Who Should I Draft?

Trea Turner or Bryce Harper (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
85%
Recommended by
50 of 59 experts
15%
Recommended by
9 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 6# 9
Best Rank# 3# 2
Worst Rank# 20# 25
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 8# 16
Best Rank# 6# 11
Worst Rank# 10# 20
   
Projections 
   
Runs9799
Home Runs1835
RBI70101
Stolen Bases4511
Batting Average.282.269
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 13
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 7# 10
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 5# 12
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 21
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 5
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 11
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 8# 9
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 6# 7
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 8# 10
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 6# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 10
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 6# 10
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 3# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 11
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 4# 14
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 21
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 6# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 15
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 10# 12
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 8# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 6# 9
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 12
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 4# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 5# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 13
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 14
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 5# 8
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 6# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 14
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 10# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 3# 12
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 11
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 5# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 15
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 10# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 2
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 8
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 11# 8
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 10
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 14# 6
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 16# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 18# 16
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 19# 8
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 20# 8
   
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats664550
   
Runs103103
   
Hits180137
   
Singles12869
   
Doubles2734
   
Triples60
   
Home Runs1934
   
RBI73100
   
Stolen Bases4313
   
Caught Stealing93
   
Walks69130
   
Strikeouts132169
   
Batting Average.271.249
   
On Base Pct.344.393
   
Slugging Pct.416.496
   
On-base Plus Slugging.760.889
   
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats603516
   
Runs9799
   
Hits170139
   
Singles11573
   
Doubles3029
   
Triples71
   
Home Runs1835
   
RBI70101
   
Stolen Bases4511
   
Caught Stealing104
   
Walks55111
   
Strikeouts119145
   
Batting Average.282.269
   
On Base Pct.342.398
   
Slugging Pct.446.533
   
On-base Plus Slugging.788.931
   
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 Nationals shortstop Trea Turner went 2-for-4 with two solo home runs in Friday's win over the Marlins. The homers were his 15th and 16th of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 21st
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with a walk, a home run, and four RBI in Saturday's win over the Indians. The homer was his 33rd of the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 22nd
 Nationals shortstop Trea Turner went 1-for-4 with a walk, a stolen base, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Cardinals. The steal was his 33rd of the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 18th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run, a walk, and a stolen base in Wednesday's win over the Braves. The homer was his 32nd of the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 19th
 Nationals shortstop Trea Turner went 1-for-5 with a solo home run and a walk in Wednesday's win over the Twins. The homer was his 14th of the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
Bryce Harper was ejected from Sunday’s game against the Red Sox.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
 Nationals shortstop Trea Turner went 2-for-5 with a double, an RBI, a run scored, and a stolen base in Tuesday's win over the Mets. The steal was his 31st of the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 4th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-2 with two walks, a run scored, and a stolen base in Wednesday's loss to the Braves. The steal was his 12th of the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
 Nationals shortstop Trea Turner went 2-for-4 with a run scored and a stolen base in Monday's loss to the New York Mets. The steal was his 30th of the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 3rd
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's win over the Braves. The homer was his 31st of the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 11th
Notes 
 Fantasy owners may have been disappointed with Turner's performance last year, but he still averages 20 HR, 56 SB and 106 runs with a .289 average per 162 games. Only Rickey Henderson and Joe Morgan have matched those totals over a full season. Turner is an extraordinary fantasy baseball asset and well worth a top 15 pick
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Harper may have posted just a .249 batting average in 2018, but the rest of his fantasy production was tremendous, plus his underlying metrics indicate the average returning closer to the .270 mark in 2019. His fantasy value improved when he signed with Philly because their ballpark is great for lefties, but he is still just a 2nd round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 With stolen bases increasingly hard to come by across MLB, Turner has justifiably seen his draft stock soar. Whether you prefer drafting him or another player in the first round is largely a question of roster construction, but his odds of rewarding the investment are high. Various reports coming out of Spring Training suggest Turner could produce even more than the 43 stolen bases he had last year, and his peripherals indicate that he should improve on last season's .271 batting average, too. Even if neither happens, Turner's apparent floor of 40+ stolen bases makes him a very safe pick, especially in roto/categories leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After scaring fantasy owners with rumors that he could sign with the Giants, Harper ultimately stuck with the original plan and ended up in a great hitting environment in Philadelphia. The move is unquestionably a good one for his fantasy value, but there is still a lot of uncertainty about what kind of numbers to expect from Harper. Over the last four seasons, he has two years where he's hit over .315 and two where he's hit under .250. He's also hit as many as 42 HRs and as few as 24, and stolen as many as 21 bases and as few as four. Harper always contributes enough production to be a prized fantasy asset, but he only has one season on his resume where he's earned first round value. He could be a bit overrated now that he's signed with the Phillies.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Turner didn't break fantasy baseball the way some backers hoped, but 2017 was by no means a disappointment. His 43 steals ranked second behind Whit Merrifield, and his pop properly prorated to 16 homers over 162 games. As arguably the biggest knock against him last spring, simply playing a full season marked a huge step toward trusting the shortstop as a first-round investment. A .271 batting average blocked a true ascent into top-tier territory. Yet the career .289 hitter improved his contact (81.7%) and walk (9.3%) rates, so he should earn more opportunities to run. Turner still merits a top-10 distinction in five-by-five roto leagues.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
A wide dissonance remains from what drafters want from Harper and what he typically delivers. With batting averages of .330, .243, .319, and .249 over the last four years, there's a steep range of outcomes for a perennial top pick averaging 32 homers and 11 steals in that stretch. His latest drop came with a career-low 70.8% contact rate, so count on a compromise to around .270 rather than a full rebound. Now that he has signed with the Phillies, he should belt closer to 35-40 long balls with the help of Citizens Bank Park. The ideal landing spot pushes him up to early second-round territory, and it wouldn't be surprising to see some drafters grab him late in the first.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros