tommy Pham went 1-for-4 with a walk and scored two runs as the Rays beat the Athletics by an 8-2 score on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, Jun 24th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr went 0-for-4 with a walk and a strikeout on Thursday as the Blue Jays beat the Angels by a 7-5 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 21st
 Tommy Pham went 2-for-4 with one RBI as the Rays lost to the Yankees on Wednesday by a 12-1 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 19th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is back in the lineup for the Blue Jays in their Sunday game against the Astros. He is batting second and slotted in at DH.
Dan Harris
Sun, Jun 16th
 Tommy Pham went 1-for-3 with a solo home run to power the Rays to a 6-5 win over the Angels on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, Jun 17th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (hand) is absent from Saturday's lineup versus the Astros.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Tommy Pham went 2-for-3 with a walk and a run scored in a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 16th
X-rays on the injured hand of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. came back negative for any fractures on Friday according to Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
 Tommy Pham went 2-for-4 with a pair of RBI singles and a walk in Friday’s 9-4 win over the Angels.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. exited Friday's game in the second inning after getting beaned on the hand by a Gerrit Cole fastball.
Andrew Gould
Fri, Jun 14th
Notes 
 Despite playing 34 fewer games than Andrew Benintendi over the last two seasons, Pham has outplayed him from a fantasy perspective. Pham is being drafted four rounds later and is coming off one of the best second-halfs in the MLB
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Nobody is doubting Guerrero's skills. Especially not Steamer, as the typically pessimistic projection system has the 19-year-old batting .306/.368/.511 with 22 homers in 550 plate appearances. Toronto's teenage prodigy has nothing left to prove in the minors after collectively batting .381/.437/.636 in Double-A and Triple-A. The problem is opportunity, with the Blue Jays almost certain to hold baseball's top prospect back for service-time manipulation. Since he was never going to make the Opening Day roster, supporters shouldn't get cold feet because of an oblique injury that guarantees a delay to his anticipated arrival. With Ronald Acuna's sensational debut fresh in everyone's mind, there's still little chance of snagging Vlad Jr. at a discount. Don't bite so soon in re-drafts, but it'll get tougher to resist if he lasts to the late fifth or sixth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 After breaking out in 2017 with a .306 average, 23 HRs, and 25 SBs, Pham's numbers were down through nearly 100 games in 2018 before he was traded to Tampa, where he finished with a flurry. The end result was a perfectly respectable .275/102/21/63/15 roto line that was good enough to rank 16th among outfielders. Pham may strike out a bit too much to be a true .300 hitter, but he isn't a batting average liability, and there is no reason he can't again go 20-20 as long as the Rays continue to give him the green light on the base paths. He is a bit of an injury risk, but has shown he can make a big impact in 130-140 games.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The always conservative Steamer projection model sees Vlad Jr. as a similar player to Nolan Arenado from the get-go with a .300+ BA, 30 homers and both 100 RBIs and runs over a full season's at bats. This issue, however, will be whether he gets those at-bats. You can gamble on him as early as the 4th round, but it may not be early enough to beat others to the punch
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Despite batting .248/.331/.399 with a .323 wOBA prior to the Cardinals trading him, Pham's .283 xBA and .364 xwOBA called for a rebound. He did just that and more, going .343/.448/.622 In 39 games with the Rays. Put it all together, and he was one of eight hitters to hit at least .275 with 20 homers and 15 steals. There's room for more across the board, as he recorded MLB's third-best hard-hit rate (48.5%) last season and poached 25 bags in 2017.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Guerrero profiles as a future superstar. He was unstoppable across four minor league levels last season, hitting .381 with 20 home runs in just 95 games. The projection systems universally expect him to rake from day one in the Major Leagues, envisioning that he is capable of hitting close to .300 with 20-25 home runs even while missing the first few weeks of the season due to service time considerations. He won't be good for more than a handful of stolen bases, but that hardly matters for a player who could someday soon lead the league in both batting average and home runs.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros