Who Should I Draft?

Trea Turner or Javier Baez (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
93%
Recommended by
55 of 59 experts
7%
Recommended by
4 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 6# 18
Best Rank# 3# 6
Worst Rank# 20# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 8# 18
Best Rank# 6# 16
Worst Rank# 10# 23
   
Projections 
   
Runs9787
Home Runs1830
RBI7096
Stolen Bases4517
Batting Average.282.276
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-DTD
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 11# 15
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 13
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 15
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 7# 16
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 5# 10
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 16
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 6
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 19
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 8# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 9
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 6# 18
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 8# 20
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 6# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 17
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 6# 19
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 3# 13
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 32
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 4# 7
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 23
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 33
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 6# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 16# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 10# 21
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 8# 15
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 6# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 4# 15
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 6
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 5# 22
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 14
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 20
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 5# 11
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 6# 18
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 23
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 10# 22
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 14# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 3# 19
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 18
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 13
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 5# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 18
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 10# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 11
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 18# 17
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 19# 9
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 20# 14
   
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats664606
   
Runs103101
   
Hits180176
   
Singles12893
   
Doubles2740
   
Triples69
   
Home Runs1934
   
RBI73111
   
Stolen Bases4321
   
Caught Stealing99
   
Walks6929
   
Strikeouts132167
   
Batting Average.271.290
   
On Base Pct.344.326
   
Slugging Pct.416.555
   
On-base Plus Slugging.760.881
   
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats603582
   
Runs9787
   
Hits170161
   
Singles11593
   
Doubles3033
   
Triples75
   
Home Runs1830
   
RBI7096
   
Stolen Bases4517
   
Caught Stealing106
   
Walks5533
   
Strikeouts119159
   
Batting Average.282.276
   
On Base Pct.342.315
   
Slugging Pct.446.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.788.822
   
  Trea Turner
SS - WSH
Trea Turner
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
News 
 Nationals shortstop Trea Turner went 2-for-4 with two solo home runs in Friday's win over the Marlins. The homers were his 15th and 16th of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 21st
Cubs manager Joe Maddon says Javier Baez (thumb) remains available off the bench as a pinch-runner.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 20th
 Nationals shortstop Trea Turner went 1-for-4 with a walk, a stolen base, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Cardinals. The steal was his 33rd of the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 18th
An MRI revealed a hairline fracture on Javier Baez’s thumb Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
 Nationals shortstop Trea Turner went 1-for-5 with a solo home run and a walk in Wednesday's win over the Twins. The homer was his 14th of the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
Javier Baez is not in the lineup for Saturday’s game against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
 Nationals shortstop Trea Turner went 2-for-5 with a double, an RBI, a run scored, and a stolen base in Tuesday's win over the Mets. The steal was his 31st of the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 4th
Javier Baez (thumb) is not in Friday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th
 Nationals shortstop Trea Turner went 2-for-4 with a run scored and a stolen base in Monday's loss to the New York Mets. The steal was his 30th of the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 3rd
Javier Baez was scratched from Thursday’s lineup against the Brewers due to soreness in his left thumb.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th
Notes 
 Fantasy owners may have been disappointed with Turner's performance last year, but he still averages 20 HR, 56 SB and 106 runs with a .289 average per 162 games. Only Rickey Henderson and Joe Morgan have matched those totals over a full season. Turner is an extraordinary fantasy baseball asset and well worth a top 15 pick
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 With stolen bases increasingly hard to come by across MLB, Turner has justifiably seen his draft stock soar. Whether you prefer drafting him or another player in the first round is largely a question of roster construction, but his odds of rewarding the investment are high. Various reports coming out of Spring Training suggest Turner could produce even more than the 43 stolen bases he had last year, and his peripherals indicate that he should improve on last season's .271 batting average, too. Even if neither happens, Turner's apparent floor of 40+ stolen bases makes him a very safe pick, especially in roto/categories leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Turner didn't break fantasy baseball the way some backers hoped, but 2017 was by no means a disappointment. His 43 steals ranked second behind Whit Merrifield, and his pop properly prorated to 16 homers over 162 games. As arguably the biggest knock against him last spring, simply playing a full season marked a huge step toward trusting the shortstop as a first-round investment. A .271 batting average blocked a true ascent into top-tier territory. Yet the career .289 hitter improved his contact (81.7%) and walk (9.3%) rates, so he should earn more opportunities to run. Turner still merits a top-10 distinction in five-by-five roto leagues.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros